So many people get emotional about $ARKK, same way they do about BTC or $TSLA. I think they are positioned for the Exponential Age and the chart are looks like a consolidation to me.
Most people would suggest that in an inflation trend, hyper long duration growth doesn't work. But the bond market suggests that inflation is not the problem. The monthly DeMark in yields has worked 100% of the time. sometimes there is a re-test.
The weekly is in place too...
And 4 days from the daily 9...
While financial conditions are tightening from rate of change of Fed balance sheet, rising rates, rising oil costs, rising food costs, rising housing costs, rising dollar, fiscal cliff, etc

Me thinks the the inflation bet is not a one way one in 2022.

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More from @RaoulGMI

23 Oct
I've a big obsession about music. It's friday night and its time to give a thread about songs that shouldn't have been written. Things that are musically odd but are pure magic. Original masterpieces.

This is not exhaustive but songs I just shake my head and ask how?
This is the story of creative genius and songs that are near impossible to write as they follow no normal structure. This is something I admire MASSIVELY. Song that I don't understand how someone thought of them because they are so damned unique.
Starting back in 1959 is Miles Davis Kind of Blue - an entire masterpiece album . The album is top 3 of all time The tempo was creatively bravely neither fast nor slow. It didn't fit in. It was all wrong but so right...

Read 18 tweets
21 Oct
Just a few small excerpts from todays Real Vision Pro (like a cut down Global Macro Investor created with my partner @JulianMI2of @MI2Partners - different perspectives add huge value, just ask our members).

BTC continues to follow 2013 very well.
I think there is a decent chance (not a certainty) that this BTC cycle extends longer in time and higher in price...
Here is the chart using the uptrend from 2015 low... same outcome.
Read 5 tweets
16 Oct
Final thought for a Friday night:

You can be angry at central banks, government, debt, demographics or politics and how it affects us all or you can be optimistic and migrate to the new world of digital assets. The choice is yours.
If it’s of any help to those that feel like they don’t trust this new world, I am blessed to have as friends many of the worlds most famous and successful investors and a huge percentage have moved to a hybrid of traditional strategies plus Exponential Age tech plus crypto.
You can bet with them or you can write them off as fools. But do you want to get against; Soros, Tiger, Moore Capital, Tudor, Brevan Howard, Balyasni, Etc. They are all involved as are many more from the Gov of Singapore to Abu Dhabi.
Read 5 tweets
16 Oct
If you don’t see by now that the tokenization of everything is the biggest thing we have ever seen and will ever see, I cant help you as much. It dwarfs all other opportunities for risk reward over time. Web 3.0 is something few yet understand but will change business forever. 1/
I’m working on getting RV into that world over time. So much cool shit in our plans!

But I’m working on setting up some other projects too.

Hedge funds in crypto produce amazing alpha but are capital starved. I’m going to solve that with a crypto fund of funds.
Sadly that is currently only for HNW and institutions as laws make it hard for normal people.

That launches very soon and solves some big issues for crypto hedge funds, family offices, investors and institutions.
Read 5 tweets
3 Oct
Things are happening so fast, and with such quantum leaps in NFT world, that I am struggling to get to grips with it, let alone all of the projects and breakthroughs.

1/
I totally get it at a relatively superficial conceptual level but the cultural depths and societal implications are something Im trying to catch up with but I know its bigger than Im imagining.

The issue for me is that is all feels like a closed group of those in the know
And the rest of us feel like we have our nose pressed up again the windows, looking it at everyone having a great time.

If you are not on Discord, and in the "in" crowd you literally have no idea how to approach this. Im not on Discord.
Read 10 tweets
2 Oct
Im finding it very hard to not get extremely bullish about the next few months. Almost every crypto chart looks coiled and ready for a big move after months of consolidation. Here are the two charts that matter to me right now:
This is total market cap. It is likely ready to move from 2 standard deviation oversold vs trend to overbought. That looks to me that the entire space can 3x into year end and 6x into next year ( I think the cycle extends).
The outright chart of market cap is ludicrously bullish once it crossed $900m in market cap and will be an acceleration point. Wave 3 in technical analysis term ushered in by this giant cup and handle/wedge.
Read 4 tweets

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