If you can look past the media noise, Biden's disapproval has slowly narrowed of late on 538, from 4.5 points underwater at its worst to 2.3 points as of today (9/21).
Will be interesting to see how this progresses.
Will be interesting to see how this progresses.
Polls are a snapshot in time.
He'll probably bump back into the green at some point IMO. The historical levels of polarization we have today makes his floor significantly higher than people might expect. As campaigning kicks off for 2022, it might stabilize a bit more.
He'll probably bump back into the green at some point IMO. The historical levels of polarization we have today makes his floor significantly higher than people might expect. As campaigning kicks off for 2022, it might stabilize a bit more.
The bigger question here is whether a change like this is evidence of any meaningful, sustained movement back or whether it's just randomness bouncing it around. Good cases for either, but whatever the answer, it'll probably be drowned out by what happens with infra/debt ceiling.
(suffice to say that if Glenn Youngkin wants an actual, real chance at the Virginia governor's mansion, the best hope for him probably lies in an October shutdown and debt-ceiling crisis that is pinned by voters on Biden and Democrats)
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