Bent MP's and a delapidated former broadcaster are out lobbying against renewables, because... er ... gas is proving to be expensive and insecure.
This is like upping your alcohol intake because of an ALD diagnosis. (As one of 'em seems to be doing 😉)
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Let's be clear: gas price volatility is due to energy companies not locking down purchases far enough in advance, because generally buying day to day costs less than 6 months or year ahead. Then one day it doesn't. But that's OK; vast profits in the good times then go pop
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leaving the customers or ultimately the taxpayer to take the hit.
The cure is not to swerve away from renewables; the cure is to regulate energy companies to force them to hedge properly against future wholesale price variations.
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The volatility issue is particularly exacerbated by our reckless departure from the IEM and the insane decision by HMG to let their friends at Centrica close 70% of our strategic gas storage, to save a few quid for the shareholders.
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Lets also be clear about energy insecurity.
This has 3 drivers:
A. Leaving the IEM puts us outside its "solidarity agreement"; if one member (eg Netherlands) has a gas crisis then other members (eg Norway) must help including diverting supplies way from non-members (eg UK)
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Apparently, "vital chemicals are timed to arrive ‘just in time’ and cannot be stockpiled as they are too volatile, meaning water plants would have to turn off the taps as soon as they ran out or risk poisoning millions"
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And we know the water companies have run out of sewage treatment chemicals, which is why they are pumping shit into all our rivers.
Is it too far-fetched to suggest Brexit "supply chain issues" might have disrupted drinking water treatment chemical supplies, too?
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Morning @chrisgreybrexit .
Do you remember how various brexit watchers said in December 2020 that the deal, thin as it was, would avoid yellowhammer? The frog would be boiled not run over. You described a slow puncture; I suggested occult bleeding.
Hmm. The last few weeks are looking a lot more like Yellowhammer after all! Was the deal thinner than we thought? Was the UK even less prepared / more mismanaged than we thought?
I reckon it's Covid. I reckon before Covid we were looking at Brexit reducing *inflow of workers
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We would get 150K fewer young, hardworking Poles, Romanians etc, every year and after 10 years our economy would be 1.5M short. But Covid created a >1M *outflow*, effectively overnight.
And this turned your slow puncture into a 90mph blow-out.
This time, it is "no HGV training last year because of covid"
But here is the official data. gov.uk/transport/driv…
How many DQC's in Apr 20-Apr 21? : 80,442
Compare with 2017-18? : 73,081
And 2016-17? : 73,426
Hmm...
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What about 2019-2020?
398,414
Eh? Wha..!!?
It turns out CPC was originally introduced in 2009, with a deadline of Sept 2014. Meaning a massive rush in 2014 and, because it runs out after 5 years, another rush in 2019 ( like an echo in the microwave background 😉).
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The graph of monthly DQC's shows nothing unusual about April 2020 to April 2021 at all; it was a typical non-rush year.
Also, using the monthly totals, we can construct another graph showing the current number of valid DQC's held by UK drivers.
This BBC article from March 2016 perfectly illustrates how they betrayed their viewers and their country over Brexit.
Energy Secretary, Amber Rudd, AND National Grid warn about Brexit, Energy prices & security of supply.
How does the Beeb report it?
1. The headline reports it as "a row" not what it is: a serious warning from serious experts.
2. First paragraph (in bold) is given to the leave supporters who dispute the claim.
3. They focus on the side issue: possible Russian gas restrictions, rather than the central...
issues; loss of access to implicit day ahead energy trading, and possible exclusion from EU solidarity mechanism.
(TBF, Rudd gave the BBC an opening to build that strawman, but, by golly, the grabbed the opportunity with both hands)
In 2015 the National Grid commissioned a study into potential effects of Brexit on Energy supply in the UK.
It was published in March 2016. vivideconomics.com/casestudy/the-… 1/
It formed the basis of their submission to the Energy and Climate Change Committee Inquiry: Leaving the EU: implications for UK energy policy.
Strangely, when I click on the link I get "Unfortunately the requested page was not found on our new website." And "We've found the former version of the page on the old version of our website. It is no longer updated, but you can use the link below to view it." 3/
@vivamjm
I've kinda assumed the reason Frostie delayed the SPS checks on EU imports again is because we haven't built the infrastructure and trained the people; just another case of "incompetent Tories couldn't organise a piss-up in a brewery". What if it is more than that?
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What if it is actually an impossible task; that the nature of the imports actually makes it impossible? That it is feasible to do SPS checks on a dozen containers of frozen of lamb twice a year from New Zealand say, but it is just logistically impossible to do SPS checks on
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a mixed load of *fresh* chilled produce coming in on a ro-ro truck, half a dozen times a day? And that without even introducing full checks in Belfast and Larne yet, this EU border - handling imports for 1.8M people - was generating 25% of all "3rd country import" red tape
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