The Arsenal RB situation...It's among the most mentioned issues with the starting XI, but the club have been linked to few solutions...so who should they sign?

I analysed 34 somewhat realistic options on a nine-metric scale. Here's who stood out to me... (1/x)
I'll start from the "bottom," as it were. Mert Muldur seems to be a favorite among ITKs and fans. My statistical profile is by no means comprehensive, but it doesn't love him. He ranked 32nd out of 34, with an average percentile rank of just 34. So he would not be my pick.
Another one you'll see occasionally is Bologna's Takehiro Tomiyasu. His mean percentile rank was 53rd, putting him 18th on my ranking. He's really anchored by some low attacking numbers, but his defensive numbers are solid. Seems like he'd be a secure option, great at aerials.
Another notable outside the top few: Sergino Dest. Another fan favorite, and worth a mention since I'm American. Dest has great creative numbers, but doesn't rank well for aerial duels or in progressive passing. But he pressures the ball, and is rarely beaten off the dribble.
Another popular name: Nordi Mukiele. You can see what he brings to the table: strong in the air, solid contributor in the attack. He ended up 11th in my ranking, dragged down by his lack of ball pressure and assists, which could be from splitting time at CB.
One name I like: Valencia's Thierry Correia. He's only 22, so maybe not the best idea right this very minute. But plenty to be encouraged by: good tackler, good dribbler, really didn't have a major flaw in this ranking, although he was missing an elite quality. 10th in the rank.
In 6th: Pablo Maffeo. Currently on his second consecutive loan in Spain, last year with Huesca, now Mallorca. Stuttgart owns him, and they bought him from City. 24 and has quite a few La Liga minutes. Good creator, good pressure on the ball. Decent in the air. Interesting.
5th: Fabien Centonze. 25, beginning what will be year 3 at Metz in Ligue 1. Scored against PSG last year but also made an error that led to a goal. Just netted a brace against Lille a couple weeks ago. Ball pressure, carrying, and aerial winner.
4th: Junior Sambia. The 24-y.o. has been in and around the Montpellier first team since 2017. He's a real shot creator; 6 A last year and 65 SCA, which would've been second for Arsenal. Weaker as a defender: Poor in the air, not good at pressing. Overall, I think he's a pass.
3rd: Emerson. Great ball pressure, great tackler. He wins in the air. He creates shots, and he passes aggressively. I like him. I do think this is where the prices really start to rise, though.
2nd: Zeki Celik. Good in the buildup, contributor to an attack. He gets beaten off the dribble, but also puts a lot of pressure on the ball. Pretty good dribbler, good in the air. This is year four starting at Lille, they've never finished below 4th.
Top of my list, and I swear I didn't plan it: Kevin Mbabu. Wolfsburg's main RB while Ridle Baku plays primarily on the right wing. He pressures the ball at a near-elite level and still only gets beaten by the dribble an average amount. Could be a better creator. 26, would be HG.
A couple of random shouts: Gio di Lorenzo from Napoli. Just turned 28, but he's been really good there. Very good Euros behind him. Depends on the contract and the price, but could add leadership to a young back 4 and maybe bridge to a future young replacement? 🤷‍♂️
One more that won't happen: Lyon's Leo Dubois. Offense from the right back position, personified. Not the greatest defender 😂. He's 26, and I don't see Lyon selling him, or Arsenal even wanting to deal with Aulas more than absolutely necessary. But an amazing visual.
There you have it! For the above reasons, I'm team Mbabu, then Celik, then Emerson. Of course, if other names are linked, I'll do what I can to profile them. Until then, thanks for reading!

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More from @adamvoge

14 Sep
Recent reports put a striker and a midfielder at the top of Arsenal's to-do list as the club plots its return path to European football. With specifically a defensive-oriented midfielder rumoured to be the priority, here's my watchlist for the 21-22 season (1/x)...
Same disclaimer as always in mind, I set out to find midfielders who fit a few criteria:
-They're young. Pre-prime as a general definition, with 25 generally my upper boundary. Lower leagues had lower age limits.
-They're not promised or strongly linked to another huge club.
-They're effective at pressing, tackling, ground duels and show at least decent distribution. As always, a radar chart will capture what a player does/has done at a high level; it's not meant to indicate what a player absolutely cannot do.
Read 29 tweets
12 Sep
Through four weeks, your thread of relevant #Arsenal statistics (not including LFC, LUFC, Burnley and Everton)...
Expected Goal Differential:
City +8.9
Liverpool +4.7 (through 3)
Wolves +3.2
...
Spurs -2.5
Watford -2.7
🔴⚪️Arsenal -3.7
LCFC -4.4
NUFC -4.8
Norwich -5.3

Arsenal were -6.3 against City and CFC.
(Non-Penalty) Goals minus xG:
United +5.2
West Ham +3.7
Chelsea +3.3
Brighton +1.1
...
Soton -3.1
🔴⚪️Arsenal -4
Wolves -5.3
Read 11 tweets
10 Sep
Arsenal are facing change at striker, with their two main options on the wrong side of 30 and (pretty likely) leaving for free. Now's a great time to scan the market for replacement. So who should the club be watching? I'm tracking 50 strikers; here are some highlights (1/x)
First, a disclaimer: This analysis is built on the data available to me. I try to learn about these players and their clubs, but don't know everything. Also: just because they don't or haven't done something, doesn't mean they can't! The eye test is important, too.
What follows is built on a 17-point grading scale. I think one limitation is it may be somewhat punitive to one-trick ponies, and I'll try to point that out where it happens. I'll also come back to this thread a few times this season and give updates!
Read 26 tweets
31 Aug
Takehiro Tomiyasu is a Gunner! Here's what you need to know about the 22-year-old fullback/center back hybrid. (1/x)
First of all, he doesn't only play RB. Tomiyasu joined Bologna starting in 2019. He's played both CB and RB since, although most of his transfer links have him as an RB. Last year he played each of the back 4 spots, and occasionally in a 3 atb, but settled in as RB by year-end.
I've seen my previous chart make the rounds today. Takehiro ranked a little lower than the likes of Emerson, Mbabu, etc., when I did my study because he was dragged down by his offensive numbers (lack thereof). I've wondered aloud whether it was because of the time split at CB...
Read 14 tweets
28 Aug
Ruminating the last eight hours. There are multiple things wrong with the club, but at the end of the day what we see every weekend is lower than what the squad is capable of. There’s not a one-step solution, but I think it indicates a problem.
Fear of over-correction is real and valid. But stability for stability’s sake can also manifest as stagnation. It’s not hard to find multiple examples of the club being overly cautious and paying for it later.
I’d understand if Arteta were shown the door. I don’t expect it before Norwich. That’s an absolute must-win, and I’d peg about 13 points by Oct. 31 as my bar for the club. Everyone back, no excuses, show us what you can do. This is not a bottom-half squad. Now go play like it.
Read 4 tweets
31 Jul
Who is Lautaro Martinez? Here's a breakdown of his numbers at Inter, and how he compares to other notable strikers linked with the club this summer. (1/x)
Put it simply: The 23-year-old Argentine is good. Lautaro played a key role ending Juventus' reign this season and leading Inter to the Scudetto, with 17 G and 6 A for a club that also included Romelu Lukaku and his 35 G/A. He was key in their run to the UEL finals last year.
A couple of solid comps for Lautaro: Alvaro Morata and Gabriel Jesus. They all finished at around the same skill level last season, all put solid pressure on the ball, Lautaro lags a bit as a playmaker/creator.
Read 12 tweets

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