While this is the highest daily #COVID19 death figure since March, a BIG note of caution:
This is in large part a bank holiday effect (v low over weekend so registrations now just catching up).
Deaths certainly rising but v much more gradual than this single day’s figure implies.
This is in large part a bank holiday effect (v low over weekend so registrations now just catching up).
Deaths certainly rising but v much more gradual than this single day’s figure implies.
https://twitter.com/SkyNewsBreak/status/1433086740558979087
It’s too early to know what happens next.
But the data on Covid deaths is STILL tentatively promising.
Dark blue line is cases; red line is deaths.
Look at the relationship between cases & deaths in the previous wave. Then look, post-vax, at how much it’s weakened.
But the data on Covid deaths is STILL tentatively promising.
Dark blue line is cases; red line is deaths.
Look at the relationship between cases & deaths in the previous wave. Then look, post-vax, at how much it’s weakened.
Back in June when I first pointed out that those two lines were diverging (👇) there were a few who predicted that it couldn’t last.
But it has lasted.
Yes deaths are rising; there are many tragic stories.
But across the country the trend is v v different to last time.
But it has lasted.
Yes deaths are rising; there are many tragic stories.
But across the country the trend is v v different to last time.
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1407086150989324294
Here’s another way of thinking about this: the last time Covid cases were as high as they are today, deaths were running at more than 500 a day (and when you adjust for the 14 day lag between cases and deaths, more like 700-800).
Today deaths are roughly 100 a day.
Today deaths are roughly 100 a day.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
