1/It's time to take stock of where we are w/#COVID19 in Maine from an epidemiological perspective.

Let's start with the big picture. The PCR positivity rate is now 5.3%. One incubation period ago, it was at 4.5%.
2/A portion of that increase is attributable to less PCR testing.

Right now, the current daily PCR testing volume stands at 471/100K people. That's 13% lower than one incubation period ago, leading to a higher positivity rate.
3/Hospitalizations are thankfully lower, but still high. Right now, 166 people are in the hospital in #Maine w/#COVID19. 60 of them are in the ICU and 31 are on ventilators.

Two weeks ago, there were 211 people hospitalized, with 67 in the ICU, though 27 on a ventilator.
4/Vaccinations are continuing, with Maine administering 3849 doses/day right now. That's a 20% increase over the past 2 weeks.

About 56% of the vaccines being administered are 3rd doses.
5/What does all this mean?

Simply stated, we're still in this. It's too early to tell to what degree (if any) things are easing in #Maine.
Some metrics have improved, to be sure, but will we remain at a high plateau like the UK?

That is, of course, up to us.
6/Sadly, @MEPublicHealth reported five additional deaths today, including one in an individual <20 years of age.

We offer the friends, families, and communities of those who have passed our deepest condolences.

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More from @nirav_mainecdc

2 Aug
1/It's important to consider the full picture when interpreting data on things like the % of people fully vaccinated who are hospitalized with #COVID19, or the fact that 74% of the cases in the P-town outbreak were fully vaccinated.
2/I have seen folks express concern upon learning, for example, that 45% of people hospitalized w/COVID19 are vaccinated.

"But I thought the vaccine keeps you out of the hospital? Is this evidence that vaccines aren't working?" No, it is not.

I'll walk through why here.
3/First, some basic assumptions. There are two Worlds, each with 1M people. And we'll consider the same infectious disease affecting each World, with the parameters below.

There is also a vaccine, with the effectiveness parameters noted below. These could all be changed.
Read 17 tweets
24 Nov 20
1/Good afternoon, Maine. Today is a somber day. @MEPublicHealth is reporting the deaths of 12 individuals w/#COVID19.

Their deaths brings the total number of individuals who have passed away w/COVID in Maine to 189.
2/In addition, #Maine logged 255 new cases of #COVID19, for a total of 10,799 individuals.

Right now, 105 people are in the hospital w/COVID. 43 of them are in the ICU and 9 are on a ventilator.
3/Our 7-day test positivity rate stands at 2.62%.

Roughly 1 month ago (10/24), it was 0.55%. #COVID19 #Maine
Read 6 tweets
24 Nov 20
1/I've previously referenced a study from Kansas' @KDHE looking at the impact of face coverings on reducing #COVID19 on a population level.

@CDCMMWR recently published the full analysis. cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/6…
2/"After the governor’s executive order, COVID-19 incidence decreased (mean decrease of 0.08 cases per 100,000 per day; net decrease of 6%) among counties with a mask mandate but continued to increase (mean increase of 0.11 cases per 100,000 per day; net increase of 100%)..."
3/"...among counties without a mask mandate (nonmandated counties)."
Read 4 tweets
21 Nov 20
1/Good afternoon, #Maine. We have sadly crossed the 10,000 case milestone w/#COVID19.

@MEPublicHealth is reporting a total of 10,123 individuals w/#COVID19 (+165).

Another individual has died w/COVID. He was a man in his 70s from Cumberland Co.
2/His passing marks the 174th death w/#COVID19 in #Maine. We offer his family, friends, and community our condolences.

7713 individuals have recovered (+123).
3/Cumulatively, 636 have been hospitalized. In the past 30 days, 158 have been hospitalized.

And right now, 86 people are in the hospital w/#COVID19 in #Maine.

41 of them are in the ICU and 11 are on ventilators.

We wish them all a speedy recovery.
Read 7 tweets
15 Nov 20
1/Good afternoon-@MEPublicHealth is reporting 8944 individuals with #COVID19 (+153). Of those, 8006 are confirmed (+124) and 938 are probable (+29).

6681 have recovered (+84).
2/Sadly, two additional Maine people have died w/#COVID19: a woman in her 80s from Somerset Co. and a man in his 80s from Kennebec Co.

They mark the 164th and 165th deaths in Maine associated with #COVID19.

We offer our condolences to their families and friends.
3/Right now, 71people are in the hospital with #COVID19 in #Maine (+4).

24 of them are in the ICU (+1) and 7 are on a ventilator (=).

106 ICU beds are available.
Read 6 tweets
14 Nov 20
1/Good morning, #Maine. @MEPublicHealth is reporting 8791 total individuals with #COVID19 (+152).

Of those, 7882 are confirmed (+134) and 909 are probable (+18).
2/Sadly, another individual has passed away.

She was a woman in her 80s from York County. Her passing marks the 163rd death in Maine associated with #COVID19.

We offer her family, friends, and community our condolences during this time of grief.
3/Overall, 6597 individuals have recovered (+169).

Hospitalizations continue to increase. Right now, 67 people are in the hospital (+1). 23 of them are in the ICU (+5) and 7 are on ventilators (+1).

108 ICU beds are available.
Read 9 tweets

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