Thread by @MurdochCadell

All the mistakes were made in Afghanistan are being repeated re China.

1. We are blindly following the US in order to ‘make them like us’. By doing so we both empower them to pursue a reckless unilateral policy, and lose our chance to be a moderating influence.

2. We are (ostensibly) trying to influence domestic policy of a sovereign country (Human Rights) by threatening their sovereignty, and dropping bombs on them.

We have no workable plan except propaganda, and sending lots and lots of military hardware into the region which will then (magically) kill ‘the bad guys’ if they don’t do what we want, but spare the ‘women and girls’

Despite or claims for being motivated by high morals and democracy, the execution of our plan will involve bribery of officials, allying ourselves with anyone, no matter how odious who is not ‘them’, torture, and murder.

Despite the plan being no more advanced than a caveman ambush, it will receive universal support from the major media outlets, and the fact that we are going ‘backwards’ will be covered up by both military leaders, politicians and media. Everything will be painted as ‘success’.

We will actually achieve the opposite of a claimed goal, because (just as in our own country) attacks by enemies don’t destabilise the reigning Govt; they act to entrench it. All our sabre rattling will make the CCP stronger. Our propaganda will backfire, showing us as liars.

All efforts at diplomacy and reason will be ridiculed as ‘appeasement’, no matter how credible their makers are. Dissenters will be hated, silenced and if they persist, jailed.

When the truth about why we are really there becomes apparent over time (to help ourselves not the people we claim to be ‘saving’) even the locals will come to hate us and see as only as ‘foreign occupation forces’. They will frequently give their lives to attack us.

After 20 (or maybe 200) years of bloody conflict leaving a million dead, we will leave, blaming the Taiwanese, or Uighurs for ‘not helping themselves’ and establishing the CCP as ‘saviours of the country from a foreign invasion’

To add insult to injury, after we leave the ruined country we will refuse visas to anyone that helped us, claiming we can’t trust them that they aren’t ‘terrorists’ who want to harm us. If they try to come they will be out in jail, along with the dissenters of this ‘Great War’

We will give out medals for dubious actions (we won’t fact check good news stories) and give positions of honour to military leaders who completely failed in their duty to actually do the right thing by the nation, as opposed to Govt. ‘Yes Men and Women’ only will be promoted.

Any questioning of Govt policy will be met with either personal attacks on the speaker, or drowned out with emotional but empty slogans such ‘what about the Chinese women and girls’ ‘rights for Muslims’ ‘Freedom!’ ‘Human Rights’

Whichever party is the most belligerent will be elected. There will be more spending on polling and advertising than planning.

Within a year on two of the disastrous campaign ending, another will be talked up. There will be no accountability for strategic failure.

A few people who make aircraft, missiles, and concrete shelters will be very wealthy.

We will hold lavish funerals for our dead, but shrug our shoulders at the mention of the thousands more killed by our bombs as simply the ‘price of freedom’

#auspol #propagandakabul #WMD #Accountability #afghanistan #lies #EnoughIsEnough #nonewwars #informationop #psyops #refugees