#swfc Good things: There should be no doubt for these players that this sort of comatose laurel-resting, "big club going away to a lower league ground" sort of non-performance will see us crucified time and again, especially in this league, which has plenty of quality this year.
By some distance the worst we've been this season and at no point of the game did we have much of a handle on it. It looked like we were only seeing Plymouth's passes and movement 1-2 seconds after they were made and only then did we react to them.
We were so easy to play against: No organised pressure on their player in possession, so Plymouth given time to have player drop deep for the wall pass, swivel and run in behind onto a through ball from the first player.
Extremely simple, but enough to put Hunt, Palmer and Johnson (sometimes literally) on their backsides throughout. You could sense the panic creeping in when Plymouth attacked and we saw no one go out in front and show proper leadership here.
All we got was energy levels dropping even further and movement becoming even rarer. We threw on the cavalry - Shodipo, Corbeanu, Berahino - all talented players busting at the seams to get on the ball and drive towards goal.
But it also killed our approach, carefully built over the previous games this season, of using the movement of the ball to move defences and creating space.
The technical ability of Byers (rightly subbed), Wing (probably the only one who tried to get the team going not just by doing it all himself) and Bannan never go to the fore as Plymouth, again in extremely simple ways, stayed close and went in hard whenever they could, sapping…
…more energy and driving frustration levels of our players, feeling sorry for themselves and too quickly losing trust in each other, further up.
Corbeanu and Shodipo saw us revert to a very easy to defend against schtick back from when we had Kadeem Harris: Give it winger and let him dribble, while everyone else stands flatfooted and looks on as two Plymouth players shut down the move.
We now have a home game against one of the poorer sides in the division in Shrewsbury, who only managed a draw with turmoil-ridden Crewe today. Every chance of getting back on track.
We then travel to Ipswich, who seem to struggle to fit the about 300 Championship attacking playuers bought into the same line-up and actually look like a functioning football team. Again, every chance we take the spoils there too.
The issue isn't the lost points here - and I would say an impressive #pafc won the points more than we lost them. We can make up for them, which was also the case after the Morecambe game.
The issue is *our response*: To adversity, to teams upping their energy levels 10-15% when playing against us (notice all the Plymouth players on the floor cramping towards the end despite having just had two weeks rest from matches), to things not working out as we'd planned…
…and to opponents getting in our faces and being physical. If we can't deal with that at an even rudimentary level, but get pushed into panic stations so easily, any talk of promotion from this supremely talented squad of players is premature.
Yes, they still need to gel and get to know each other. But there were *signs* that they *were* doing so in each game, progressively, after the Charlton opener.
That attacking moves looked preordained, that multiple players moved for one another, that players trusted their team mates to do their job properly.
That's the disappointment after today: The lack of team - so important to Moore and the "family" he wants to build at ours - as soon as we met the tiniest bit of adversity on the pitch.
We saw signs of all this at Rotherham, where we also looked shellshocked for periods, but that was a game we got to grips with (even if the penalty got us out of jail) and we kept our heads a lot cooler than we did here, where our players kept petulantly appeal for free kicks…
…to everyone who cared to listen, and where there were several bookings coming our way simply because of heads being lost to frustration.
I genuinely thought the ghost of Wednesday's past (well, last season mostly) had been busted, but "hello darkness my old friend", I guess :-/

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Peter A. Løhmann

Peter A. Løhmann Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @ploehmann

11 Sep
#swfc Probably our worst half of the season so far. Plymouth showing everything we haven't: Tenacity, invention, movement, fluidity, connecting passes. (thread)
Plymouth have taken a leaf out of Rotherham's book and strangled our rythm by marking/pressing high when BPF is on the ball ready to distribute. I expect to see plenty more teams do the same against us considering how successful Plymouth (and R'ham) have been doing so.
There's a weird sense of passivity and lack of energy to us today. Byers, Wing have been bystanders too often and not adept at picking up the runs Plymouth make from central areas towards the sides that have been a simple, yet effective way to open us up time and again.
Read 17 tweets
7 Jul
#swfc @KieranMaguire covers all the necessary ground in the article below from @AlexMiller91, and has even supplied headline numbers (), but I thought I'd jump in with some projections for 20-21 and 21-22 to sort of tie a knot on things in the thread below.
I'm currently deep into writing a season review/preview thing that also has a lot of financial data and analysis - obviously needs tinkering now the accounts are out 😜

Enough pre-amble, here are some charts:

Revenue likely to be halved in 20-21 and decrease further in 21-22:
If we add on transfer fees received (and what can be assumed to be compensation fee for Steve Bruce), as well as likely Covid 19 furlough compensation, we're up to £13.6m of income in 20-21, which is still half 19-20's:
Read 14 tweets
1 Apr
#swfc have 9 matches left to complete an unlikely relegation escape.

In the thread below, a look at the historical context of what a Great Escape would look like.

The points won by teams at the bottom of this season's Championship are tracking a typical season quite closely:
In general teams at the bottom improve their form more in the last 9 matches than teams further up the table, so we shouldn't assume the helping hand of a collapse by the teams above us:
The variation is quite big, though, and the most a team in 22nd after 37 matches ever won in the final 9 matches was 18 points. The same as the typical team in 1st:
Read 17 tweets
23 Mar
#swfc To follow up on @AlexMiller91's run through in the article below:

Wednesday's issue this season has been creating chances for the forwards, not the forwards converting their chances. A theme that has continued on from last season.

[thread below]
Our forwards this season are scoring at the same rate they were last season - a goal every third game/0.32 goals per 90 minutes - from the same general quality of chances (Expected Goals (xG) of 0.33 per 90 minutes):
The issue isn't so much our forwards scoring as it is our midfielders (and defenders) not scoring (and not getting chances).

The forwards are par for the course considering the quality of their chances, whereas defenders and midfielders "owe" 7-8 goals; same as last season:
Read 14 tweets
11 Mar
#swfc An attempt to make sense of our 2018/19 accounts, and football finance, in the far too long (sorry!) "read along" thread below.

tl;dr: Still in the purgatory of unsustainable spending and viable only for as long as Chansiri keeps underwriting £20m losses every year.
First things first: I'm just a dude in Denmark with a spreadsheet. There's no magic In The Know knowledge or other such things in what I do and have done. It's all based on publicly available sources of information treated to a bit of thinking.
How hard is it then to predict what the accounts will look like based on those public sources of information?

I've made projections repeatedly on Twitter over the last couple of years and perhaps summed up best in this blog post for @SWFCTrust:

swfctrust.co.uk/blog/wednesday…
Read 36 tweets
6 Mar
#swfc How did the season end from here in the last 22 seasons?

Not many teams escape the bottom 3 in the last 12 matches.

Only 8 of 88 Play-Offs contestants have come from outside top 8 after 34 matches. Historically speaking it's a myth that everything is still up for grabs:
21st, Birmingham, are currently on course for 46 points at season's end. 18 points more than we have currently.

But the points won per game in the last 12 is for the bottom positions is higher than the first 34 matches - whereas it actually declines for the top positions:
50% of 21st positions have had points per game between 0.07 and 0.43 points per game higher in the last 12 than the first 34 matches.

For 21st this season it's a points per game in the last 12 matches between 1.07 and 1.43, meaning a finish of between 47 and 51 points.
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(