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8 Oct, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Richie Havens kicked things off here in the afternoon of August 15, 1969. Image
View from the stage. ImageImage
My wife and daughters walking across the field. Image
And Buttermilk Falls along Rondout Creek in the Catskills. Image

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More from @AstorAaron

Aaron Astor Profile picture
9 Oct
Neither the Giants nor Dodgers were in the original National League, founded 1876. Only two of those teams - Chicago White Stockings (later Cubs) & Boston Red Stockings (later Braves) still exist. The Cincinnati Reds, Philadelphia Athletics & STL Browns disbanded and reappeared. Image
The New York Giants began as the New York Gothams in 1883, changing their name to Giants in 1885. Image
The Dodgers began as the Brooklyn Atlantics in the American Association in 1883. Interestingly, the Cincinnati Reds, Pittsburgh Alleghenies (later Pirates) and St. Louis Browns (now Cardinals) from the American Association also still exist today in their NL form. Image
Read 4 tweets
Aaron Astor Profile picture
19 Sep
Have watched with curious interest the ongoing debate over the American Revolution and Dunmore and one thing has struck me: There were likely a lot of people who supported ending slavery (thru gradual PA/1780-style laws) AND vehemently opposed the Dunmore proclamation.
My lens into this is the debate during the Civil War, so I want to be cautious about reading similar debates backward to the 1770s. But the *means* of emancipation mattered enormously to whites generally in favor of emancipation.
If emancipation were viewed as a product of "treachery" or "insurrection" of some kind (as Dunmore surely was perceived), support for emancipation among moderately anti-slavery elites would dissipate...but not necessarily disappear.
Read 14 tweets
Aaron Astor Profile picture
18 Sep
I've been clear all along that I support @EggerDC in this debate: previous infection-induced immunity should count as immune in a mandate. Antibody or T-cell tests are imperfect, but they could suffice. That said, the replies to BOTH threads here reflect a bigger problem.
@EggerDC That bigger problem is an unwillingness to take at face value the thing being discussed. Those who want to accept infection-induced immunity are deemed anti-vax enablers. Those who oppose an exemption are authoritarians who just want to control people.
In fact, this follows a common pattern that is not just a "very online" phenomenon: a tendency to push the debate into extreme directions. It's unhealthy because this should be a nuanced policy debate over ever-involving science and not a comic book good v. evil fight.
Read 11 tweets
Aaron Astor Profile picture
17 Sep
FDA rejects boosters for all 16+. I think that's the right call. There's no need for boosters for 20-somethings. But boosters for 65+ are justified.
Also, we need to be clear about WHY boosters are justified. It's not to cut down on all infections. It's to cut down on severity and hospitalizations. And 65+ are more vulnerable to severity and hospitalization, both initially after dose 2 and over time.
Another possibility is to have boosters for 65+ and then expand the range of co-morbidities to justify boosters for those under 65.
Read 5 tweets
Aaron Astor Profile picture
15 Sep
Not a whole lot of Dems voting for recall. And with Indies split 50-50, this thing had no chance.
Also, doesn't look like there was a big revolt of parents of school-age kids.
LOL - More Trump voters voted against recall than Biden voters voted for recall.
Read 8 tweets
Aaron Astor Profile picture
13 Sep
Didn't realize NYC was tracking cases and hospitalization by vaccination status. So here are the data for the week ending August 28. Unvaccinated are 5X likely to be infected (PCR+) than fully vaccinated. And unvaccinated are 11.4X likely to be hospitalized than fully vaccinated.
Here is the link below. Note that the cases (and hospitalizations to a lesser extent) of vaccinated rise when the unvaxxed cases rise. But for unvaxxed, cases rose from 6/27 from 36 per 100k to 381 per 100k, while vaxxed rose from 6 to 76. www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid…
Breakthrough cases are more apparent because of the increase in raw numbers of them. But the rate of case increase under Delta between vaxxed and unvaxxed was pretty similar. Vaxxed cases jumped 12.6X with Delta while unvaxxed cases jumped 10.5X with Delta.
Read 6 tweets

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