Big picture & neutral Jimmy Lake evaluation thread.
I have a formula (#CoachEvaluation) that grades FBS head coaches.
I've yet to deep test for predictive value. Anecdotally it works, but I have a lot of work to do before I'd feel really good using it in front of an AD.
Conceptually, it compares the performance of a team in a HC's tenure w/ the that of the team in the years prior to the HC's hire. Using advanced metrics, with the goal being to be fair to both coaches taking over strong
2/25
programs (to avoid the "nowhere to go but down" dynamic) and coaches taking over bad programs. It knows that reasonable expectations are drastically different, both across teams in any given moment, and within the same program over different eras.
We can poke fun at Texas for a bad stretch from 2013-2017.
In the CFP era, TCU & Oklahoma State posted higher avg SRS ratings, and UT's hypothetical inclusion in the SEC would've actually * lowered * the SEC's avg SRS. LOL.