Let's talk Junes. Short thread.
June 2020. Pandemic was still new and chaotic. Here in California, our first big wave was brewing (would peak in July). We didn't have the devastaion in March/April that NY etc. had had.
We were hoping for seasonality, but no... summer wave.
June 2020. Pandemic was still new and chaotic. Here in California, our first big wave was brewing (would peak in July). We didn't have the devastaion in March/April that NY etc. had had.
We were hoping for seasonality, but no... summer wave.
cont'd
So, in June 2020, we didn't know that much. There were diverging opinions about whether the fall would bring more and when the wave(s) would peak.
❦
June 2021. California has low community transmission; very low. Statewide color-coded tier system is scrapped.
So, in June 2020, we didn't know that much. There were diverging opinions about whether the fall would bring more and when the wave(s) would peak.
❦
June 2021. California has low community transmission; very low. Statewide color-coded tier system is scrapped.
cont'd
This past June, we ditched masks, "opened up the economy". Etc., etc.
Well, good vibes didn't last long. Here we are.
❦
June 2022. I think by then we'll have sense of where we stand.Boosters, winter waves, variants, natural immunity, we will have better persepective.
This past June, we ditched masks, "opened up the economy". Etc., etc.
Well, good vibes didn't last long. Here we are.
❦
June 2022. I think by then we'll have sense of where we stand.Boosters, winter waves, variants, natural immunity, we will have better persepective.
cont'd
William Westmoreland famously kept asking for just a few more thousand troops to win the Vietnam War.
Perhaps similarly, epidemiologists probably overpromise that with a little more data, we can perfect the models. With a little more perspective, we'll understand better.
William Westmoreland famously kept asking for just a few more thousand troops to win the Vietnam War.
Perhaps similarly, epidemiologists probably overpromise that with a little more data, we can perfect the models. With a little more perspective, we'll understand better.
cont'd
I do think, however, that by June 2022 we'll have a sense of whats-what. Some new variant won't blindside us like Delta did in June 2021 (albeit should not have).
On the other hand: Between now and June 2022, TBPH, there are a lot of questions.
I do think, however, that by June 2022 we'll have a sense of whats-what. Some new variant won't blindside us like Delta did in June 2021 (albeit should not have).
On the other hand: Between now and June 2022, TBPH, there are a lot of questions.
to clarify: "Some new variant won't blindside us like Delta did in June 2021"...
... I mean, we should now steel for variant roulette. We have no excuses anymore.
Fool us twice, shame on us...
❦
Will we actually be alloyed and ready for the next variant? Sigh, probably not.
... I mean, we should now steel for variant roulette. We have no excuses anymore.
Fool us twice, shame on us...
❦
Will we actually be alloyed and ready for the next variant? Sigh, probably not.
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