Liqian Ren Profile picture
Oct 1, 2021 9 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1. Better headline: "Will Common Prosperity Make Japan Great Again?" MJGA!😂 We have deep expertise and top indexes on Japanese equity, particularly currency hedging. Below is the list of some under appreciated things of Japanese equity.
2. Underappreciated: If US fiscal/monetary response to the pandemic is large, Japan's is even a larger share of GDP. Lay person language: money money money for the economy.
3. Our colleague reviewed how Warren Buffet's Japanese investment last September has turned out. Following Mr. Buffet, global investors have been putting money there quietly for a while. wisdomtree.com/blog/2021-05-0…
4. There's impression that Japanese companies hoard cash and pay peanuts on dividend. Data actually showed they are increasing dividend as a faster rate than many other developed countries. @JeffWeniger
5. On Corporate Governance: a new requirement that the number of independent board directors must increase from two individuals to one-third of the mix. A new requirement to publish disclosure materials in English!!! wisdomtree.com/blog/2021-08-3…
6. Digitalization will be a growth area for Japan because they are below average in spending time on the internet and spending money on digitalization by the government. h/t Clocktowers
7. Japan leads spending on R&D and is at forefront of green energy transformation.
8. Next 20 years, competition will be fierce in energy efficiency and hard tech industries. Japanese companies are in the best position to benefit on #China's push for self-reliance on hard tech and biotech.

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More from @liqian_ren

Apr 25
China Ministry of Commerce: it will crack down on those who say you could buy cheap fake high quality brand name luxury goods that’s been popular on TikTok etc.

对以所谓“代工厂”为名虚假营销、侵权假冒等违法违规线索,我们将及时移交行政执法部门依法查处。

mp.weixin.qq.com/s/nebvTXAnNecM…Image
I know those have been popular on social media

1 China wants to have a good trade deal with Europe, thus protecting mostly European lux brands makes sense.

2. China is also developing a lot of local lux brands. It didn’t help to have fake stuff for China either.
Have I bought any fake lux branded goods in China? Looking back, yes twice, but mainly for research purposes.

Just trying to see how high quality the fake lux branded goods are.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 10
🧵I agree w. the poll and think that US & China are likely to reach a deal by year end.

By not yielding, China showed its leverage. US's original plan of everyone just shut up and pay is not feasible. Both sides now are feeling the pain. /1
US has two main pains. One is financial market /2
The other is businesses facing uncertainties and don't want to invest until things get more clarity. /3
Read 11 tweets
Oct 12, 2024
Live Press Conference Link "Strengthen countercyclical adjustment of fiscal policy and promote high-quality economic development"

Min. of Finance Minister Lan and 3 heads of departments (General, Budget, Treasury 綜合司,預算司,國庫司) will do Q/A
live.baidu.com/m/media/pclive…
Ideally the press conference set expectation and deliver expectation, with slightly positive side.

The Minister of Finance worked from bottom to the top so professional ability is high.

(最好的結果是不要太超預期。

政策太好和太壞對中國這種散戶居多的市場都沒有好處。市場預期之内,稍稍好,讓大家忘記發改委的表現,就夠了。)baike.baidu.com/item/%E8%93%9D…
This article (in Chinese but google translate good enough) reviewed minister Lan’s career path.

Moved up from the lowest level since college within the ministry. The kind who has high professionalism and loyalty to move up.

mp.weixin.qq.com/s/OIXYrXskI7EX…Image
Read 20 tweets
Oct 4, 2024
I got asked several similar questions all the time. Might just answer it here.

Q: Does the Party care about the economy?

A: The Party cares about stability and staying in power. If economy helps it stay in power, then it’s important. 1/7 Image
For example, this case of a 37 year old migrant worker randomly attacked 18 people in Shanghai and killed three.

(From social media, unverified )He was owed money and tried to get his wages.

When he was at the ends of his means he had sold his cellphone and killed randomly.
Coupled this with several recent crimes where main criminals are unemployed, the Party also has urgency to do something.

But that doesn’t mean the economy is the priority. Economy is a tool for the Party.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 21, 2024
🧵The Communique, the press conference, the Decision, "the Trinity" 😀 (決定裏有12個探索值得一看)

Overall just released "Decision" follows similar points, no big and bold initiatives, but 12 "explores" that's positive and explained below.
1/
politics.people.com.cn/n1/2024/0721/c…
Image
First Explore: Explore setting up personal bankruptcy system. (探索建立个人破产制度)

Probably a surprise to outsiders that China actually didn't have an easy personal bankruptcy system. So if one has a mortgage underwater, no easy way out. 2/
Second explore: Gradually increase mandatory/free educ from 9 years and beyond. (探索逐步扩大免费教育范围)
Background: ~45% Chinese students don't get to go to high school by standardized test and ended up vocational school or becoming a low skill worker.
/3
Read 15 tweets
May 5, 2023
Govt ignoring economic advice 🧵

China's domestic think tanks are mostly defining the current high unemployment of youth (~18%) as structural (结构性失业), showing charts the new labor supply mostly come from those w. higher education /1 Image
New labor supply coming from education, public management, manufacturing, health and social work. (图3 中国新增劳动力结构变化情况(单位:%) Image
It's suggesting China to deregulate service sector like education, entertainment to increase employment. cssn.cn/jjx/202304/t20… Image
Read 5 tweets

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