#swfc I can see from @DomHowson's player ratings that him and eye did not see the game the same way at all, so I should probably have a longer think and calm down a bit, but writing relieves stress, so here goes:
Created our own downfall once again. 1/37
What on earth have we been doing on the training pitch for three weeks for these players to look MORE like strangers to each other than they did before the international break? 2/37
We're so, so easy to defend against if you shut down the wings as there are no central runs from midfield.
Notice how the penalty came about from Shodipo staying inside making a darting run in behind. 3/37
Shrewsbury were like the opponent in Mortal Kombat dangling with a big yellow "FINISH HIM!" splashed on top of them in those first 20 minutes. How on earth the game finished with them chasing a winner is hard to comprehend. 4/37
Credit to Shrewsbury and Cotterill, though, they actually managed to do what we couldn't: Adapt to what was happening. 5/37
They kept two men up top, which, along with playing a much more active pressing game 2nd half, especially in wide areas, kept control of the game away from us.
The game was played the way Shrewsbury wanted to and they had the better chances. 6/37
We managed 0 shots on target and only two shots from inside the box in the entirety of that second half. Much hay was made pre-match about our team starting slowly. 7/37
That's not actually been the issue IMHO: We flew out of the traps at home against Fleetwood too and did the same here. But we're so, so fragile and at the first hint of adversity - a missed penalty when we were still well on top - was enough to knock us off our stride. 8/37
This starting line-up had 2,800 career appearances between them, 1,800 of which at Championship level or higher. To not be able to adapt to the run of a game with that level of experience is hard to fathom. 9/37
We're relying on opponents not having enough quality to put us away and that won't work going forwards: The only team we've played, who are now in the top half of the table, is Plymouth. 10/37
So we can't expect to keep getting away with it once opposition gets better and sharper than an admirably scrapping Shrewsbury were today.
It's NOT that the space isn't there, we just don't create it, because the tempo of our play is so slow. 11/37
By that I don't mind "get it in t'mixer!". No, we started with the long, aimless punts more than once as frustration set in second half.
I mean instead that there's no more than one player running at the same time in attack. 12/37
For all the explanations of "it will take time to come together" shouldn't there be an at least somewhat linear progression in how coherent we look going forward game on game? 13/37
There was no suggestion these players had had another week's work on the training pitch together. Numerous points and checked runs instead gave the impression they really didn't know what they were supposed to do. 14/37
It's hard to out do your opponent with your quality on the ball if you don't use it.
I would've taken Bannan, not Adeniran, off. Bannan killed the tempo of the game almost every time he got on the ball; you could see runs being stopped. 15/37
It was like watching a black hole sucking creativity out of the game at times and so, so frustrating, when you know he can be so much better than that. 16/37
We saw that first half, where he played on the first touch a lot more instead of touching it a lot of times and doing twirls that got him nowhere. 17/37
Shrewsbury adapted and shut us down by stretching their defence horizontally, so when our wingers got the ball (at last) they started from a standstill, close to one often two opponents and with little to no space in behind those opponents. 18/37
Shodipo had torn them a new one in the first 30 constantly getting isolated with his direct opponent and beating him. 19/37
There was no attempt to move the ball in between the lines, nor runs on the outside in behind from the wingers trying to create that space in front of their defence that they sucked out like a vacuum by collapsing their midfield on top of their defence. 20/37
And there were rarely attempts to switch play quickly from one side to the other, trying to move that settled block of Shrewsbury's that had defenders which, individually, had looked all at sea earlier on in the game. 21/37
I don't expect miracles. Bedding in this squad of players will take time; months probably. But I do expect to see quiet, incremental progression if not from game to game then over a couple of games. 22/37
But are we looking better drilled defensively now than at Rotherham (Iorfa looking particularly iffy in duels and with his positioning)? 23/37
And are our attacking play more coherent, better paced and more dangerous than in previous games (remember, 0 shots on target, 2 shots from inside the box, in that second half)? I don't see it.
That's the worry for me, that the progression isn't really there. 24/37
Charitably you could say we created what we needed to win the game early on. We did and we should. 25/37
But it looked all the while like another petulant teenagers strop from that penalty miss forwards, players investing so much energy and effort in complaining to the referee, barring their frustrations and letting Shrewsbury inside our heads rent free, when our superior… 26/37
…experience, quality - and with 22 odd thousand there desperate to cheer on a keen attacking team - should've settled the matter.
Perhaps that was the issue: The players expected it would be easier, after that frantic openeing period, and took the foot of the gas? 27/37
We're yet to prove we have the mental steel to manage life in League One and to take control of games against opponents at 110% scrapping for results.
