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Jim Grace Profile picture
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28 Sep, 6 tweets, 4 min read
The brexiters have been lying again...

This time, it is "no HGV training last year because of covid"
But here is the official data.
gov.uk/transport/driv…

How many DQC's in Apr 20-Apr 21? : 80,442

Compare with 2017-18? : 73,081

And 2016-17? : 73,426

Hmm...

1/5
What about 2019-2020?

398,414

Eh? Wha..!!?

It turns out CPC was originally introduced in 2009, with a deadline of Sept 2014. Meaning a massive rush in 2014 and, because it runs out after 5 years, another rush in 2019 ( like an echo in the microwave background 😉).

2/5
The graph of monthly DQC's shows nothing unusual about April 2020 to April 2021 at all; it was a typical non-rush year.

Also, using the monthly totals, we can construct another graph showing the current number of valid DQC's held by UK drivers.

Interesting, eh?

3/5
Far from a "shortage due to Covid" there were 56,000 MORE licenced UK HGV drivers in May 2021 (latest month for which data) than in October 2018!!!

But I don't remember any petrol shortages or empty shelves in October 2018 - I wonder what could "B" different in 2021?

4/5
Interestingly, there were 2,856 MORE UK drivers with current DQC's in May 2021, after 14 months of Covid restrictions, than there were in January 2020, before it reached the UK.

Someone has been telling lies!
And @BBCBreaking & @bbclaurak & @Peston have helped spread them.

5/5
P.S.
Here is the link to the data gov.uk/government/sta…
if any Journo's want to check my workings...

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More from @mac_puck

Jim Grace Profile picture
21 Sep
bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…

This BBC article from March 2016 perfectly illustrates how they betrayed their viewers and their country over Brexit.

Energy Secretary, Amber Rudd, AND National Grid warn about Brexit, Energy prices & security of supply.

How does the Beeb report it?
1. The headline reports it as "a row" not what it is: a serious warning from serious experts.

2. First paragraph (in bold) is given to the leave supporters who dispute the claim.

3. They focus on the side issue: possible Russian gas restrictions, rather than the central...
issues; loss of access to implicit day ahead energy trading, and possible exclusion from EU solidarity mechanism.
(TBF, Rudd gave the BBC an opening to build that strawman, but, by golly, the grabbed the opportunity with both hands)

4. They give false equivalence
Read 7 tweets
Jim Grace Profile picture
20 Sep
In 2015 the National Grid commissioned a study into potential effects of Brexit on Energy supply in the UK.
It was published in March 2016.
vivideconomics.com/casestudy/the-…
1/
It formed the basis of their submission to the Energy and Climate Change Committee Inquiry: Leaving the EU: implications for UK energy policy.

parliament.uk/external/commi…
2/
Strangely, when I click on the link I get "Unfortunately the requested page was not found on our new website." And "We've found the former version of the page on the old version of our website. It is no longer updated, but you can use the link below to view it."
3/ Image
Read 14 tweets
Jim Grace Profile picture
15 Sep
@vivamjm
I've kinda assumed the reason Frostie delayed the SPS checks on EU imports again is because we haven't built the infrastructure and trained the people; just another case of "incompetent Tories couldn't organise a piss-up in a brewery". What if it is more than that?

1/
What if it is actually an impossible task; that the nature of the imports actually makes it impossible? That it is feasible to do SPS checks on a dozen containers of frozen of lamb twice a year from New Zealand say, but it is just logistically impossible to do SPS checks on

2/
a mixed load of *fresh* chilled produce coming in on a ro-ro truck, half a dozen times a day? And that without even introducing full checks in Belfast and Larne yet, this EU border - handling imports for 1.8M people - was generating 25% of all "3rd country import" red tape

3/
Read 6 tweets
Jim Grace Profile picture
12 Sep
PROMISE:
£350M a week for the NHS
REALITY: £1,100M a week tax rises / spending cuts announced in 2021 to pay for Brexit damage.

PROMISE:
Take back control of immigration.
REALITY:
3000% increase in visa-less arrivals by small.

1/
PROMISE:
Sobwintee!
REALITY:
A border *within* the UK.

PROMISE:
All the fish in the sea!
REALITY:
A tiny in increase in quota... but the total loss of primary market. Oblivion for UK fishing.

PROMISE:
Cheaper food.
REALITY:
20-40% Increases... and empty shelves.

2/
PROMISE:
Better Trade deals
REALITY:
G'day Liz, you poms better bend over and brace yourselves.

PROMISE:
Global Brtain.
REALITY:
Global laughing stock.

PROMISE:
UK Gov will be more "accountable" than Brussels.
REALITY:
Mwahahaha-fckn-ha!

So, Brexiters, any regrets?

3/3
Read 4 tweets
Jim Grace Profile picture
8 Sep
So... £50 to £60Bn a year of tax rises / spending cuts to be phased in over the next few years.

Is it down to Brexit or Covid?

Firstly, lets get "debt repayment" off the table.
Yes, our apparent national debt is high - over 100% of GDP - but almost half is QE

1/
...for which the net interest paid by the government is zero (it pays the interest to itself) and the other half is currently enjoying the lowest gilt yields in history, meaning the *cost* of our national debt is tge liwest it has been in 300 years.

Our £350Bn Covid debt (QE)
costs literally nothing.

The true Covid cost is the economic "scarring": how much has it *permanently* knocked off GDP?

Answer: not much

uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/bank-of-e…
Read 4 tweets
Jim Grace Profile picture
7 Sep
Hey @bbclaurak @AndrewMarr9 @robertpeston how long do you think you can keep your viewers in the dark as to the REAL reason for the UK's biggest Tax hike in 28 years?

Every tax hike, every spending cut is a Brexit tax or a Brexit cut. Caused by Boris's Botched Brexit
Removing the fuel price cap
Cutting o/seas aid
Cutting UC £20/wk
Replacing EU regional & farm funds with 3x smaller
Scaling back HS2

Anyone can see what is happening.

There is a huge brexit-shaped hole in Gov finances and the Tories / BBC are calling it anything but Brexit.
Not to mention council tax rises theguardian.com/money/2021/feb…
Read 5 tweets

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