Recent reports put a striker and a midfielder at the top of Arsenal's to-do list as the club plots its return path to European football. With specifically a defensive-oriented midfielder rumoured to be the priority, here's my watchlist for the 21-22 season (1/x)...
Same disclaimer as always in mind, I set out to find midfielders who fit a few criteria:
-They're young. Pre-prime as a general definition, with 25 generally my upper boundary. Lower leagues had lower age limits.
-They're not promised or strongly linked to another huge club.
-They're effective at pressing, tackling, ground duels and show at least decent distribution. As always, a radar chart will capture what a player does/has done at a high level; it's not meant to indicate what a player absolutely cannot do.
I ended up with around 50 CMs on my list, and I'll follow them throughout the season. Here are some highlights from my initial dive, based on last year's performance! Updates will come throughout the season, with rankings fluid.
Before I start, here's what Thomas Partey and Granit Xhaka look like on a chart together. For purposes of this thread I'll chart next to Partey, focusing more on replacing/upgrading Xhaka with more of a defensive force (look at that bottom-left quadrant).
Here we go! Let's start with a couple Arsenal loanees. Keeping in mind his VERY limited playing time, Lucas Torreira had a tough year at Atleti. Whether Fiorentina want him long-term or not, I'm pulling for him to have a good season.
Here's Arsenal's other loanee, Matteo Guendouzi, from his year at Hertha. Matteo's performance there earned him around a middle-of-the-road grade on my scale. He's playing for a much different team this year, and in a much different role (almost an AM?). I'll watch him.
Sometimes I support players even when their stats aren't great, and Xaver Schlager (23) is one of those. Why? I don't know! He looks like a movie villain, but he's an Arsenal fan and works his tail off. He had a good Euros, and we get to watch him the UCL. I'll keep watching.
Another favorite of mine: Lucas Paqueta (24). The former Milan prodigy is probably better in a role where he's an attacker first with defensive skills, rather than as a defense-first CM. For those reasons, he came in lower on my list, but I still love him and include him here.
Maxence Caqueret (21) is Paqueta's teammate and part of my "buy Lyon's midfield" plan. He was a little lower on this list due to subpar performance against dribblers and a lower pressure success rate, but he's a lot of fun and definitely feels like one with a bright future.
You'll often catch me blathering on about a Monaco CM, but the other guy is looking promising, too. Youssouf Fofana (22) started almost all of last season for Monaco, as they qualified for the CL. He's a very good presser, but needs to win more duels and tackle dribblers better.
He didn't top the charts or anything, but I just had to share Florian Neuhaus (24). Passing, ball security, carrying, from Gladbach...remind you of anyone? Like that person, big problems defensively, so I wouldn't consider him an option.
Speaking of Gladbach, Denis Zakaria (24) has been linked with Arsenal a few times. He's great at defending dribblers, wins a good chunk of his duels. Good dribbler, good passing. Not much pressing to speak of. I'd love to see him stay healthy and fit for a full season.
Arsenal should have kicked the tires on Fulham's Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa (25). Solid in duels, good on the tackle. He didn't successfully press a lot last season, nor are his passing stats off the charts, but he could have been cheap. He's at Napoli now; too late?
No surprise to see Franck Kessie (24) high. He was very good for Milan, particularly at tackling dribblers. He hasn't pressed a lot, but his ability to win duels and progress the ball are good. He's in the CL with Milan, so it's a huge ? if Arsenal would even have a chance.
Arsenal were linked to Ruben Neves (24) in early summer, and I saw a comment that he's not even as good as Xhaka. Depending on what you want, he's a very suitable replacement. He's a great progressive passer who plays better defense than Xhaka. Wouldn't mind him, tho he'd be ££.
Reims' Moreto Cassama (23) popped off the chart. His numbers playing long balls and winning ground duels were among the best on the list. At 165 cm, you wonder whether he's too small for the Prem. Off to a great start, including a brace in MW1 and a solid performance against PSG.
Moving nearer the top, Nicolas Dominguez (23) didn't start full-time for Bologna, but he was creative when he did. He tackled at a good clip and pressed a lot, with a lower success %. Solid in duels. I always like to see a full year as a starter, but maybe a name to remember.
Mahdi Camara (23) had a good year at Saint Etienne. The former Saliba teammate is entering his third year as an every-game starter. Last year, he was extremely successful tackling and winning duels, both on the ground and in the air. Could be better progressing the ball. Lean.
RANDOM SHOUT: Yves Bissouma (25). His defensive stats wrap around Thomas Partey like a warm blanket. He'd obviously be more expensive, but he's more experienced than most on this list, and he's Prem proven. He's played different roles at Lille and Brighton. £, of course.
I've been on the Cheick Doucoure (21) hype train a few months now. We'll talk about him next summer the way we talk about Aurelien Tchouameni now. He helped Lens win promotion in his second year as a FT starter, then they came 7th in L1. Feels like a jump to a big club is coming.
I'd probably pick Lucas Tousart (24) as the biggest surprise of this thread. Now in his sixth season as a full-time starter despite his age. Formerly OL. My scale heavily weighted duels, pressing and stopping dribblers, so here's a guy who does that! Can he progress the ball?
Now into my top three. I don't know what else to say about my son, Aurelien Tchouameni (21). He's a ball-winning monster and he's got so much more to offer. Debuted for the French national team and was great. Chelsea reportedly were interested; he's going somewhere big.
A lot of people I respect really like Boubacar Kamara (21). He plays like 17 different positions. Marseille are reportedly trying to get him to extend his contract, which is up this summer, but he's unsure. Extension or not, he can play and will go somewhere bigger soon.
Part of me hoped I would be more original, but Bruno Guimaraes' name is out there for a reason. He's number one with a bullet based on last season. Where can he improve? Getting beaten less on the dribble, I guess. But he pressures the ball often and well, and can create. 👀
ADDENDUM! I don't have the same depth of data on the lower leagues, but I did neglect to mention a couple of Eredivisie players I'm tracking: Ryan Gravenberch (19) has some rough edges to develop, namely tackling and ball control. Very strong in the air. One to watch.
And my sneaky favorite in the lower leagues: Ibrahim Sangare (23). At PSV right now, having joined form Toulouse in summer 2020. Had a huge year statistically. It's Holland, but Sangare's tackling and duel numbers are dominant, and he's shown the ability to play as a sort of DLP.
And a reminder, if you're enjoying these threads, feel free to make a request and buy me a beer here!
buymeacoffee.com/adamraevoge
After publishing I was asked a good question about where Sambi would rank. Let's say hypothetically we didn't sign him, here's the chart you'd see. Ironically he's dragged down by his tackling (he has a ton of tackles already this year). He was 2nd among lower league options.

