What is @mkainerugaba up to? He's been on a very odd trajectory for the past week. Visiting Egypt and Somalia and retweeting TPLF UNGA propaganda.

This was just retweeted by @MohamedHRoble, the PM of Somalia who recently had his powers removed by Somalia President @M_Farmaajo.
Lt. Gen. Muhoozi Kainerugaba is the son of Uganda's President Yoweri Museveni, and Commander of Uganda Land Forces (UPDF), making him responsible for peacekeeping contingents, including AMISOM in Somalia.
[Image src: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African_U… >> Uganda has contributed most troops.]
Five days before @mkainerugaba's strange trip to Egypt and associated twitter activity, his father President Museveni issued a statement "ON THE MILITARY COUPS THAT HAVE RECENTLY TAKEN PLACE IN SOME
AFRICAN COUNTRIES" >> yowerikmuseveni.com/sites/default/…
On the same day @mkainerugaba posted this tweet. Recalling what appear to be fond memories of his time in Egypt.
President @KagutaMuseveni's column is an interesting read. He recounts the history of freedom fighting in Africa and asks questions about the coups in Mali and Guinea, specifically, who are the coup makers to go against the AU, whose opposition to coup's is clear and unambiguous.
Ok so back to Lt. Gen @mkainerugaba. On the same day as his father publishes a column raising questions about coups he posts three pictures recalling his time in Egypt, presumably for military training.

And his tweet is promptly quoted by Egypt Asst. Deputy FMA @melhamzawi.
And four days later he posts what appears to be a picture of himself with Lt General @mkainerugaba, quoting the General's now famous image of a younger self holding hands with then General Al-Sisi.
The timestamps on the two tweets shows that the Egyptian Minister (6.17pm) and Ugandan General's (5.11pm) tweets are just over an hour apart and one.

From this it seems reasonable to surmise they may have been together when the tweets were sent.
Two hours earlier at 3.22pm @mkainerugaba had already tweeted the photo, albeit at that time with a different message.

The first one is possibly harmless. The second however is incendiary. " If anybody thinks of fighting Egypt, he should know he will be fighting Uganda as well."
To recap the story so far:
- President @KagutaMuseveni posts a column about neo-colonialism & coups.
- Lt Gen. @mkainerugaba tweets fondly about Egypt.
- Egyptian FM responds positively.
- They meet up and the Lt. Gen. effectively threatens Ethiopia.
But Lt. Gen. @mkainerugaba doesn't stop there and posts 24 quoted versions of the two tweets. 15 of the first one and 9 of the second one. Mostly tweeted by patriotic Egyptians, who take the tweets as evidence of Ugandan support for Egypt's grievance with Ethiopia.
This is also very apparent in the replies that @mkainerugaba gets to his tweets.

And then the following day he re-tweets two more politically charged tweets. This is the first.
And this is the second.

It advertises a social media campaign being run on the Tigray Genocide being run by a Tigrayan lobby group.

N.B.: September 20th is the day before the #UNGA is set to begin and @mkainerugaba has 371k followers.

Also important to know is that @mkainerugaba, who is also known as "M7", is expected to succeed his father as President of Uganda.
And now @mkainerugaba has arrived in Mogadishu.

Amid rumours of threats that Uganda is planning to withdraw its troops from the AMISOM mission.
I won't address background of why PM Roble has had his powers removed by @M_Farmaajo, except to say that he sorely provoked it.

In conclusion any supporter of the TPLF meeting with Roble at this time is also incendiary, in Somalia & possibly also in Ethiopia.
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More from @althecat

29 Sep
An old story. But relevant to the intention to reappoint @DrTedros, unopposed to head WHO. This on top of serious allegations made against him during his time as a senior member of an oppressive US sponsored proxy TPLF Govt. in Ethiopia.

#SayNoToDrTedros
And then there is @DrTedros’s active support of a war of secession against his native Ethiopia, one which is destabilising a massive region, and which has involved repeated crimes against humanity, massacres, use of child soldiers, systemic looting and destruction of livelihoods.
Does anyone have a screenshot of @DrTedros’s “Pride” tweet in response to the @nytimes triumphant report about the TPLF offensive which took place in June under the cover of Ethiopia’s first free and fair elections?
Read 23 tweets
29 Sep
The "kid gloves" approach of the IC to the TPLF, particularly by @StateDept, & @EU_Commission's @EEAS_EU and now here @UNReliefChief is completely inexplicable.

It is clear Tigray's dire humanitarian crisis is the TPLF's responsibility with contributions from the @WFP & IC's.
The missing trucks debacle is only the latest episode in the Faulty Towers like farce. After the TPLF invaded Afar in mid July - explicitly stating their intent to cut off Addis Ababa - they blocked the aid corridor to Djibouti.
During that offensive the TPLF committed numerous massacres of isolated civilian Afar communities most notably the infamous Galicoma Massacre on August 5th. This as even now only been acknowledged by @UNICEF and as far as I am aware has not been reported in international media.
Read 13 tweets
29 Sep
A more accurate headline for this report might read:

"UN Humanitarian Chief acknowledges that lack of trucks is the cause of humanitarian crisis in Tigray."

reuters.com/world/africa/u…
This is what the bulk of the article is about.

"Griffiths said a lot of trucks go into Tigray and don't come back, compounding the humanitarian problems. He said no fuel trucks had gone into Tigray since late July."
Unfortunately the reluctance by either the UN's ERC/USG Martin Griffiths, or @Reuters to directly address TPLF leadership's clar responsibility for the shortage of trucks remains a problem. Along with the headline.
Read 7 tweets
28 Sep
Published on 17th September, it purports to show the picture as of 31st August, and is clearly the view of OCHA_Ethiopia which is the coordinator for Aid.

There are several striking features to it.
Firstly. There are quite a lot of areas inside Tigray which are designated Partially accessible. Presumably because these areas are militarised. On the Western front, and northern front and also in the border area around May Temsre where TPLF Army 1 attacked from. Image
Read 10 tweets
28 Sep
Western European and US interests only have themselves to blame for the rising influence of China and Russia on the African continent.

For a century security, espionage and foreign policy has actively assisted their corporations to loot, maim and cripple emerging democracies. Image
At the #UNGA Africa’s leaders spoke with one voice on the need for the corrupting influenced of Rich Western interests to end, and of their desire for justice, equity and resilient Pan African unity to take its place.
Leaders from the rich west spoke of the need for this in the #UNGA also, but words are cheap.

For any real progress to be made the Govt’s of the West need to change the script and the way they interact with their corporate paymasters.
Read 5 tweets
28 Sep
There was a nice clear view of Ethiopia yesterday morning from @NASA's World view.

A Meskel rainfall forecast follows.
This is a 12 day accumulating rainfall forecast. Central Ethiopian areas continue to receive around 10mm of rain a day on average through the forecast period.
The reason for the late season ongoing rains is a late rainy season climate anomaly driven by persistent monsoon conditions in the Indian Ocean, including several low pressure cyclonic storms.

This animation shows the anomaly over a 16 day period from the @NOAA GFS Model.
Read 6 tweets

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