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16 Aug, 7 tweets, 3 min read
1/
My thoughts on the $CRYPTO market over the coming weeks!

Hope you enjoy!

'Funding rates are yet to spike'
2/
'Funding rates are yet to spike' (ctd)
3/
'FOMO is around the corner'
4/
'Demand for downside protection for the August month-end expiry'
5/
This Week's Economic Calendar
6/
Key Levels for #BTC and #Ethereum
7/
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More from @tedtalksmacro

tedtalksmacro Profile picture
14 Sep
1/ My thoughts on the $CRYPTO market for the upcoming week, Tuesday is a BIG day!👇

Sponsored by @Delta_Exchange

'Fear and Indecisiveness'
2/ The Crypto markets have shifted into a range-bound environment following last week’s mass liquidation event in the crypto derivatives market.

Since the 7th September, $5,000,000,000 USD of open interest has left the BTC futures market.
3/

Neither bulls or bears have been able to take a firm grip, leaving the market hunting stops at the range high and low!

If you’re a swing trader or long-term investor this is very painful to watch and all signs point to this type of price action continuing in the short-term
Read 17 tweets
tedtalksmacro Profile picture
17 Aug
1/
Options market analysis on #BTC headed into the August month-end expiry!

Gamma Exposure...

#BTC sees positive gamma concentrated between $44k and $50k, with $50k being the high gamma strike.

This tells me that $44k should be the floor and price gravitates toward $50k!
2/
I often look for any spike higher in 'volatility skew' to gauge whether or not the market is in demand for downside protection - put buying as a hedge for #BTC long exposure

7-day skew has spiked and perhaps suggests some short-term demand for downside protection
3/
'Implied volatility term structure' suggests that there is no real panic and demand for volatility related products - which is in my opinion, very positive for #BTC bulls

Considering that Bitcoin is at key HTF resistance, the lack of demand for volatility is quite impressive
Read 6 tweets
tedtalksmacro Profile picture
11 Aug
1/
Altcoin request video analysis, I've selected about 20 coins suggested by you guys to do some charting on!

First up $DOT and $LINK 👇
2/
$ALGO and $MATIC
3/
$ERSDL and $ONE
Read 9 tweets
tedtalksmacro Profile picture
29 Jul
1/
A bullish development for the $CRYPTO space over recent weeks has been that '25-delta skew' has trended lower and is now below 0 for the first time since early May 2021...

I'll attempt to briefly explain the significance of this now

#BTC
2/
First, let's visualize the #BTC chart and '25-delta skew' chart to show how the two are correlated!

When skew peaks, it often leads a #BTC rally, when skew bottoms it often signals a #BTC sell-off... Monitoring skew in early May would have told you that a sell-off was near ImageImage
3/

What the hell is '25-delta skew' and why is it important?

This metric measures the relative 'expensiveness' of calls (bullish bets) to puts (bearish bets) - a reading above 0 indicates demand for puts (bearish), the opposite is also true!

@skewdotcom skew calculation below Image
Read 6 tweets
tedtalksmacro Profile picture
15 Jun
1/
The @federalreserve deliver its statement on monetary policy and updated economic projections on Wednesday

This has the potential to create a large, volatile move across markets, including $CRYPTO!

I'll do my best to explain the significance of this now

(RT appreciated)
2/

Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic the US Federal Reserve has stimulated the US economy like never before, with the goal of leading the US economy out of a recessionary environment.
3/
In the process of delivering the monetary stimulus, the FED has promoted financial risk-taking and provided the catalyst for a sustained bull run 🔥

Up until this point, I dare say that most have benefited from such risk-taking… which is great!
Read 16 tweets
tedtalksmacro Profile picture
7 Jun
1/ Here's why Thursday, June 10, has the potential to significantly move financial markets (including $CRYPTO)

(Retweets appreciated!)
2/

June 10 sees KEY economic data out of the US scheduled for release at 12:30pm UTC...

This data has the potential to 'spook' investors into selling their 'long-risk' positions.

'long-risk' referring to equities, commodities and $CRYPTO etc.
3/

Given the current uber-relaxed stance to monetary policy by central banks, most investors are currently positioned for risk-ON (long equities, crypto, commodities etc.)

Borrowing money and therefore spending/investing it is currently very cheap, thanks to Central Banks.
Read 15 tweets

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