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More from @adamvoge

12 Sep
Through four weeks, your thread of relevant #Arsenal statistics (not including LFC, LUFC, Burnley and Everton)...
Expected Goal Differential:
City +8.9
Liverpool +4.7 (through 3)
Wolves +3.2
...
Spurs -2.5
Watford -2.7
🔴⚪️Arsenal -3.7
LCFC -4.4
NUFC -4.8
Norwich -5.3

Arsenal were -6.3 against City and CFC.
(Non-Penalty) Goals minus xG:
United +5.2
West Ham +3.7
Chelsea +3.3
Brighton +1.1
...
Soton -3.1
🔴⚪️Arsenal -4
Wolves -5.3
Read 11 tweets
10 Sep
Arsenal are facing change at striker, with their two main options on the wrong side of 30 and (pretty likely) leaving for free. Now's a great time to scan the market for replacement. So who should the club be watching? I'm tracking 50 strikers; here are some highlights (1/x)
First, a disclaimer: This analysis is built on the data available to me. I try to learn about these players and their clubs, but don't know everything. Also: just because they don't or haven't done something, doesn't mean they can't! The eye test is important, too.
What follows is built on a 17-point grading scale. I think one limitation is it may be somewhat punitive to one-trick ponies, and I'll try to point that out where it happens. I'll also come back to this thread a few times this season and give updates!
Read 26 tweets
31 Aug
Takehiro Tomiyasu is a Gunner! Here's what you need to know about the 22-year-old fullback/center back hybrid. (1/x)
First of all, he doesn't only play RB. Tomiyasu joined Bologna starting in 2019. He's played both CB and RB since, although most of his transfer links have him as an RB. Last year he played each of the back 4 spots, and occasionally in a 3 atb, but settled in as RB by year-end.
I've seen my previous chart make the rounds today. Takehiro ranked a little lower than the likes of Emerson, Mbabu, etc., when I did my study because he was dragged down by his offensive numbers (lack thereof). I've wondered aloud whether it was because of the time split at CB...
Read 14 tweets
28 Aug
Ruminating the last eight hours. There are multiple things wrong with the club, but at the end of the day what we see every weekend is lower than what the squad is capable of. There’s not a one-step solution, but I think it indicates a problem.
Fear of over-correction is real and valid. But stability for stability’s sake can also manifest as stagnation. It’s not hard to find multiple examples of the club being overly cautious and paying for it later.
I’d understand if Arteta were shown the door. I don’t expect it before Norwich. That’s an absolute must-win, and I’d peg about 13 points by Oct. 31 as my bar for the club. Everyone back, no excuses, show us what you can do. This is not a bottom-half squad. Now go play like it.
Read 4 tweets
26 Aug
The Arsenal RB situation...It's among the most mentioned issues with the starting XI, but the club have been linked to few solutions...so who should they sign?

I analysed 34 somewhat realistic options on a nine-metric scale. Here's who stood out to me... (1/x)
I'll start from the "bottom," as it were. Mert Muldur seems to be a favorite among ITKs and fans. My statistical profile is by no means comprehensive, but it doesn't love him. He ranked 32nd out of 34, with an average percentile rank of just 34. So he would not be my pick.
Another one you'll see occasionally is Bologna's Takehiro Tomiyasu. His mean percentile rank was 53rd, putting him 18th on my ranking. He's really anchored by some low attacking numbers, but his defensive numbers are solid. Seems like he'd be a secure option, great at aerials.
Read 15 tweets
31 Jul
Who is Lautaro Martinez? Here's a breakdown of his numbers at Inter, and how he compares to other notable strikers linked with the club this summer. (1/x)
Put it simply: The 23-year-old Argentine is good. Lautaro played a key role ending Juventus' reign this season and leading Inter to the Scudetto, with 17 G and 6 A for a club that also included Romelu Lukaku and his 35 G/A. He was key in their run to the UEL finals last year.
A couple of solid comps for Lautaro: Alvaro Morata and Gabriel Jesus. They all finished at around the same skill level last season, all put solid pressure on the ball, Lautaro lags a bit as a playmaker/creator.
Read 12 tweets

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