Echoes many of the points @PeteTheCitizen has raised about work requirements:…
Basically, a lot of ideas sound good at a surface level, but the actually administrative infrastructure to deliver them might completely change how they are actually delivered.
Work requirements and low means testing thresholds don't work if we don't have the ability to actually know if people are working or what their means are in real time. Need to make policy with attention to these constraints!

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More from @besttrousers

24 Sep
"Remember the Return-to-Work bonuses that states announced to great fanfare last spring?

In most states, very few people have actually managed to get the bonus.…
I've been curious about this for a while- thanks to @ArthurDelaneyHP and @taragolshan for tracking the data down!
In 5/6 of the states, the number of people who got bonuses over the summer is about 1/20 the number of people who left unemployment insurance.

4,269 people received the bonus, while UI continuing claims dropped by 79,055.
Read 8 tweets
22 Sep
Lots of discussion about the role of objectivity in research, jumping off of @Lauren_Farre11's blog post.

I think these conversations can often benefit from specific examples.
Here's one: an @ideas42 blog post from my former colleague Nuha Saho about how his experience as a NYCHA resident gave him a lot of knowledge that aided the design of our RCT:…
This is just a nice example of the tensions that are often in play here. When we were designing the posters, we initially just did a mail merge with the administrative data to get the name for each house.

But no one actually uses the "official" name for those complexes.
Read 6 tweets
1 Jul
I know we are all all upset about the Child Allowance Website, but I want to register a Formal Complaint to Administrative Burdens twitter about Massachusett's
1.) Why the heck is this opt in? Use a state database that covers 90% of the population (for example, driver's licenses), then confirm vaccination upon being drawn.
2.) You need to respond to winning with TWENTY FOUR HOURS to be eligible Image
Read 4 tweets
24 Jun
This article does not particularly attempt to defend it's thesis statement.
The reasons Democrats have "abandoned" work requirements as a guiding principle is that they do not actually perform their intended function - imposing work requirements does not increase labor force participation.'

When policies do not work, we should move on from them.
For more read @ideas42's paper on work requirements:…
Read 5 tweets
8 Jun
I though this was a really interesting point. A lot of the jobs (ie, servers) that are trying to hire right now are *especially* unpleasant when they are short staffed.
Good excuse to post the opening from Bowles' Microeconomics - which talks about a similar coordination problem in farming. Image

1.) This can slow down rejoining the labor force (ie, there is a person n who won't get a job until n-1 person so).

2.) It *might* be possible to create "Schelling Points".
Read 4 tweets
10 May
There's a pretty tight fit between "% schools closed" and the employment-population ratio.

One thing that is especially interesting to me is that April, instead of being a weird outlier, is right on the line of best fit.
The outliers are mostly summer months (which makes a lot of sense). Here's the graph if you drop them.

R^2 is 0.79 in the first graph, 0.93 in the second.
Obviously this isn't necessarily a causal story - both of these will be caused by what's happening in the pandemic itself.
Read 4 tweets

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