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Conor Maguire | Value Situations

28 Sep, 6 tweets, 2 min read

Oil in the news again this morning as global energy concerns increase - oil now at a 3 year high above $80/barrel, and $panr is up ~5.5% on the London AIM market this morning -

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

ft.com/content/14d498…

bloomberg.com/news/storythre…

Real assets including commodities may now be at an inflection point -

As I wrote about yesterday, $panr is an interesting, highly asymmetric real asset play on this theme, you can read my analysis here -
valuesits.substack.com/p/the-real-ass…

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Conor Maguire | Value Situations

@ValueSituations

29 Sep

@EdAtProactive

Pantheon Resources $panr $pthrf CEO Jay Cheatham gave a brief update interview yesterday with @EdAtProactive - Here are the key takeways IMO:

proactiveinvestors.co.uk/search/advance…

1. Valuation – it was highlighted that over last 12 months $panr shares have gone 2x to a mkt cap of ~$550m (at time of interview recording) since the last fundraise when $30m was placed in Nov-20 at £0.31/share -

While this seems like a strong performance, Jay Cheatham highlighted a number of relevant points to put this in context:
1.A. At time of Nov-20 f/r oil was $40/barrel – today oil is ~$75 & the impact of oil increase to NPV of Alkaid project ALONE more than offsets the 2x increase

Read 10 tweets

Conor Maguire | Value Situations

@ValueSituations

28 Sep

I'm a fundamental analyst and don't subscribe to technical analysis, but sometimes a chart can tell an interesting story better than words can - I've been looking at energy commodity charts while studying $panr and some observations -

#Oil is a real laggard vs. #natgas and #coal - despite being up ~55% YTD it hasn't really participated in the energy price surge to same extent as its fellow fossil fuels - here's the price lag YTD, showing oil is well behind:

Here's oil lagging over last 3 yrs chart -

Read 7 tweets

Conor Maguire | Value Situations

@ValueSituations

5 Jul

Great investment ideas are found by turning over lots of rocks. In my newsletter today I wrote about how creative thinking is essential to finding which rocks to look under for ideas.
How about a thread on how Dr. Michael Burry used creative thinking to find a great idea?👇👇👇

1) Burry recognised that he needed to find unorthodox ways to tilt the market to his advantage, and that usually meant finding unusual situations the world might not be fully aware of. This led him to think creatively about how he searched for new ideas.

2) In 2001, Burry came across Avant! Corporation, a software business that was subject to a lawsuit from a competitor accusing it of stealing trade secrets. Burry found Avant! by searching for legal news stories that might lead to an investment thesis.

Read 14 tweets

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