So, the new strategy memo I just published about how Biden can get his poll numbers back up and once again seize control of the national debate has gotten a bit of attention this week.
Had a really lively talk with @ianmastersmedia about the memo, and the need for Dems to come together and pass the President's agenda. Do listen. Was a good convo, and Ian is a smart and able host. 6/
One of the most interesting parts of my talk with @JoeTrippi was our discussion about whether new technologies are making Democratic drop off far less likely.
Has big implications for 2022, and another reason I'd rather be us than them. 7/
And do listen to my talk with @JoeTrippi. He is brilliant, an innovator, a dear friend.
I have learned so much from him over the years, perhaps no one did more to usher in this new digital age of politics than Joe. It's a great discussion. 8/
One of the things @JoeTrippi and I discuss is the power of a new wave of distributed phone/texting tech. Allows any Dem, anywhere, to contact possible voters, anywhere, dramatically expanding our reach.
If you want to do a deep dive on some more of our thinking abt US politics and the challenges ahead, come join us today at 2pm ET for a live showing our signature presentation, With Democrats Things Get Better.
The read that it's OK to delay the promised infrastructure vote because ultimately moderates will get a smaller BBB bill is not exactly right.
Think what most 2022 candidates truly wanted was a consensual process, like the ARP, and to avoid looking like Dems have run left.
For those running in 2022, sustained factional infighting needed to be avoided at all costs, as did anything that could be used by GOP to be able to say "see we were right - the socialists are taking over."
These concerns are just as/more important as the size of the package.
Not sure how we ended up with a process different from what created the American Rescue Plan. But during this period from late June on when the party struggles broke out, Biden's numbers have dropped 13 points on @FiveThirtyEight.
Been amazing to watch the flood of polls hitting the center-left ecosystem this year.
What remains common, and arguably dangerous, is the failure of many to distinguish between what is popular and what is popular AND important, meaning that it could drive someone's vote. 1/x
Let's use latest @NavigatorSurvey data on what Dem voters want Biden/Congress to focus on:
COVID 75%
Jobs/Economy 51%
Climate/Weather 48%
Health Care 41%
Social Security/Medicare 28%
Afghanistan 25%
Natl Security 21%
What the clear dominance of COVID in the issue environment right now means that any poll testing Biden's agenda which does not test elements against COVID and the ARP-led recovery are painting a very incomplete picture, and may in fact be misleading. 3/x
Know that progressives believe they are helping Biden right now but voting down a major bi-partisan bill that the President said was critical to showing the world that American democracy can work doesn’t seem to be all that helpful.
Don’t know what’s going to happen, but if progressives vote down a core plank of Biden’s agenda not sure most voters are going to see it as helpful to the POTUS.
It also likely means they lose leverage over reconciliation process.
After a decade of GOP obstructionism/policy nihilism, Democrats are on the verge of having tackled a host of unaddressed challenges - COVID, climate, health care, infrastructure, an economy for all..
GOP extremism we're seeing now on COVID, our democracy no different from debt ceiling, stealing SCOTUS judges and where they've ended up on the economy, health care, immigration, climate, guns....