I see 🇪🇺 decision making is as unhinged from reality a usual
They can’t possibly make a decision until on something like this until they have full access to 🇬🇧 databases rather than use something else like say basic maths
The total value of 🇪🇺 imports is ~$2tn/yr according to @WorldBank
Total exports from #NorthernIreland to 🇪🇺 are ~$10bn/yr or 0.5% of total 🇪🇺 imports
Even the GDP of NI (~$60bn) is only the equivalent of 3% of 🇪🇺 total imports
As you can see #NorthernIreland being any sort of risk to 🇪🇺 Single Market is mathematically impossible but 🇪🇺’s infantile zero risk obsession prevents them from seeing this
🇪🇺 accepted a modicum of risk in the #NorthernIreland Protocol when they negotiated & signed it but for its implementation they have tried to operate it on a zero risk model breaking it & leading us to the current situation
They need to get to grips with reality for once
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The clergy have decided to meddle in temporal matters today, specifically the #InternalMarketBill with some Good Friday Agreement grifting thrown in for good measure.
Unfortunately for them the bill in questions doesn’t support such claims.
/1 #Brexit
The specific bit of the GFA they claim is under threat by the #InternalMarketBill is s 6(2) committing the government to incorporate the European Convention on Human Rights into #NorthernIreland law which was subsequently done via the Human Rights Act 1998
/2 #Brexit
The portion of the #InternalMarketBill they appear to be referring to is Clause 47 that clarifies regulations set under Clauses 44 & 45 that pertain mainly to goods movements & state aid.
/3 #Brexit
This is slightly misleading as it mischaracterises the UK’s position on state aid in the EU talks as wanting a free for all on its side however this isn’t the case /1
In the UK’s negotiating mandate they have said that they are seeking state said rules similar to that in the EU-Canada & EU-Japan FTAs, going so far as to cite them explicitly. /2
The reports appear to say that the State Aid clauses in the U.K.-Japan FTA mirror those of the EU-Japan FTA, something we’d say we’d be ok with so what’s the big deal? /3
Forgetting for a moment that the EU itself is a serial breaker of international law (see the recent German Constitutional Court decision) & the fact we haven’t actually seen what the #InternalMarketBill says there are plenty of justifications in the WA /1
Firstly there’s Article 184 of the WA that commits the UK & the EU to negotiate in “good faith” on the future relationship. /2