$PROG has officially triggered ALL of my Short Exempt Squeeze Signals.
Utilization is over 95% since 9/22
Short Exempts were 6% of short volume today, 3rd day in a row above 3%
SMA is 5% up for the 10th day in a row
Short Vol 53M today
This will be a long-ish thread. Buckle up
The short volume being over 53M today speaks volumes to the effor that was made to control the price today.
It didn't work.
Here's the FINRA Short volume data from today.
Meanwhile, @ORTEX is updating or their brokers are stalling for time while they manage the chaos.
$PROG's call chain has been growing at an incredible rate over the past two months, where we began with less than 20k OI on the call side from October to January, all the way to over 100k calls just in November alone.
This image was taken Oct 13, just before Expiration
61.7k ITM
$2.00 is an incredibly strong base of support, with many more $PROG holders having bought in much, much lower at $1.50 and below.
With today's price action, we re-affirmed $2.00 as a base, and are working on breaking through $3 every single green day we have. Today makes the 3rd
Back to the options chain today, we have 44.5K calls ITM currently for 11/19 at $2.50 and below.
Near the money up to $4, we have an additional
70,539 calls, worth 7M shares, which is just incredible.
Just imagining the gamma potential gets my tits jacked.
In total, on this chain, if we reach $4 before 11/19, that would be equal to 115k calls or 11.5M shares in all.
Oh, but it gets better. Max-pain for the Put chain sits above $3 at a tidy 28.8K puts, or 2.88M shares for $8,640,900 in lost equity at $3 or more per share.
Given the weight of the put-call ratio massively favoring the bull side, it may simply be that most of these puts are probably hedges against any retracement, which seems less and less likely with each passing day.
$PROG and $PFE are increasingly being dicussed together as $PROG's ingestible delivery systems for drugs like Humira continue to make headlines. There is a rumor circulating of some kind of buy out.
Haven't confirmed anything of the sort, but even rumors can fuel speculation.
Regardless, $PROG is moving ahead, and it's growing more and more evident every day that the stock is building momentum toward it's true valuation.
Shorts are fucked at this point. This stock isn't going back to where it was 2 months ago. The situation has completely turned.
The shorts who have been in since below $1.60 have been bleeding daily, and everyone who still holds a position above $2 can breath a huge sigh of relief while we make our slow climb toward $5.
Long term, I see $PROG trading well above $20, but only after this squeeze settles.
With 67% SI and 80% of all shorts underwater, no shares available for borrowing, and the average cost basis for shorts being at $1.60, $PROG is looking like a race for the door for short sellers.
My guess is they're hoping for another dilution to give them a chance at escape.
As mentioned in official SEC filings made by $PROG, no dilution or even an announcement of plans for dilution can take place until 11/20 per $PROG's most recent 8-K filing.
Plenty of time.
But this dilution is what shorts are banking on taking place to escape before a squeeze.
For the record, this tool of a grinning idiot right here has 60% voting power over $PROG, so any vote to dilute is basically his decision. If he makes a move to filibuster a diliution, then we all know it's an attempt by Athyrium to squeeze out retail in order to buy-out $PROG
I intend to remind Mr. Ferrell in an email of his Fiduciary Duty to $PROG investors, that if he votes to dilute the stock of $PROG for a third time this year that he will be doing so in direct violation of his fiduciary duty to his fellow shareholders. shareholderoppression.com/shareholder-di…
That aside, I wanted to say that I'm really proud to be with such a commited group of investors that believe in what $PROG can become as a company, and that I genuinely believe in it's future.
See ya'll on the moon. 🤘
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Seems like all I every do anymore is talk people off the edge...
Ladies and gentlemen... Shorts have run out of ammo. They pushed $PROG down to $2.30, and it bounced again off $2.35.
We now have a Sine wave.
Ya'll panic too much. 😂
Let me continue by saying that $PROG recently got placed on the Threshold Security List, which means that as of 5 days prior, it's FTDs exceeded 0.5% of its outstanding shares.
There are at least 750k shares that have failed to deliver to holders which must eventually cover.
There is obviously some concerns after the stock fell from $3.50 back down to $2.30.
Can I just remind everyone that we are still up 380% since $PROG hit its all time low of $0.60?
That shorts are still underwater by 145% since $1.60?
I truly wish more folks from the #infosec community took an active interest in our financial markets.
Many of us have been hacktivists, digital protesters, and advocates for change ever since we entered our first BBS board.
This is something we can understand...and change.
For those of you who are interested enough to read past the first tweet, I've been a pentester for going on 7 years, and have been obsessed with #hacking and #infosec ever since I was a teenager.
And I've felt more of a connection to people who think like that than anyone else.
For whatever reason, we seem to gravitate toward the idea of democratizing the internet and are huge advocates for freedom of speech, anti-censorship, and anti-authoritarian.
Somehow I have better relationships with nameless strangers on the internet than my family cuz of this.
I'm briefly revisiting my DD on $PROG from 18 days ago because there was some call outs I made ahead of time that have played out, and will help give newcommers to this stock some much needed confidence and context for why the price is rising so rapidly and why it will continue.
On Oct 1, I called out the options chain in this thread, but since then, there was major action in calls leading up to Oct 15.
Specifically, I said that if the price would stay above $1.50 that $3 would be inavitable.
We can take comfort in the fact that, comparing the options chain from Oct 1 and 13 side by side shows that almost all of those options at $2 and below were held to expiration and expired ITM
The following Monday, $PROG ran to $3 like it was nothing.
I believe I may have figured out what the market makers are doing with the deep ITM calls.
They're buying and exercising them instantly when delta is close to 1.00.
The premium and purchase of the shares, at those levels.
Market makers are guaranteeing acquisition of shares in order to sell them into the market and dump on the price, but by exercising options, they do not cause ANY change in the price because it is an executed contract.
Meaning... the purchase doesn't go through the exchange...
This is the same situation with ISDA contracts. They're privately exchanged between two parties that agree to shake hands on providing shares through selling of call options to be exercised almost precisely at-cost.
The short entity can then acquire these shares without buying
I know tons of people will and have already said this was the wrong way to do this, but there really wasn't a "right" way to do it, because screenshots of my questions surrounding the proxy were taken without context and shared without my permission. 1/12
Someone took the decision out of my hands because they chose to start taking screenshots of what I thought was a candid, private discussion about the stock, and my attempts to do more DD that I was planning to share with everyone on social media.
2/12
I hasdn't even spent 15 seconds doing my DD before someone took what I said and started sharing it out of context with my name attached to a speculative statement about what I thought the proxy meant, and it started spreading around instantly.
I'm afraid I'm here to disclose to everyone that I'm exiting my $BBIG position. I have done some analysis on the proxy, which I was not able to confirm, but has nevertheless convinced me that, at least in the short term, it's too risky for me to continue.
I recently received a series of margin calls which have forced me to decide which stocks I was going to stay in and which ones I was going to have to walk away from, and $BBIG is one of the ones I had to cut loose.
The reason I cut $BBIG loose is because of personal financial reasons in order to protect myself and my own family's stability, which is something I've always advocated for everyone to do.
But now this has become a problem because too many people give my opinion too much weight.