(Yeah yeah, these are all FinTwit favs, no originality points there, I know).
I would rather keep or add to my capital to the
-Well capitalized secular growth Co.'s with
-innovative & well executing Mgmt. Teams
-high Margin recurring revenues
-Co.'s offering effective solutions by leveraging the latest tech
-developing Network effects/Switching costs.
Investing is as complicated as you want to make it.
To keep it simple, few questions I ask myself during the high volatility periods
✔️Do I understand these Companies, their Industry, underlying trends and would like to hold them for the next 5 yrs? Yes
✔️Could these companies be in a much better/stronger position 5 yrs from now from a fundamental/quality standpoint? Yes, if they continue executing and capitalize on opportunities before them.
✔️Do they have any Fundamental or Balance sheet risk at the moment? No
✔️Can Tech trends change, competition increase, customer preferences evolve? Of course, but based on what we know today, they have a good chance at ongoing success for the next few years.
✔️Can these stocks continue to fall due to Macro reasons or valuation concerns? Of course, that's the reason I'm buying slowly but at a price that I think will still return a good return over a 3-5 yr period.
Few other comments
✅I would love to add more to these other holdings but they usually don't drop much due to their dominance, quality, already proven profitability: $AMZN $FB $GOOG $V $MA $PYPL $ISRG $CMG $CRM $VEEV $MTCH $NKE
✅Few more growth Co.'s that I haven't added as often but always high up in the Watchlist : $MELI $SE $SHOP $DDOG $NET $ABNB
✅Two stocks at the current levels that I would be really surprised if they don't generate a good market beating return over the next 3-5 yrs?
$ZM $TDOC
That would mean that the Mgmt really missed on growth strategy/execution. Will have to see the next few (normalized) qrtrs.
What type of an Investor you are (your experience, risk tolerance, Portfolio goals based on age and Income requirements) should determine your actions for volatile phases of the Market. Trying to preserve the gains, do nothing or slowly starting to get aggressive.
For someone with decades left to invest, and choosing the long-term individual stock picking route (in place of or in addition to Indexing), slowly adding to the high quality companies in secular growth areas, in your area of expertise or circle of competence,
monitoring the thesis effectively and only taking action when needed (from Fundamental or Portfolio reasons) should yield good results over time.
Disc : Long all the stocks mentioned in this thread. As usual, these are not recommendations. Do your DD.
/END
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My fav investing Teachers & what I learned from them.
✔️Long-term focus🔭
Warren Buffett
Charlie Munger
Chuck Akre
✔️Growth📈
Philip Fisher
Clayton Christensen
David Gardner
✔️Behavioral🧠
Benjamin Graham
Howard Marks
Seth Klarman
✔️Process🗒️
Peter Lynch
Pat Dorsey
Nick Sleep
Some key points on each.
✔️Long-term focus
Buffett : Business Owner mindset (as an investor) will prompt you to think/act long-term. Time is a friend of excellent Business and a foe of the mediocre ones.
Munger : Learn and practice multi-disciplinary thinking. Patience & common sense are rewarded in the long-term.
Akre : Developing a simple approach (for buying/holding) that will help you stay with the good companies for a long time.
Understanding the Market cycles and the factors that impact them (Capital availability, attitudes towards risk, optimism/pessimism taken to extremes) can be really helpful for long-term investors.
✔️On what causes Cycles and why trends go to excess
I love this new format even more as it lists the stocks mentioned (if any in detail) in the letters.
Always good to read well researched/written long or short commentary from some smart investors on our Portfolio/Watchlist companies.
My fav pts from some new ones I read recently in the thread below.
✔️Guardian Funds on investing in
-Thriving Digitally native businesses
-Founders that focus on culture, innovation, long-term thinking
-having an owner mindset as an investor
Anyone who signs stuff - "I can't wait to get back to pen/paper signing and waste a bunch of time going around places signing stuff."
2⃣ $TWLO
Developers : I hate using easy-to-use Communication APIs in all my channels and would love to re-create the wheel myself by spending a lot of time/effort.