My take on France's decision to recall its Ambassador to the United States. Is Paris overreacting ? The answer is no. A 🧵 on the real reasons behind the French decision.
This is not about France's bruised ego. Nor only about a cancelled armament contract. This is about **trust** between supposed "oldest" allies.
The US-UK-Australian partnership was months in the making. Washington was an active player in this new alliance and deliberately conceal from Paris these discussions, even though it knew it directly affected French national interests.
Over the past few months, French officials at the highest level raised the question of the 🇦🇺🇫🇷 submarine contract with the Biden administration which reassured Paris on this issue.
But at the end of the day, Paris was presented with a fait accompli and learned from media that a crucial partnership for its Indo-Pacific strategy was now a thing of the past.
This is a true breach of trust. U.S. behavior is seen in Paris as unilateral and brutal. A reminiscence of the Trump administration.
The only way to ensure that Washington understand the gravity of this crisis was to make this diplomatic move. Communiqués were not enough. And mild reassurances from the U.S. administration neither.
Now, we should remain cool-headed. Paris is not breaking its diplomatic ties with Washington. Nor France is expelling U.S. diplomats. France already took similar decisions in the past (with Italy in 2019 or Turkey in 2020) to send a cristal clear signal.
Let's hope that the Biden administration will understand that its decision to negotiate in secret a partnership at the expense of a key ally was a bad call and will have lasting effects on its relation with France. [End]
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I saw many comments explaining that the US-Australian-UK deal is the result of France preaching for European strategic autonomy ("You got what you wished for"). This is a complete misconception of France’s strategy in the Indo-Pacific. A 🧵👇
France’s approach to the Indo-Pacific has never been about autonomy but about *inclusivity* and *multilateralism*.
While being clearheaded about the challenges posed by China, France has always been mindful of not fueling the growing rivalry between Washington and Beijing in the region.
🚨 French Foreign minister @JY_LeDrian just gave a public interview with @Francetele on the ongoing diplomatic crisis with Washington, Canberra and London. Very strong words again. A 🧵 on the main takeaways 👇
Recalling our Ambassadors "is a very symbolic [...] heavy political act which signals the gravity of the crisis between our countries".
"There have been lies, contempt and a breach of trust ... An hour before, we knew nothing about these negotiations. You do not deal with an ally like France with such brutality and unpredictability".
🚨 In reaction to the #AUKUS agreement, the French Foreign minister @JY_LeDrian has just announced that France's Ambassadors to the U.S. and to Australia have been recalled in France. A historic decision signalling France's discontent.
"This exceptional decision is justified by the exceptional seriousness of the announcements made on September 15 by Australia and the United States".
The communiqué also denounces "unacceptable behaviors between allies and partners" affecting "our very conception of our alliances, partnerships, and the importance of the Indo-Pacific for Europe".
Here is the official response of France to the 🇬🇧🇦🇺🇺🇸 announcement. Very strong words:
"This decision is contrary to the letter and the spirit of the cooperation that prevailed between France and Australia, based on a relationship of political trust".
"The US choice to exclude a European ally and partner such as France from a structuring partnership with Australia, at a time when we are facing unprecedented challenges in the Indo-Pacific region ...
... whether in terms of our values or in terms of respect for multilateralism based on the rule of law, shows a lack of coherence that France can only note and regret".
This announcement has major implications for France at least at three levels: economically, strategically and politically.
Economically, this decision is a massive loss not only for the French shipbuilder Naval Group but also for dozens of SMEs and more broadly for the French defense industrial basis (whose business model is based on national procurement & armament export).
[Thread] French President @EmmanuelMacron on #Afghanistan. First, 🇫🇷 President recalled that France has been engaged militarily in Afghanistan from 2001 to 2014. "Our fight was just. France had only one enemy there: terrorism". "We will not forget our dead soldiers, 90 in total".
On the ongoing situation in #Kabul, President Macron stressed that the situation was "deteriorating rapidly". Immediate initiatives are needed "to respond to the humanitarian catastrophe".
The immediate emergency is the evacuation of 🇫🇷 nationals and Afghans who have worked for France. The 🇺🇸 support is "indispensable" in that regard. France will also protect the Afghans in danger because of their commitment for freedom.