Thread by @awong37

Some data slides released today @SKGov w/ accompanying discussion via Dr. Shahab.

Short 🧵 w/ commentary.

First, being unvaccinated in #SK = 28X risk of ICU admission, 13X risk of hospitalization, and 6X risk of getting COVID vs. being fully vaccinated. (1/6)

#COVID19SK

Second, ~50% of all persons admitted to hospital in October had 1st positive COVID test on/after being admitted. This informs approach to early therapy, monoclonal Abs, etc.

Earlier testing & identification of illness clearly ideal. (2/6)

#COVID19SK

Overall #SK ICU census numbers continue to rise dramatically, shown by the graph on the right, attached. This is what's killing us right now.

We need relief through combination of public health measures, more ICU staff, and out-of-province transfers. (3/6)

#COVID19SK

Modelling suggests #SK ICU census will remain 'stuck' for ~2-3 weeks regardless of any interventions we take. Moving people out-of-province will provide some relief.

Additional PHOs to decrease population contacts (i.e. curves 3/4/5) will make BIG difference (4/6)

#COVID19SK

In summary: mandated PHOs to SIGNIFICANTLY reduce population contact (gathering restrictions, capacity limits) will make biggest difference to bring #SK curve down FAST.

Pushing vaccine uptake aggressively at same time will keep #SK from another monster wave. (5/6)

#COVID19SK

For reference, here's the link to the full data deck in PDF format here:

bit.ly/3DWBwiA

#COVID19SK

/end