In my latest for @NikkeiAsia, I consider how Abe's legacy is shaping the LDP race. asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Shinzo…
Some excerpts: "This year's leadership contest reveals the extent to which his premiership continues to shape and constrain the choices available to Japan's leaders."
"It is increasingly apparent that Abe left his successors a toolbox -- fiscal and monetary stimulus, state-led industrial policy, more activist foreign policy led by a strengthened prime minister's office -- but not a road map."
"It is unclear whether the potent tools Japan's next prime minister will inherit will be equal to its challenges, or whether new policy innovations will be necessary."
Read the rest here: asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Shinzo…

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More from @observingjapan

18 Sep
The LDP's campaign website includes the "manifestos" for each of the candidates. Here's a brief guide.
1) Noda Seiko (@noda_seiko93)
Slogan: Politics that can be understood by anyone
She's less a moderate than an outright liberal, particularly in the LDP. Her statement is focused on fostering a "paradigm shift" that accommodates a more diverse society.
…in.jp-east-2.storage.api.nifcloud.com/sousai21/pdf/n…
Her platform is to "trust the experts" on Covid-19; realize child-centered politics; fairness towards women, the elderly, persons with disabilities, LGBTQ (allow separate surnames); endorses decarbonization, focuses on renewables but nothing about nuclear.
Read 35 tweets
17 Sep
Definitely keep an eye on this spreadsheet tracking which MPs are supporting which candidate.
Suffice to say, the path to Kono -- or any candidate -- winning in the first round is exceedingly narrow.
That's based not just on the estimated MP votes but also after playing around with the trust D'Hondt method PR calculator. icon.cat/util/elections
Read 9 tweets
17 Sep
I'm starting a thread for stray thoughts about the #自民党総裁選.
Kono's popularity and quirky communication style mask the extent to which he's actually quite similar to Suga. Very good with the details of policy, less good at the "vision thing." This was one of the striking things about his book.
Kishida has declared an end to neoliberal policy, but he's about ten years too late. Abe just wasn't a neoliberalism; his legacy is neo-statism.

foreignaffairs.com/articles/japan…
Read 6 tweets
17 Sep
I turn it on and immediately hear Kono talking about the importance of following the data, which is very on brand.
Candidates
This is kind of amusing and very Japanese TV. They're holding placards showing who they want to question.
Read 7 tweets
14 Sep
Because I'm a glutton for punishment, I've started reading Takaichi Sanae's newly released campaign book.
Let's just say that it takes only a few pages before she starts essentializing about Japan.
The title itself is explicit homage to Abe: 美しく、強く、成長する国へ. Not just towards a beautiful country, but towards a beautiful, strong, and growing country.
Read 43 tweets
12 Sep
Kono on Fuji TV's Mr Sunday.
Naturally, he says that the LDP leader should be able to speak directly to the public, have the support of the public.
Asked what he saw as absolutely necessary to do in office, he starts with Covid and then launches into a defense of the vaccination campaign.
Read 8 tweets

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