Best #CoachEvaluation comps to Jimmy Lake

^ Y2 score -30% to -60% (Lake now is -45%)
^ P5
^ since 2000
^ no deep rebuilds

Y2 / Final (sorted by inheritance quality)

-57% / -50% : Rodriguez, Michigan (3)
-42% / -42% : Taggart, FSU (3)
-32% / -15% : Shannon, Miami (4)

1/4
-38% / -37% : Strong, Texas (3)
-31% / -23% : Tuberville, Texas Tech (3)
-49% / -49% : Gilbertson, UW (2)
-31% / -41% : Prince, Kansas State (3)
-37% / -41% : Rhule, Baylor (3, promoted)
-32% / -39% : Neuheisel, UCLA (4)
-42% / -50% : Kragthorpe, Louisville (3)

2/4
-36% / -23% : Kingsbury, Texas Tech (6, promoted)
-48% / -9% : Sitake, BYU (5, sitting)
-45% / -57% : Mackovic, Arizona (3)
-39% / -42% : Hawkins, Colorado (5)
-31% / -13% : Dykes, Cal (4)
-47% / -46% : Brewster, Minnesota (4)
-30% / 25% : Sherman, Texas A&M (4)

3/4
-38% / -62% : Andersen, Oregon State (3)
-44% / -16% : Teevens, Stanford (3)
-39% / -13% : Kelly, UCLA (3, current)
-46% / -67% : Robinson, Syracuse (4)
-40% / -36% : Orgeron, Mississippi (3)
-45% / -36% : Hope, Purdue (4)
-57% / -27% : Gill, Kansas (2)

4/4

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More from @PDawg206

24 Oct
Big picture & neutral Jimmy Lake evaluation thread.

I have a formula (#CoachEvaluation) that grades FBS head coaches.

I've yet to deep test for predictive value. Anecdotally it works, but I have a lot of work to do before I'd feel really good using it in front of an AD.

1/25
A little about the #CoachEvaluation formula...

Conceptually, it compares the performance of a team in a HC's tenure w/ the that of the team in the years prior to the HC's hire. Using advanced metrics, with the goal being to be fair to both coaches taking over strong

2/25
programs (to avoid the "nowhere to go but down" dynamic) and coaches taking over bad programs. It knows that reasonable expectations are drastically different, both across teams in any given moment, and within the same program over different eras.

Are there potential

3/25
Read 25 tweets
1 Aug
Without Texas & Oklahoma, can the Big 12 continue performing as a power conference * on the field * ?

Yes it can.

A thread ... @BobBowlsby

1/
First let's state the obvious, that losing Texas & Oklahoma is a blow.

Since 2017, they've been the two best programs in the Big 12. Oklahoma has been the clear #5 nationally, with a ceiling, but an extremely high floor.

National SRS, 2017-2020

images2.imgbox.com/32/5f/uuS0QmCr…

2/
We can poke fun at Texas for a bad stretch from 2013-2017.

In the CFP era, TCU & Oklahoma State posted higher avg SRS ratings, and UT's hypothetical inclusion in the SEC would've actually * lowered * the SEC's avg SRS. LOL.

National SRS, 2014-2020

images2.imgbox.com/32/5f/uuS0QmCr…

3/
Read 18 tweets

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