1/ #Bitcoin is the best form of money ever discovered by humans.
This thread will recap why this is the case and what incentivizes people to "save" or HODL.
2/ #Bitcoin is an asset that has 2 unique characteristics.
1. No counter-party risk (no reliance on government, corporations, or any group of people) 2. No dilution risk (21M coins max)
3/ Bonds, stocks, real estate, fiat money, private equity, gold, and venture capital each contain one of those two risks (counter-party risk or dilution risk).
4/ These two characteristics are derived from #Bitcoin's unique properties.
Scarce, divisible, portable, fungible, transactable, durable, and immutable.
5/ #Bitcoin's properties and characteristics combined with its fair PoW coin distribution method make it the best money.
The best money is naturally a game theoretic Schelling point.
6/ Thanks to free markets being the most efficient pricing mechanism, #Bitcoin's price remains inline with BOTH adoption and increasing scarcity.
ie: scarcity increases due to its immutable programmatic monetary policy AND adoption increases due to its natural Schelling point
7/ This idea of #Bitcoin being a Schelling point isn't just theory. It's clear when comparing price with HODLing.
When individuals converge on HODLing (the Schelling point), supply is squeezed and price is launched.
8/ #Bitcoin's price appreciation over the past decade was quite literally programmed.
Its price appreciation over the next decade is also programmed.
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2/ A common “knock” on Bitcoin is that it is “too volatile”.
However, volatility isn’t necessarily a bad thing. In fact, volatility creates opportunity.
3/ Volatility and return can be assessed using something called the Sharpe Ratio, a risk adjusted return. The Sharpe ratio divides the asset return by the risk / volatility over a 4 year HODL period.
2/ The 60-40 portfolio is the basic idea that passive investors looking to efficiently transfer wealth through time should diversify their assets into 60% stocks and 40% bonds.
First, Bitcoin is the world’s hardest monetary good. It’s the only asset in the universe with no counterparty risk and no dilution risk. Bitcoin is the World’s Safest Asset.
Over the last few weeks there has been lots of discussion around things like YCC, real rates, repo market, steepening yield curve, etc. IMO, Many people are getting stuck in the weeds and missing the big picture.
2/ Neither you or me can accurately predict short term market movements over days, weeks, or even months. However, we can accurately predict long term trends.
In today’s world, money is debt. Debt is everywhere and everyone is incentivized to get into as much debt as possible.
3/ We must continue to grow the amount of debt otherwise, if the total debt (money) begins shrinking, we enter into a sharp deflationary spiral.
1. Post BTC as collateral for USD loan from @unchainedcap 2. Buy Bitcoin and short futures on @binance 3. Collect spread (currently 43% annualized) 4. Pay interest 11% 5. Earn 32%.
2/ Note these spreads can change quickly.
If Bitcoin does drop rapidly you will need to collateralize your loan. But as Bitcoin is dropping the futures spread is also likely dropping. Meaning you can close out your carry trade early and make $ profit.
3/ Since Bitcoin dropped from where you originally took your loan, you probably ended up with more Bitcoin than you started with, and you can use that to collateralize your loan.
The invention of absolute scarcity has created a massive blackhole right in the middle of the global financial system. Its gravity is so strong and so powerful that measuring Bitcoin’s “market cap” will soon not be logical or useful.
3/ First, Let’s compare two vastly different monetary technologies.
One is government fiat currency (USD) and the other is Bitcoin.