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Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
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13 Oct, 5 tweets, 2 min read
This insight from the new @CBSNews poll on Biden's Build Back Better agenda needs more internal Dem discussion:

"only about a third of Americans think the plan would help them directly — or help the economy overall."

That's after 5 months of debating it.
cbsnews.com/news/democrats…
My point here is that we are in a deeper hole than I think people understand rn.

Biden's numbers are way down, our BBB agenda is not breaking through.

I try to lay out a path forward for us in this new memo, but we have a lot of work ahead of us.

ndn.org/time-for-dems-…
Very few polls I've seen from our side tested BBB against attacks. Let's see how it holds up against:

a “multitrillion-dollar spending spree” and “the largest tax increase in decades” that will lead to further inflation. “It’ll cost you."

Real world now.
washingtonpost.com/politics/gop-s…
I explain in this memo why Dems have become overly reliant on an issue's popularity.

Being popular is no guarantee of an issue's performance in a real campaign.

It's necessary but not sufficient - salience, ability to withstand challenge matter too.

ndn.org/time-for-dems-…
Reliance on an issue's popularity w/o testing salience and GOP attacks is one explanation for why we're doing all this popular stuff and Biden's approval has dropped by abt 20 pts since May.

Popularity is no guarantee of effectiveness - people who run real campaigns know this.

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More from @SimonWDC

Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
15 Oct
So, the new strategy memo I just published about how Biden can get his poll numbers back up and once again seize control of the national debate has gotten a bit of attention this week.

Here's the memo: ndn.org/time-for-dems-… 1/
Talked about the memo and why I would rather be us than them next year with my friend and teacher @JoeTrippi for his pod this week. 2/

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sim…
@JoeTrippi Also talked to the great @RonBrownstein about how central defeating COVID is to unlocking the power of the rest of the President's agenda in his new @TheAtlantic column. 3/
theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
Read 10 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
7 Oct
Held a terrific conversation yesterday about the future of Facebook and Instagram with the brilliant @zamaan_qureshi.

Hope you can check it out. (1/x)

ndn.org/video-facebook…
You can also catch @zamaan_qureshi with his colleague @DestineeAdams16 on Morning Joe yesterday. It's a really great segment. (2/x)

msnbc.com/morning-joe/wa…
Here is the compelling @Time essay @zamaan_qureshi and @DestineeAdams16 wrote that got them thrust into this vital national conversation. (3/x)

time.com/6100182/instag…
Read 6 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
4 Oct
The read that it's OK to delay the promised infrastructure vote because ultimately moderates will get a smaller BBB bill is not exactly right.

Think what most 2022 candidates truly wanted was a consensual process, like the ARP, and to avoid looking like Dems have run left.
For those running in 2022, sustained factional infighting needed to be avoided at all costs, as did anything that could be used by GOP to be able to say "see we were right - the socialists are taking over."

These concerns are just as/more important as the size of the package.
Not sure how we ended up with a process different from what created the American Rescue Plan. But during this period from late June on when the party struggles broke out, Biden's numbers have dropped 13 points on @FiveThirtyEight.
Read 5 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
29 Sep
Been amazing to watch the flood of polls hitting the center-left ecosystem this year.

What remains common, and arguably dangerous, is the failure of many to distinguish between what is popular and what is popular AND important, meaning that it could drive someone's vote. 1/x
Let's use latest @NavigatorSurvey data on what Dem voters want Biden/Congress to focus on:

COVID 75%
Jobs/Economy 51%
Climate/Weather 48%
Health Care 41%
Social Security/Medicare 28%
Afghanistan 25%
Natl Security 21%
What the clear dominance of COVID in the issue environment right now means that any poll testing Biden's agenda which does not test elements against COVID and the ARP-led recovery are painting a very incomplete picture, and may in fact be misleading. 3/x
Read 12 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
28 Sep
Know that progressives believe they are helping Biden right now but voting down a major bi-partisan bill that the President said was critical to showing the world that American democracy can work doesn’t seem to be all that helpful.
Don’t know what’s going to happen, but if progressives vote down a core plank of Biden’s agenda not sure most voters are going to see it as helpful to the POTUS.

It also likely means they lose leverage over reconciliation process.

I remain optimistic.

ndn.org/2021-year-Dems…
The issue with reconciliation is all about Manchin and Sinema. We should be able to get a robust and good package out of the House.

I am not as pessimistic as many but I may be wrong - perhaps Manchin and Sinema are trying to kill all reconciliation bills. But I don’t think so.
Read 4 tweets
Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
28 Sep
After a decade of GOP obstructionism/policy nihilism, Democrats are on the verge of having tackled a host of unaddressed challenges - COVID, climate, health care, infrastructure, an economy for all..

2021 = Dems meeting challenges, overcoming obstacles

ndn.org/2021-year-Dems…
GOP obstructionism/policy nihilism on display this week needs to become something far better understood in our politics.

It is the central reason America is not further ahead, lags in key areas.

GOP now a party of national decline.

GOP extremism we're seeing now on COVID, our democracy no different from debt ceiling, stealing SCOTUS judges and where they've ended up on the economy, health care, immigration, climate, guns....

Radicalization, recklessness is GOP brand now.

ndn.org/blog/2021/05/e…
Read 4 tweets

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