Almost all the loss in college enrollment due to COVID took place at community colleges.

Community colleges get mentioned once in the piece.

And a high priced college consultant gets 4 paragraphs.
wsj.com/articles/colle…
I'd be a lot more interested in a piece that talked about how the decline in enrollment is largely from the for-profit and 2-yr sector and wrestled with why that's occurred. That, of course, would have to be in another newspaper. Image
That more interesting piece might want to take a good look at why as the for profit sector shrank, the share of women enrolled in it grew. Image
The more interesting piece might think about how the picture looks different if we're talking about first-time students right out of HS (the kinds who hire consultants) vs. all undergrads vs. students over 24. Image
The more interesting piece would have talked to @dhfeld1 and thought more about the labor market and less about the fairness of admissions policies.
The more interesting piece would have talked about gender, marriage, employment, historical trends, and more. Image
Last thing to say on this piece: the thing that set me off was this absolute garbage paragraph, utterly devoid of evidence and designed to tap into racial animus. Image
The more interesting piece would have really looked at the data, like @JonBoeckenstedt does in this terrific post.
So, it just gets worse for this piece.

It's got this graphic that purports to show the white men are enrolling at the same or even lower rates than men of other races or ethnicities. It fits in with the overall "white men are the real victims" vibe. Image
Except it turns out that graphic is flawed because it's making a very basic statistical error, as noted by @hyperplanes.
You can't use the Current Population Survey to make claims about college enrollment by parental income, because parental information is present in the CPS only if the young adult is currently living at home, or is temporarily away from home, (i.e., in college).
So the piece leaves out a huge chunk of the populace and its denominator is not at all reliable.
This mistake would be more forgivable if it hadn't already been explicitly called out by @dynarski and @chingos in this @brookings piece. brookings.edu/research/how-c…
So--and this actually is my final word on that WSJ piece--if you were wondering, do white men *really* have it worse than everyone else when it comes to college, remember this sage advice from @dynarski and @chingos. Image
At this point, this article has reached the stage where you have to wonder if it got a single thing correct. Because one of its BIG claims is basically wrong.
@JonBoeckenstedt looked at the data (ALL the data) and basically found that the idea that men have an admissions advantage is only true at a tiny sliver of colleges. Image

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More from @James_S_Murphy

13 Sep
A majority of white people responding to this poll believe it's harder to get into college if you're white.

80% of white Republicans think this, but so do more than 50% of white Democrats.
The numbers are slightly less alarming among teenagers surveyed. Teenagers whose parents are Democrats provide some hope.
There are 3 problems here.

1. Most students are likely to get into most colleges.
Read 16 tweets
26 May
Honestly kind of surprised that the @UpshotNYT thought the Stanford paper about features computers can notice in college application essays was worth amplifying (again).

A 🧵 on 3 of the very big problems with the paper.
nytimes.com/2021/05/26/ups…
Problem 1. Computers don't admit students to college; people do.

1.1 The paper shows that computers can identify correlations between essay content and income in large data sets.
1.2 Humans are reading essays for insights into the author. They are not analyzing a corpus for insights into all the corpus.

1.3 A computer can identify correlations between income and style (comma use, word count) in the corpus, but can human readers do so in an essay?
Read 18 tweets
22 Dec 20
There's been some coverage of a boom in the number of students applying Early Decision or Restricted Early Action to college this fall. I'm much more interested in the number of students colleges are *admitting* early this year.
It's early days yet. Full numbers are not available at many places. Lots of colleges that do ED do 2 rounds of it, so it's too soon to compare this year with last year.
I don't care about surging application numbers or declining admit rates (funny how those travel together, right?), because that's an issue for the advantaged--and they'll be fine, despite the concerns of their consultants.
Read 9 tweets
20 Dec 20
I told myself I would stop reading pieces about admissions lotteries. But I cracked and read that NYT piece. I expected the worst and it was worse than I expected.
Beyond all the inherent issues with lotteries that I talked about in that thread, here's what really bugged me about this piece: its condescension toward community college professors and presumption about instruction in the Ivy League.
The plan, of course, is hopelessly vague and impractical. The author seems to be proposing that the Ivy League use a lottery to admit students who typically enroll in community colleges.
Read 10 tweets
1 Dec 20
A college degree can transform individuals, families, and communities. One problem is that we give too little recognition to the institutions that have the largest impact on social mobility. THREAD Image
Another problem is not all institutions lead to good outcomes for low-income students. That's why @EdReformNowUSA produced our Social Mobility Elevators brief, which identifies 4-yr institutions that have positive outcomes for students with Pell Grants. edreformnow.org/wp-content/upl…
The first and maybe most alarming thing we found was that there are only 614 4-yr colleges and universities out of almost 2,000 where students with Pell Grants are more likely to earn a degree than to leave without one and where students repay their loans at acceptable rates. Image
Read 19 tweets
15 Oct 20
Here's the 20 worst 4-yr colleges in the country when it comes to enrolling low-income students.

Source: IPEDS data released today
Here's the 10 worst 4-year schools when it comes to enrolling low-income students over the past 3 years.
Looking for a glimmer of hope, I looked to see if the worst schools in 2018 were on a path to improvement.

Nope. Almost all were worse.

It looks like High Point & Santa Clara's grab for ratings in recent years came at a cost to poor students.
Read 7 tweets

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