10/19 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Continued declines
* Combined Pos% is 6.87% as of 10/9
* Cases 7DMA nearing 4000
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 7.81%, census below 5000, down 64% from 8/25
* This wave least fatal of the 3 C19 waves

1/n
.
10/19 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 10/9 at 6.87%
* Testing peak 9/13 @ 1.12 million tests a week. Testing as of 10/9 is @ 713K per week
* Positive Tests 7DMA nearing 7K per day
* Covidestim Rt jumps to 0.91 but mostly based on odd testing/fatality graph

2/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/19 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/19 7DMA is 4,055, down 73% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 24% Week over week

3/n
. ImageImageImage
10/19 Hospitalizations

* Single Day Peak was 8/25- 13932
* Current census is 4953, lowest since 7/25
* 7DMA declining at a rate of 19.5% week over week
* % of beds tagged as Covid 8.54%. Peak was 21.88% on 8/30
* ICU beds in use lowest since 7/30

4/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/19 - Hosp Covid Admits

* 7DMA of 535
* Statewide Admits down 70% from their peak on 8/23
* Statewide Admits 7DMA Rate of Decline of 21.4% Week over Week
* TMC Admits also declining strongly, 25% WoW
* Hospitalizations will continue to decline rapidly

5/n
. ImageImage
10/19 Fatalities

* Summer 2021 wave is 16% less fatal per hospitalization than the previous 2 waves through Day 100.
* Summer 2021 CFR is 19% less Summer 2020 CFR
* Day 1-100 for each wave
* 5/20/20 - 8/27/20
* 10/5/20 - 1/12/21
* 6/20/21 - 9/27/21

6/n
. ImageImage
10/19 Conclusion

Declines will continue for the next 7-10 days at a minimum.

7/end

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More from @therealarod1984

13 Oct
10/13 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Continued declines
* Combined Pos% below 8% as of 10/3
* Cases 7DMA below 4900
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 9.53%, census below 6100, down 56% from 8/25
* Fatalities analysis between the 3 Covid waves

1/n
.
10/13 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 10/3 at 7.92%
* Testing peak 9/13 @ 1.12 million tests a week. Testing as of 10/3 is @ 757K per week
* Positive Tests descending through 7DMA of 8.6K per day
* Covidestim Rt at 0.57. New low

2/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/13 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/13 7DMA is 4,887, down 68% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 23% Week over week

3/n
. ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
10 Oct
10/9 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Falling like a rock
* Combined Pos% below 8.5% as of 9/30
* Cases 7DMA below 5400
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 9.98%, census below 6500, down 53% from 8/25
* Fatalities peaked 9/1 at 334. Declines since

1/n
.
10/9 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 9/30 at 8.42%
* At the peak of this on 9/13, we were running 1.12 million tests a week. As of 9/30 we're running 777K per week
* Positive Tests descending through 7DMA of 9.4K
* Covidestim Rt at 0.66

2/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/9 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/9 7DMA is 5,373, down 65% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 25% Week over week

3/n
. ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
7 Oct
10/7 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Everything falling fast
* Combined Pos% below 9% as of 9/28
* Cases 7DMA nearing 6000
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 10.83%, census below 7200, down 49% from 8/25
* Fatalities peaked 9/1 at 326. Declines since

1/n
.
10/7 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 9/28 at 8.95%
* At the peak of this on 9/13, we were running 1.12 million tests a week. As of 9/28 we're running 781K per week
* Positive Tests descending through 7DMA of 10K
* Covidestim Rt at 0.69

2/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/7 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/5 7DMA is 6,029, down 61% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 27% Week over week

3/n
. ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
6 Oct
10/5 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Combined Pos% below 10% as of 9/26
* Cases down 60% from 9/14 peak
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 12.23%, census below 7800, down 42% from 8/25 peak
* Fatalities peaked 9/1 at 326. Declines since.

1/n
.
10/5 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 9/26 at 9.69%
* At the peak of this on 9/13, we were running 1.12 million tests a week. As of 9/26 we're running 821K per week
* Positive Tests are declining much more rapidly than total Tests
* Covidestim Rt at 0.68.

2/n
.
10/5 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/5 7DMA is 6,228, down 60% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline near 30% Week over week
* Into a steeper decline than we saw Summer 2020

3/n
.
Read 7 tweets
1 Oct
9/30 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

This thread is more for me than anyone else. Hope you get something out of it. Been looking forward to putting this out. I'm doing better. Appreciate all of your concerns and prayers over the past 2 weeks!

1/n
.
9/30 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 9/22 at 11.29%
* At the peak of this on 9/13, we were running 1.12 million tests a week. As of 9/22 were running 870K per week.
* Covidestim Rt at 0.60. Never seen it that low

2/n
. ImageImageImage
9/30 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 9/30 7DMA is 8,204
* 7DMA has been in double digit decline for 15 days.

3/n
. ImageImageImage
Read 8 tweets
18 Sep
9/17 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

1) Hospitalizations with another good drop
2) Cases continue steady decline
3) Pos% & Testing not showing pre Labor day strength.
4) 377 Fatalities reported, -23 vs last week.

1/n
.
9/17 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 9/9 at 13.41%
* Testing and positive tests so far don't appear will fully rebound to pre-Labor Day highs
* Covidestim Rt down from 0.72 to 0.69

2/n
.
9/17 Cases

* Case Peak 9/14
* 13.9K Cases reported, vs 19.5K last Fri
* Case 7DMA WoW declines 9%.
* Now we watch to see if the testing drop off translates in the coming days and we do not see a new case peak.

3/n
.
Read 5 tweets

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