2/For my peers, let’s acknowledge: (a) there are patients for whom taper is helpful, (b)retrospective database studies showing harm (or lack of harm) don’t permit strong, uniform conclusions
(c) in medicine, we normally don’t force change on stable patients absent consent ☑️
3/But in practical reality, the policies and metrics that tend to incentivize or mandate forcible taper of stable patients lack credible evidence in their favor, and at this time they run contrary to 3 separate federal declarations from: FDA, CDC, HHS, all in 2019.
4/But if a change to care can *sometimes help & other times cause devastation* we must ask about that, with open minds
We cannot protect patients by *preaching from statistical summaries of retrospective database analyses*
Patients, families & researchers need to work together
5/One part will come from my team.
CSI:OPIOIDs is research. We seek survivors who have lost a loved one by suicide after Rx opioid change.
We are a pilot study, a survey, at this time. We have worked for 3 years, so one day it will be *more than a pilot study* We are persistent
6/We are a team. It includes, now, the people in the picture. It includes suicide scholars, health services experts, patients, and wonderful consultants not shown in the picture who care about pain and suicide among our Veterans in particular. #StopVeteranSuicide
6/If you know someone who has suffered the devastating loss of a close friend or family member suicide in the wake or a prescription opioid change, let them know, we have a survey.
Our mission is: to help prevent such deaths by suicide in the future
7/I must restate a human reality so there is no confusion:
Not these words
Not our research,
Not even my prayers …
..can immediately deliver the true Solace survivors need now,
and they can’t deliver the Protection pain patients deserve, right now 😔
8/But there is hope:
there are now patients, advocates, clinicians, researchers, thought leaders, writers, and others,
who have begun to work - painful and slow as it can feel.
And there is a teaching about this
9/I thank many who are helping patients & survivors
There are many who have stepped forward in different ways, to help patients. I will list some who influence our work, even when amongst us, there are diverse views & interpretations
@conor64@cultofphil@rhett_orackle@KennyGIsCool@benshapiro 2/Most crashes don't involve loss of life. Among about 6m car crashes a year, only 36,000 people died in 2019, ie 6 deaths per 1000 crashes. So if you drive drunk 625000 times, crudely, there are 6 deaths (lower bound, due to assumptions)
@conor64@cultofphil@rhett_orackle@KennyGIsCool@benshapiro 3/It's reasonable to guesstimate that "drunk crashes are more lethal crashes"(someone has studied this; not me).. So let's assume a person who drives drunk 100000 times causes 10 deaths. But we know that's not the real math because no single person drives drunk 100k times a year
1/New study in @DrugAlcoholDep finds that a national Stay-at-Home order for COVID-19 had "variable" impacts on opioid OD-
And it demonstrates that Emergency Dept overdose diagnoses deliver only a very cloudy view on overdose rates, - KY, OH, MA, NY sciencedirect.com/science/articl…!
2/ 3 of 4 states (MA,NY,OH,*not KY*) had a 10 week ⬇️ in ED visits for opioid OD after pandemic hit.
Then, ED visits ⬆️ for MA,OH,KY
**But ED visits don't relate tightly to death**
OD deaths for 2020, relative to 2019:
MA:⬆️2%
NY:⬆️34%
KY:⬆️54%
OH:⬆️22% commonwealthfund.org/blog/2021/drug…
3/Authors conclude what I agree with, but I'll comment.
They say:
"results support our hypothesis of a significant impact of the national stay-at-home order on ED encounters for suspected OOD in the 4 HCS states, but indicate that the dynamics of this impact differed"
1: Before sharing our *New* research on homelessness, I want to share my *First* effort - 37 years ago, as a high school senior, street interviews & moral reflection for the Homestead @epitaphHHS 🧵
2/Street interviews led me to think we are all dealt a hand of cards…
“Society as it is doesn’t really allow for the people who are dealt bad cards. We would prefer to see them dwindle away when what we really need is perhaps to give them a second chance at the deck” -1984
3/Out now in @AmJPrevMed “Unsheltered Homelessness reflects a Stack of Personal and Community risk factors among veterans” uab.edu/news/research/…
1/There is new guidance to avert the transmission of #COVID19 among persons experiencing #homelessness from @USICHgov and it demands a halt to forced breakup of camps or forced hotel-to-shelter transfers for the vulnerable: usich.gov/news/usich-rel…
2/Many communities never had hotel rooms but those that did have been pushing individuals who are quite vulnerable into tight congregate shelters, even though there is money to cover cost of emergency accommodation (plenty) sfchronicle.com/sf/article/S-F…
3/Crucially @USICH says Vaccination should be encouraged, but not treated as prerequisite to housing
(CDC: no single “preferred” vax formulation, use flyers+text, mindful planning & reminders for 2-dose regimens).
1/A new JAMA paper by @AliciaAgnoli & @fenton_jj finds #opioid taper associated with ⬆️risk of overdose & mental health crises in patients previously on higher opioid doses. I’ll offer context, summarize findings, and review implications. Here goes. jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…
2/Context: prior data showed ODs more likely in patients with higher Rx’d dose, which *couldn’t prove* cause & effect. MDs had historically ⬆️’d dose in patients who had other risks. One can argue that ⬆️doses
*ADDED risk,
*or were MARKERS of risk: jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…
3/An example: I had a case where the prior MD ⬆️’d opioid dose for a long-term patient who reported ⬆️pain. But that pt had long-term psych diagnoses, and pain ⬆️ *right after his son died* Thus, the dose ⬆️was a marker for emotional risk factors, AND (b) dose may have added risk
2/As we pointed out then, rapid deployment of funds in compliance with federal law is actually a tough lift- outreach across entire communities and new points of access were and ARE needed al.com/news/birmingha…
3/Counties and cities should be reporting to the public and the Congress - at least weekly- what dollars have been committed and what ones have not. That is part of accountability