Many pieces declare France or the UK need to be involved in the Indo-Pacific without grappling with exactly how UK and France should get involved, where they should get involved in a dozen distinct areas each with own dynamics and how much power they have to shape outcomes there
Particularly with the UK, the Indo-Pacific as space for symbolic expression of great power status is typical of how debates about geopolitics and the future of the British state are often divorced from discussion about whether it still has the means to make a significant impact
France has to protect territory in the Indo-Pacific. But again rhetoric about how France is "destined" to play a role there doesn't grapple with whether it has the heft there to play a leading role rather than act as junior partner to bigger states there like US, India or Japan
However much France or UK have grand Indo-Pacific ambitions, most of their territory, trade and security pressures are in the EU neighbourhood. In a crisis in the Euro-Atlantic, Med, Sahel and MENA they would concentrate on their strategic centre of gravity over containing China
Just a plaidoyer to all the China realists for more realism about Europe's role in containing China
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If you want migrant as well as domestic workers to do a job and stay in the job if they're doing it, you need to offer them decent pay and conditions.
Differentiating between migrant and domestic workers misses the point. If you can't get domestic workers, and migrants move to another job the moment they get a chance, you still have shortages
That's the key difference to 1978 or the fuel crisis of 2000. In both cases the supply chain could get up again because the drivers and workers were in place in sufficient numbers to shift goods around the economy. The UK now needs to find workers that may go to the EU instead
Alleviating the supply chain crisis in the UK requires fundamental structural change to UK political and economic life. It involves improved conditions to attract domestic workers and fostering a state welcoming culture to attract needed migrants who can go elsewhere in Europe
Brexit is one of several factors exacerbating structural shifts in the UK economy that have been building for a decade. But anti-migrant political culture severely exacerbated by Brexit debate is a key barrier to policy needed to sustain the UK economy in times of labour shortage
The oddities around rules of origin related to the car industry mentioned here have roots in the Auto Pact negotiated between Pearson and LBJ in the mid-1960s. Just shows how much functioning trade deals build on long histories of economic integration en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canada%E2…
That's a key reason why the pitch from the UK government about joining USMCA was so ridiculous. It showed a degree of ignorance about historical specificities of trade integration between the US, Canada and Mexico that underpin their relationship which UK would have to adjust to
They're not mad if you place them in a North American historical context about how cross-border supply chains evolved since the 1920s. Structures the UK has little connection with and which would require fundamental remodelling of the UK economy
There are gradual trends towards a greater US shift to Asia as well as greater strategic autonomy in Europe built around the EU. With some focus in DC, Brussels and EU states on the basics of alliance management this process can play out without destabilising outcomes
But these trends are not going to flip everything overnight. The US pivot to Asia has been more or less on for three decades while the consolidation of EU power in Europe has been playing out since 1992. Too much frenzy over the events of the day, not enough focus on longue duree