But don't worry about the math because all we need to do is turn them on in tradingview or whatever you are using
So here is DJI with yearly levels only, P & S & R
2020 panic covid low, smart $ bought YS3
Recently YR1 saw minor selling a few times, then turned into support
SPX
2020 covid low on YS2
Similar "resistance into support" idea on YR1 later in 2020 and again this year
NDX
2020 covid low on YS1
YR1 more resistance last year with a few tradable drops before it cleared
Wait - you are saying "the low" was DJI YS3, SPX YS2 and NDX YS1 all on the same day and after those held the low was in?
Yes
And not the first time that markets have made a major turn with multiple main indexes on major levels
Does this work on cryptos?
Yes, in a modified way.
BTC high of 2021 is YR3.
But the % moves are often so large, that the market will trade through levels much more quickly than stocks or other assets. So this needs to be factored in.
BTC again with addition of half-year pivots
Jan - Jun
Jul - Dec
yearlies in thick crosses on my charts, half-year in dots
So now "the 2020 low" on HS1 stands out.
but a lot of levels pretty quick
I can go on, suffice to say I've seen these work on indexes, cryptos, VIX, sector, bond, commodity ETFs, & forex
But the pivot is still the most important because that is the trend
Resistance is potential turn, so that is judgment what to do? Let play, hedge, exit?
Support is potential turn, so what to do? Cover if short, buy?
But main money is NOT made by selling resistance and buying support, because these are actually counter-trend
Although buying a monthly S1 in context of above YP HP QP often works
Main $ made with trend
That said, the more indexes at major R or S levels, more likely a turn is important
And if it doesn't turn and market continues like we saw on indexes rallying above YR1s, that's important too
PS: for swing trading on short term charts, monthly & weekly R & S work great
Interesting concept - 20MA, then 2 standard deviations away from it create the bands - you can also edit the MA
It does work - like all market indicators, nuance required for best results
If really interested read the book by the creator
Here's BTC with just the daily BBs
So how does this work?
Sometimes taking reversal trade on band is awesome, sometimes slaughtered
Context is key
Slope matters a lot
Divergence is what the pros look for
To explain...
Power move, up or down, is high & close outside the band with the band sloping strongly in direction of the trend - this usually (not always) means continuation
You have to review charts to get this concept but now I will mark arrows with this power move outside band
Stocks have gone further & smoother than I ever imagined at start of 2021, unprecedented rally with SPX above smoothly rising D50MA since election except, count them, 2 days!
Obv aided by US tech, GOOGL +60%, MSFT +32%, banks also up decently, energy, pretty broad
And whether market tops on the "worst astro" (maybe just in?) or has even more massive blow-off next year with Jup in Pisces remains to be seen
Near term however, everything lining up for Sept smash
All major index TA
VIX, with VXX SVXY nearly there
Astro many ways weak ahead!
Preferred scenario is risk assets down to end Sept & then another low 10/8-10/10
For stocks probably not easy as aggressive dip buyers have made a lot of $, and indexes come back over and over
This is a sharp counter-trend call but that's how I see it
Now some of these lines will make more sense to those who read TA threads
DJI exceeded QR1 AugR1 combo for 2 trading days, since then levels as resistance; slight poke above QR1 9/2 (small red arrow)
Broke SepP 9/7 (orange)
Broke D50MA 9/9
Back under YR1 9/10 (red)
This is significant technical deterioration in short amount of time
Medium term levels acting as resistance
Pivot status change
Break of D50 & yearly level
Pluto Rx in Capricorn-Saturn from 6/29
Saturn ruling sign & term, should be quite nasty, these 4' among worst in zodiac. Though some bond rally & covid again, muted impact for markets.
FOMC has twisted everything:
Bad news = QE pumping = good for markets
Could worst astro produce big top? Maybe, but depends on taper schedule; more likely is slow taper & gradual hike so perhaps big blow-off top next year 2022
Neptune in Pisces-Mars from 1/23, Rx from 6/25
Expected volatility & larger moves both ways; this term in play a while
Uranus in Taurus-Jupiter from 7/7, Rx from 8/19
Think this is helping tech & cryptos with Jupiter in Aqu
*
Saturn Rx in Aqu-Ven 6/18
Saturn worse out of term Jupiter, & helping safe havens lift when triggered; but not hitting that hard in big picture
Review
Astro
TA (just a bit)
Sum with next forecast
Check threadreader post after each section
Read what sections interest you
This process has resulted in many accurate takes on major asset classes - focus on indexes, cryptos & safe haven trades
Many - but not all - accurate statements from last week:
From spread,
Indexes: "Prefer 9/6-8 trading top, then lower into following weeks"
Good for indexes so far, main futures made highs 9/2-7 and tests 9/6, leader NQ 9/7 high, then all lower
This gets check!
Cryptos: "Same, but less damage expected, could stretch to 9/10 top"
Ugh, 9/6 key high, but more damage
Hottest coins SOL ALGO LUNA highs closer to 9/10, and ATOM pushing higher today
I don't have different astro on every coin, only general conditions, TA for the rest