#CARecall As we wait for precinct-level data to report some first looks at county level trends in Democratic vote -- Orange County currently 58% NO, it's highest Democratic vote in modern times, 8 points higher than Newsom 2018
#CARecall in conservative Kerns County (Bakersfield) the No on Recall is nearly 4 points MORE Democratic than the 2018 Newsom-Cox vote and currently exceeds Biden 20 margin by 1 point.
#CARecall county data in #InlandEmpire Riverside County shows current No on Recall vote at 54% exceeding the 49.8% which Newsom received in 2018
Staying in the IE, big surge in Dem vote share in San Bernardino #CARecall with 58% voting NO, over 6-point gain from 2018 election Dem vote
#CARecall -- In heavily Democratic Alameda County in the Bay Area no signs of Democratic drop-off with No on Recall hitting 85% in Alameda, up from 80% for Newsom in 2018 -- precinct level data coming soon
#CARecall -- Moving to the #CentralValley Fresno County reporting 4 point increase in Democratic vote over 2018 with 53.6% No on Recall
#CARecall if you've been waiting on #LACounty data, @MichaelHerndon_ has been spot on all night tracking this sucker, and we see about 5-point increase in Dem vote share compared to 2018 so far, with in-person votes likely to bring that down a little (not much)
#CARecall Back to the #BayArea to Santa Clara County where right now Newsom has improved by 7 points over his 2018 margins with 78% No on Recall
#CARecall San Diego County matching 2020 Biden vote at over 60% No on Recall nearly 10 points more Democratic than 2014 Jerry Brown election

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More from @UCLAlatino

7 Nov 20
📈 #BREAKING Data Alert on Latino Voters in #Texas 📈

In Dallas County, #Texas Biden got as much as 78% of the vote in precincts with high concentrations of Latinos #LatinoVote2020 #Elections2020
🚨Latino Voters in #Texas 🚨

In El Paso County, Biden received over 75% of the vote in precincts with high concentrations of Latinos #LatinoVote2020 #Elections2020
📈Data Alert on Latino Voters in #Texas 📈

In Tarrant County, located in the Fort Worth area, Biden received 75% of the vote in precincts with high concentrations of Latinos #LatinoVote2020 #Election2020
Read 4 tweets
5 Nov 20
📈Election results in #Florida reflect the diversity of Latino voters. Even though the majority of Latino voters supported Joe Biden nationally, the "Latino vote" is not a monolith.
Follow this thread for our analysis of Florida.

1/5 Image
📈In counties around Orlando, with high concentrations of Puerto Rican voters, Biden had strong support.

For example, in Orange County, FL, Biden got 63% of the votes in precincts with high density of Latinos

2/5 Image
In Osceola County, FL, which also has a sizable Puerto Rican population, we also saw strong support for Biden in precincts with a high concentration of Latinos. Biden got 60% of the votes in high-density Latino precincts.

3/5 Image
Read 5 tweets
6 Jun 18
Among votes cast so far in Governor's election: 38.9% of votes cast in Orange County (June 2014) were Democrat; today (June 2018) 49.0% of votes cast were Democrat, this is a 10% increase in % of D votes cast #CaliforniaPrimary2018 #Latinovote @realMABarreto @UCLAlatino
#VenturaCounty is next: In June 2014 46.5% of votes cast in Governor's race were Dem, so far in June 2018 Gov race, 55.4% of ballots cast are Dem. +9% increase btwn '14 & '18 so far (more votes to come) #CaliforniaPrimary2018
#RiversideCounty is next: In June 2014 42% of ballots cast for Gov race were Dem; so far in June 2018, 49% of ballots cast are Dem. +7% increase in Dem ballots cast @realMABarreto
Read 9 tweets

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