We've had three games now, where opponents have, for parts of the game, stood high on us and pressed in numbers. 28/37
Why do we look like it comes as a surprise to us when teams do that and why do we not look like we have a response to it? 29/37
Again, the combined football nous in that line-up is probably the highest of any starting line-up in history of League One, yet we got constricted and constrained without putting up much of a fight 30/37
Ipswich, up next away at Portman Road, arguably have the best collection of players in the division, and got their first win today. We can hope turmoil still reigns there in a week's time, but it looks a much, much harder fixture than our last three. 31/37
Sorry for going on and on. 32/37
It's just so damn frustrating to see obviously good footballers play so within themselves, and so frustrating when we look like going backwards rather than forwards in creating a team out of that excellent level of quality recruited in the summer. 33/37
I really hope it's (another) lone swallow, like Plymouth was, and that we show a convincing performance at Ipswich (which, IMHO and I know most will probably disagree, is more important at this point than the win). 34/37
There's every chance that we CAN and I can stop with my hot-headed hand-wringing in way too many tweets just after the full time whistle. 35/37
35 tweets later, a positive at l(e)ast :-D Shodipo looked like he had a great nose for when to make runs centrally (as well as his obvious qualities cutting inside) and Bannan showed he was on the same wavelength more than once. 36/37
Those two combining won us the penalty and it should've given us the goal to go 2-1 up that was (from what I can see) was wrongly ruled out for offside.
Apologies again for the anger, frustration and lack of brevity! "hun is okay", honestly :-D 37/37
#swfc What a frustrating half of football. All blood and thunder from the start, blowing Shrewsbury out backwards in the opening quarter of the game, but, quite inexplicably, we've let them a poor Shrewsbury - calamitous in defence - back into the game and it's one all at HT 1/11
Shodipo tore Shrewsbury a new one down our left going either side of their sorry full back time and again and also drifting in centrally from where he won the penalty. 2/11
He also won the corner we scored from, Berahino allowed to step into the ball almost unchallenged to score. 3/11
#swfc Good things: There should be no doubt for these players that this sort of comatose laurel-resting, "big club going away to a lower league ground" sort of non-performance will see us crucified time and again, especially in this league, which has plenty of quality this year.
By some distance the worst we've been this season and at no point of the game did we have much of a handle on it. It looked like we were only seeing Plymouth's passes and movement 1-2 seconds after they were made and only then did we react to them.
We were so easy to play against: No organised pressure on their player in possession, so Plymouth given time to have player drop deep for the wall pass, swivel and run in behind onto a through ball from the first player.
#swfc Probably our worst half of the season so far. Plymouth showing everything we haven't: Tenacity, invention, movement, fluidity, connecting passes. (thread)
Plymouth have taken a leaf out of Rotherham's book and strangled our rythm by marking/pressing high when BPF is on the ball ready to distribute. I expect to see plenty more teams do the same against us considering how successful Plymouth (and R'ham) have been doing so.
There's a weird sense of passivity and lack of energy to us today. Byers, Wing have been bystanders too often and not adept at picking up the runs Plymouth make from central areas towards the sides that have been a simple, yet effective way to open us up time and again.
I'm currently deep into writing a season review/preview thing that also has a lot of financial data and analysis - obviously needs tinkering now the accounts are out 😜
Enough pre-amble, here are some charts:
Revenue likely to be halved in 20-21 and decrease further in 21-22:
If we add on transfer fees received (and what can be assumed to be compensation fee for Steve Bruce), as well as likely Covid 19 furlough compensation, we're up to £13.6m of income in 20-21, which is still half 19-20's:
#swfc have 9 matches left to complete an unlikely relegation escape.
In the thread below, a look at the historical context of what a Great Escape would look like.
The points won by teams at the bottom of this season's Championship are tracking a typical season quite closely:
In general teams at the bottom improve their form more in the last 9 matches than teams further up the table, so we shouldn't assume the helping hand of a collapse by the teams above us:
The variation is quite big, though, and the most a team in 22nd after 37 matches ever won in the final 9 matches was 18 points. The same as the typical team in 1st:
Wednesday's issue this season has been creating chances for the forwards, not the forwards converting their chances. A theme that has continued on from last season.
Our forwards this season are scoring at the same rate they were last season - a goal every third game/0.32 goals per 90 minutes - from the same general quality of chances (Expected Goals (xG) of 0.33 per 90 minutes):
The issue isn't so much our forwards scoring as it is our midfielders (and defenders) not scoring (and not getting chances).
The forwards are par for the course considering the quality of their chances, whereas defenders and midfielders "owe" 7-8 goals; same as last season: