Game theory:
Pros: Gives you a frame of reference to evaluate information, even if partially correct.
Cons: Gives you false confidence in your assessment of others.
Where does it fail? It gives you a static understanding of a dynamic situation.
If you're an excellent communicator and the person across from you isn't one, you can dynamically convert their frame of reference without much effort. Do you want an example?
Ok, let's take the concept of Russell Conjugation and test it. Finish with a Nietzche example.
Making a sales pitch can cause some people to perspire, others to sweat, and the lucky few can glow. See that? It's 3 different ways to describe sweat. The contextual usage of visual queuing makes it emotionally appealing or repellant.
There is always beauty as a factor in the equation. As I learned from Nietzche, if you kill a roach you're a hero. If you kill a butterfly you're a villain. Both are insects, one has beauty built-in.
Back to game theory, how do you break the frame? At the underlying structure of game theory is an evaluation of risk which is tied to trust. If you don't trust the other person, your risk is higher up thus you descend deeper in the prisoner's dilemma.
So what do you do? Well, first put out a feeler and see how the other person responds. What you are looking for is micro reciprocations of risk. You take a small step and see if the other side counters in good faith. BUT, you have to be ready to back away instantly.
As I see a conversation descending I dynamically throw in life lines for the other person to change their frame of reference. If it fails, I can detect it pretty early. The best part of all of this is the following tactic.
Take something they show irritation about. Rephrase it back to them to signal understanding. Then, on the fly with your wits about you, attempt to either re-frame it back in your light of understanding or remove it from the equation.
The only thing about this process is that there is a variable that cannot be taken into account. That variable is TIME. If the other person is rushing you to make a decision, understand that they are taking optionality off the table from you. Unless it's dire enough that both of
of you can see there's a ticking clock, never negotiate or come to terms under the tick of a clock. Remember they keep watching the block, but you gotta make sure you got the time.
*clock
If you want to reduce the impact of time compression ON YOU, deploy the Mike Driver technique. Take quiet, calm deep breaths through your nose. If you can remain calm you can arbitrage the emotional volatility of the engagement.

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More from @AhsanDeliri

29 Aug
The problem with a hierarchy is that when it gets deeply corrupted, and you are at the top, you become the bottom very quickly. This explains the complete lack of accountability by the Biden gov and US military.
A good hierarchy is one of transparent accountability to the inner circle. That conversation auto corrects small errors. Thus, the message can fan out loud and clear across the organization.
Once it’s corrupt you see the lack of trust manifest. Now you gotta lie and cover up things. Not because you are trying to right a wrong, but because you have found yourself in the prisoner’s dilemma.
Read 6 tweets
28 Aug
A lot of people can't distinguish between different types of information. The most common is the inability to tell the difference between instructive information and factual information.
Second note, facts have a shelf life. They are not forever (time) true nor infinitely (space) true. What is true in one instant of time in one location may not be true somewhere else or even the same place at a different time.
Most often when someone disagrees with a take I offer, it's because they take my instructive bits of information and seek to compartmentalize it into factual boxes. It doesn't fit, because it's not MEANT to fit that way.
Read 10 tweets
26 Aug
Some COVID/Vaccine thoughts.
I’m not an evolutionary biologist but I can deduce the following problem set and from it make predictions. Open to error correction of course. Novel biological agent released globally. Mutations start upon first interaction with patient 0.
We’ve got multiplicity problems here. The virus is an infinity problem. The immune system is another infinity problem. A person in isolation is a different creature to model compared to someone who is interacting with society at large.
When you engage with the enemy, it learns from you. If you vaccinate in phases, you give the virus the opportunity to learn and adapt. This isn’t rocket science. It’s just evolving as it would. When a person gets a vaccine, they don’t become immune instantly.
Read 14 tweets
15 Aug
Ok, because I have a habit of calling it like it is. There's an FUCKEN ugly side of the Afghan collapse NO one will speak on. Partly because they are afraid, they don't know or don't want to appear racist. But I will say it because it needs to be understood in the greater context
Wanna know HOW the internal structure of the society has ZERO backbone to fight off the invasion? The immune system is SEVERELY compromised. Want proof? Ok, ask any Muslim Afghan what they think of the Taliban.
What are the likely answers YOU will get in closed quarters when there are no others around?
The Taliban aren't Muslims. They are JEWS trained by the Americans to make ISLAM look bad. Yes, folks, the internal truth of the VAST majority of the Muslim believers is EXACTLY that.
Read 7 tweets
14 Aug
Lessons from Afghanistan:
A few years ago I had a great conversation with Mike Driver on #RiskyConversations about the misapplication and misunderstanding of game theory. Since that time, I've come to refine my grasp of the concept.
Mike's initial idea was that game theory is fundamentally flawed because it locks you into a closed-loop engagement while in NO way guaranteeing that your interlocutor will comply with the same restriction.
In the years since I've come to realize that this idea is very accurate IF you apply it in the process of creation. Creation of value, creation of ideas, creation of companies, products, etc. Why is that? It's because creating things, finding solutions is better
Read 22 tweets
8 Aug
As a software engineer, I'm often tasked with make sales to customers. They expect to be overwhelmed by technical jargon. That's now how to sell. That's not HOW I sell. I sell things that are TANGIBLE and understandable.
I want you to do what you've always done, and I'm going to change your perception of that thing which you THINK you know what it is. I want you to imagine your favourite website. Amazon, Twitter, whatever. With me?
Ok, what do you see in your mind? I tell you what I see and HOW I see it and then I want you to compare that to how YOU see it and let me know if my approach improves your experience. Ready? Ok, here goes, looking at a website/application from the Deliri point of view.
Read 10 tweets

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