We went thru US and Eurozone recession fears, three US Presidential elections, Brexit, Terrorism events, many Taper tantrums, a deadly Pandemic and many more major events/headlines and here we are.
I take screenshots like these during Bear Markets and extreme volatility periods (took many during GFC, Fall 2011, Feb 2016, 4Q-2018, March 2020...) as a reminder that whatever is the news of the day will blow over and the real issues (GFC/COVID...) will get resolved with time.
It's not the Market Volatility that we should fear, it's our reactions to that Volatility that we need to be aware of and have better responses (if we call ourselves long-term investors).
Few lessons for myself (from the above listed stocks)
1⃣ $ISRG $LULU $V are the only ones from this list I owned back in 2011 & continue to hold until today.
Didn't add enough at regular intervals (despite knowing of it's importance) & kept bloating the Portfolio with new pos.
2⃣ $AAPL $AMZN $CMG $GOOG $MA $MELI : I watched & liked all of them, all the way from GFC (Fall 2008) until 2014-16 period when I finally bought them.
What took me so long? Obsession with Valuation over Quality/Durability/Growth cost me many valuable years in these great Co.'s.
3⃣ $MSFT $NFLX $NVDA : Bought them all at great times ($40, $84, $8 respectively) with the intention to hold for the long-term, but sold them in few years getting impatient or fearing Market levels & Macro stuff.
Selling good long-term positions for non thesis busting reasons or valid Portfolio/Opportunity reasons, is rarely a good thing.
4⃣ $ADBE $BKNG : Never bought them despite watching & admiring those well run Co's for 13 yrs.
What's the point of a Watchlist if you're going to keep them in there for 13 years (while liking their results/execution & acknowledging future prospects too) & never buy? Don't do it.
✔️Few General Lessons
-Volatility is the price we have to pay for good long-term results in the Markets.
-Just acknowledge that it'll show up unexpected. Don't panic or be surprised every time it shows up.
-Make the Portfolio diversified and resilient enough to absorb small shocks.
-If we own Quality Co.'s for the long-term and have conviction in them, the price drops in the holdings (purely for Macro reasons) shouldn't scare us out of our positions.
-Learn how to deal with Volatility and even take advantage of it slowly if you can.
Good Luck.
/END
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Anyone who signs stuff - "I can't wait to get back to pen/paper signing and waste a bunch of time going around places signing stuff."
2⃣ $TWLO
Developers : I hate using easy-to-use Communication APIs in all my channels and would love to re-create the wheel myself by spending a lot of time/effort.
"The Five Rules of Successful Stock Investing" by Pat Dorsey is one of the best books for individual investors (Top 5 in my opinion). Excellent summary of that book. h/t @suru27 👏
I love my Tech names for a majority of my Portfolio (BigTech, Small Tech, HW, SaaS, E-Commerce, FinTech, Consumer Tech), but there's plenty of great Co's outside of these.
Few of the other Sectors & my fav names in there.⬇️
✔️US based
✔️Tech (in a traditional sense) is not the main product of these Co.'s although they leverage it.
✔️Many of these have a mix of some of these below characteristics
✔️Great products/services
✔️Long-term oriented Mgmt teams
✔️Customer obsession
✔️Differentiated Biz Model
✔️Durable demand
✔️Innovative culture
✔️Lean operations
✔️Good Financial governance
✔️Very moaty or critical in their value chain
✔️Mkt (S&P) beaters over the 5/10 yr periods
"40 invaluable investing lessons" by Tony Deden (Chairman of Edelweiss Holdings) is such a great read for long-term investors. Worth re-reading once an year.
The "50 FINANCE BOOKS" section on this blog has excellent summaries & notes for some of the best investing books. 👏 (Couldn't find the Twitter handle of the author to credit).
Thread below with some of my fav ones from the list. ⬇️
“Just a slight change in a golfer’s grip and stance may improve his game, so a little more emphasis on buying for keeps, a little more determination not to be tempted to sell … may fatten your portfolio."