1. Gonna sneak in a little #flu info here. New global data from @WHO covering the period to the end of Sept. shows flu activity remains very low around the world. Where flu is detected, influenza B (Victoria) viruses seem to be the dominant viruses spreading.
2. Of nearly 250,000 respiratory specimens tested for flu around the world in the 2 weeks ending Sept. 26, only 2,022 were positive. That's a 0.8% positivity rate.
#Flu will return & when it does, we could pay dearly for its hiatus. But not clear when the return will occur.
3. I'll add more to this thread after 11 a.m., when @CDC posts its weekly #flu report, FluView.
Here's a link to the @WHO flu report. who.int/teams/global-i…
4. I'm belatedly going to tweet about this week's FluView report from @CDCgov. It's for the week ending Oct. 9, which is the 1st week of the 2021-22 #flu season. (I know, weird.)
The pink line here was 2020-21, which was a non-season. The red is triangle is the start of 2021-22.
5. #Flu activity in the US is still really low. Of nearly 29,000 flu tests run in the week ending Oct. 9, only 42 were positive for flu. That's 0.14%.
FluView is here, by the way: cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ind…
6. There isn't a lot of #flu, but there isn't zero flu either. FluView reports that in the week ending Oct. 9, 276 people were hospitalized for flu in the U.S. But this graph suggests that's kind of been static since late spring.
7. Blessedly, there appears to be little #flu in long-term care facilities at present.
8. There is something (or there are some things) going around. The DC area reports high influenza-like activity, but ILI could be a range of things from flu to human coronaviruses to multiple other viruses.
9. I think the jury is still out whether #flu will make a big comeback this year. But it will make a big comeback sometime, and you don't want to catch it when it does. Flu is a miserable illness. Get a flu shot.

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More from @HelenBranswell

14 Oct
1. #Ebola news: The new outbreak near Beni in the northeastern part of DRC is a flare up of the 2018-2020 North Kivu outbreak, genetic sequencing by Congo's @inrb_kinshasa has confirmed, @SoceFallBirima told me. This outbreak is not a new spillover from nature.
Thread.
2. The first confirmed case in this new outbreak was a 3 yo boy who died on Oct. 6. Comparison of the genetic sequence of virus from this boy showed it most closely compared to viruses sequenced in July 2019.
This is the 2nd flare up in North Kivu from the 2018-20 outbreak.
3. The 1st flare up in North Kivu happened earlier this year. This new flare up is not linked to the Feb. cluster of cases, comparison of the sequences shows.
@SoceFallBirima says an investigation is underway to figure out how this flare up ignited & if there are more cases.
Read 4 tweets
13 Oct
1. The preprint from the @NIH mix-&-match #Covid vaccine trial is out. Interesting though not surprising findings. It is too bad the study was conducted using a full dose of Moderna's vaccine, given the fact the company's booster is a half dose. medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
2. The fact that the study used 2x as much vaccine in the Moderna arm than Moderna is proposing to give people with its booster shot means the Moderna findings have to be taken with a big grain of salt. It's a huge shame.
3. The study found all boosters did what the name implied — they boosted antibody levels. But mRNA boosters did it more than the J&J vaccine did.
Caveat: These findings are based on antibodies in blood not vaccine effectiveness trials. Don't know how long the boost will last.
Read 4 tweets
1 Oct
1. If you're a fan of #VRBPAC — and seriously, who isn't a fan of VRBPAC? — October is going to be a banner month.
3 upcoming meetings. More boosters! Mix-&-match! #Covid vaccine for kids!
fda.gov/news-events/pr…
2. @US_FDA announced this afternoon it will convene its vaccines advisory committee, #VRBPAC, on Oct. 14 & 15 to discuss booster shots for both the Moderna (Oct. 14) & J&J (Oct. 15) vaccines.
That will be especially welcome news for J&J recipients, I think.
3. As a bonus, the Oct. 15 meeting will include discussion of data from the NIH's mix-&-match study, where they've been looking at whether boosting with a different vaccine works as well or better, aka a heterologous boost. This is critical info for the best use of Covid vaccines
Read 4 tweets
29 Sep
1. As we look to the coming winter in the Northern Hemisphere, 2 big Qs loom. What's going to happen with Covid? & Will #flu return in a significant way this winter?
@WHO's biweekly flu update suggests transmission remains at low levels globally.
All data below are from @WHO.
2. There are smatterings of #flu here and there around the globe. Some flu B in the Caribbean & Central America. Some flu A in parts of Africa and Asia.
3. How much #flu is out there? Of nearly 276K flu tests run in 88 countries from 8/30-9/12, 1,884 were positive for flu — 0.68%.
During the same 2-week period in 2019 (ie before Covid) 7.4% of tests globally were positive for influenza. In 2020, it was 0.04%, ie almost none.
Read 8 tweets
26 Sep
1. Belatedly looked at this week's FluView from @CDCgov. There's something to watch here.
A child or teen in Ohio contracted a swine flu virus — an H1N2. Public health investigations can find no link between the person & pigs, ie didn't live on a farm, didn't attend a state fair.
2. Public health has concluded it is possible this person was infected by another person. According to @CDCgov, they can see no evidence of ongoing person-to-person spread. But this bears watching. The 2009 flu pandemic was caused by a swine #flu virus.
3. There are a number of cases every year of people contracting a swine #flu virus in the US. Ten reported so far this year. Typically they occur in people who live or work on a farm with pigs, live with someone who works with pigs or has had contact with pigs at a fair.
Read 4 tweets
23 Sep
1. Good day. #ACIP is meeting today to vote on recommendations about who should receive a booster shot of the Pfizer #Covid vaccine. The meeting starts at noon ET. I will be live tweeting.
@US_FDA's EUA for the Pfizer booster is veeeeeery broad. statnews.com/2021/09/22/fda…
2. The meeting is underway. Doran Fink of @US_FDA is now explaining FDA's EUA for the Pfizer booster, which was issued last night.
My observation: The group of people eligible for a booster under this EAU is very broad. 16-17 yos are excluded but many over 18 will be eligible.
3. @CDCDirector is addressing #ACIP. She acknowledges that the committee has to make decisions, sometimes with a huge amount of data, sometimes with "a paucity."
She mentions pregnant people.
My observation: Oddly, there was no mention of them in the FDA EUA.
Read 50 tweets

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