However, locking in policies for "keeping 1.5 alive," aware of the inaction of the developed countries, is a risky path to take. 10 coal plants were withdrawn due to finance from MDBs being blocked or an autonomous decision? Our emissions are not determining factor; theirs are!!
Number of new jobs expected is admirable. But, opening up of inspiringly named Mujib Plan to global community would help useful peer review. Especially if the plan is based on closed door advice from INGOs, aid agencies, etc.
Climate Vulnerability Forum should focus on the inadequacy of net zero pledges that imply cumulative emissions exceeding carbon budget of 1.5!! Tinkering with numbers here and there from rest-of-world when big three (US, EU, China) will cross 500 GtCO2 not reassuring.
India can't compensate for inaction, carbon grab and oil and gas commitment of Annex I. Climate Vulnerability Forum member countries do not want to become the Afghanistans' of UK-US climate policy. Deeds not words - and their deeds before yours - this is the only viable mantra.
Report acknowledges clearly that cumulative emissions on the way to net zero determines warming as in figure in Chapter 3 ..........newclimate.org/2021/10/26/emi… 2/n
In words again: "Global net-zero emissions targets in isolation set only a weak limit on the maximum level of global warming (Rogelj et al.2015), as the maximum level of warming is largely defined by the cumulative amount of CO2 emissions emitted until net zero (IPCC 2018)."
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Africa can’t sacrifice its future prosperity for Western climate goals. The continent should balance its energy mix, not rush straight toward renewables—even though that will likely frustrate some of those gathering at next week’s global climate conference in Glasgow.
My continent’s energy choices will dictate much of the climate’s future. Conservative estimates project that Africa’s population of 1.3 billion will double by 2050. Africans’ energy consumption will likely surpass that of the European Union around the same time.
DEBUNKING THE "RICH INDIAN EMITTER" STORY.
Persistent confusion created by international NGOs who argue that India's rich are "hiding behind the poor". Debunked earlier. Chancel and Piketty's 2015 paper (C&P) debunks it further. @JMauskar@moefcc@3rdworldnetwork@byadavbjp
C&P have three potent graphics. First - Share of emissions from Indians among world's top 10 emitters who emit 45% of world emissions -- only 1% of 45%, i.e. 0.45% of global emissions. NORTH AMERICANS AND EUROPEANS AMONG TOP 10% CONTRIBUTE 27% OF GLOBAL EMISSIONS.
1/n कुल CO2 उत्सर्जन का महत्व
जलवायु परिवर्तन एवं वैश्विक तापमान कुल CO2 उत्सर्जन से निर्धारित होता है, नाकि वर्ष विशेष में हुए उत्सर्जन से। वैश्विक तापमान कुल CO2 उत्सर्जन के समानुपाती होता है, (प्रत्येक 1000 GtCO2 जुड़ने पर औसतन 0.45℃ तापमान की वृद्धि होती है)
2/n शून्य शेष स्थिति
जब वायुमंडल में उत्सर्जित (वर्ष विशेष) मानवजनित GHGs की सम्पूर्ण मात्रा विभिन्न मानवी प्रयासों के माध्यम से वायुमंडल से वापस निकाल ली जाती है। इस स्थिति को उत्सर्जन की शून्य शेष स्थिति कहते हैं।
Hah! Not very useful. Nothing in your thread I am not aware of. My questions to you were rhetorical ( but thanks @EmergingRoy 😄 anyway). I am aware of your report - my thread shows i know it is "lowest cost" pathways. @JMauskar@KanitkarT@3rdworldnetwork@bforboseman@n_thanki
If your really want to engage -- publish in the open domain, transparently next to your report the data for India and all the G-20. I couldn't find it. We want to know what you mean by low cost and what it means in real terms.
Second, if these low-cost pathways are not attainable without finance, why should anyone first declare it as target and then hope for money -- to be in the good books of @WRIClimate@CA_Latest@climateactiontr, the new Moody's and S&P of the climate world?
First thing that hits your eye is this chart!! India has a greater 2030 gap than the US?? Really? And even Canada and Australia? How did they even get here?? 2/n
At COP26 empty words will count, not action. The Paris drop-out gets to the top of the class now. Remember failed pre-2020 commitments? US 5.13 Gt CO2 in 1990 > 5.28 Gt CO2 in 2019. Non-EIT Annex-I will reach 2020, 0.4% above 1990. India is supposed to clean up after them?
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