DEBUNKING THE "RICH INDIAN EMITTER" STORY.
Persistent confusion created by international NGOs who argue that India's rich are "hiding behind the poor". Debunked earlier. Chancel and Piketty's 2015 paper (C&P) debunks it further. @JMauskar @moefcc @3rdworldnetwork @byadavbjp
C&P have three potent graphics. First - Share of emissions from Indians among world's top 10 emitters who emit 45% of world emissions -- only 1% of 45%, i.e. 0.45% of global emissions. NORTH AMERICANS AND EUROPEANS AMONG TOP 10% CONTRIBUTE 27% OF GLOBAL EMISSIONS.
Look at bottom 50% of global emitters who emit only 13% of global emissions. Of this, Indians emit 36% of this, i.e. 4.68% of global emissions. NO SIGNIFICANT NORTH AMERICAN AND EUROPEAN CONTRIBUTION IN THIS BOTTOM 50%.
Now examine the middle 40% of global emitters who emit 42% of global emissions. Of this, Indians emit 5%, i.e. 2.1% of global emissions. NORTH AMERICANS AND EUROPEANS AMONG MIDDLE 40% CONTRIBUTE 10.5 % OF GLOBAL EMISSIONS.
Before you start disputing it, assure you that my interpretation of the charts is correct as given by C&P. See full figure, especially the key at the bottom.
Wouldn't have changed all that much in 2020, except China's share perhaps.
Huge N. American and European share in top 10% and total absence in bottom 50% shows who is responsible for emissions even today. C&P argues based on figure below that individual high-emitters across all countries are important.
However this is general trend. Will be very moderate for India. Am pretty sure given other facts that India contributes far more to between country inequality than within country inequality. Intra-India inequalities do not matter, except very negligibly, on the global scale.
Sneak Peek -- Examining the correlation with wealth per adult ranking and contribution to global emissions is next on agenda!!

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More from @tjayaraman

26 Oct
Africa can’t sacrifice its future prosperity for Western climate goals. The continent should balance its energy mix, not rush straight toward renewables—even though that will likely frustrate some of those gathering at next week’s global climate conference in Glasgow.
My continent’s energy choices will dictate much of the climate’s future. Conservative estimates project that Africa’s population of 1.3 billion will double by 2050. Africans’ energy consumption will likely surpass that of the European Union around the same time.
Read 9 tweets
25 Oct
Admire the courage and forthrightness of Bangladesh PM's take on COP26. Her conviction on the path ahead for her country is inspiring. Short 🧵. @3rdworldnetwork @JMauskar @bforboseman @KanitkarT @BhaskerTripathi @nit_set
ft.com/content/67b171…
However, locking in policies for "keeping 1.5 alive," aware of the inaction of the developed countries, is a risky path to take. 10 coal plants were withdrawn due to finance from MDBs being blocked or an autonomous decision? Our emissions are not determining factor; theirs are!!
Number of new jobs expected is admirable. But, opening up of inspiringly named Mujib Plan to global community would help useful peer review. Especially if the plan is based on closed door advice from INGOs, aid agencies, etc.
Read 6 tweets
19 Oct
@DBhaskarHindi @NavbharatTimes @DAINIKJAGRANdel @Ujalanewspaper @lokmatsamachar @aajtak @ZeeNews @newsclickin @ndtvindia @JagranNews
जलवायु परिवर्तन नीति और कार्बन बजट -- एक परिचय
@manjeetpatel मंजीत पटेल को आभार
@KanitkarT @JMauskar @moefcc @byadavbjp
1/n
कुल CO2 उत्सर्जन का महत्व
जलवायु परिवर्तन एवं वैश्विक तापमान कुल CO2 उत्सर्जन से निर्धारित होता है, नाकि वर्ष विशेष में हुए उत्सर्जन से। वैश्विक तापमान कुल CO2 उत्सर्जन के समानुपाती होता है, (प्रत्येक 1000 GtCO2 जुड़ने पर औसतन 0.45℃ तापमान की वृद्धि होती है)
2/n
शून्य शेष स्थिति
जब वायुमंडल में उत्सर्जित (वर्ष विशेष) मानवजनित GHGs की सम्पूर्ण मात्रा विभिन्न मानवी प्रयासों के माध्यम से वायुमंडल से वापस निकाल ली जाती है। इस स्थिति को उत्सर्जन की शून्य शेष स्थिति कहते हैं।
Read 15 tweets
18 Oct
Hah! Not very useful. Nothing in your thread I am not aware of. My questions to you were rhetorical ( but thanks @EmergingRoy 😄 anyway). I am aware of your report - my thread shows i know it is "lowest cost" pathways. @JMauskar @KanitkarT @3rdworldnetwork @bforboseman @n_thanki
If your really want to engage -- publish in the open domain, transparently next to your report the data for India and all the G-20. I couldn't find it. We want to know what you mean by low cost and what it means in real terms.
Second, if these low-cost pathways are not attainable without finance, why should anyone first declare it as target and then hope for money -- to be in the good books of @WRIClimate @CA_Latest @climateactiontr, the new Moody's and S&P of the climate world?
Read 8 tweets
17 Oct
NOW @WRIClimate JOINS THE COP26 GREENWASH PARTY. Craven kow-towing to the US, India-bashing in full swing. Shameful.
@n_thanki @WRIIndia @JMauskar @3rdworldnetwork
@bforboseman @KanitkarT @AGNChairUNFCCC @moefcc @CANIntl
Here are some highlights.....
1/n
First thing that hits your eye is this chart!! India has a greater 2030 gap than the US?? Really? And even Canada and Australia? How did they even get here??
2/n
At COP26 empty words will count, not action. The Paris drop-out gets to the top of the class now. Remember failed pre-2020 commitments? US 5.13 Gt CO2 in 1990 > 5.28 Gt CO2 in 2019. Non-EIT Annex-I will reach 2020, 0.4% above 1990. India is supposed to clean up after them?
3/n
Read 9 tweets
14 Oct
A comment with some initial promise, but quickly bogged down. Reason? Have to convince themselves, somehow, that developing countries must also get on the "net zero" bandwagon. @mauskar @KanitkarT @3rdworldnetwork @bforboseman
First part of paper acknowledges importance of carbon budget, how remaining budget for 1.5 is woefully short. Not exactly an earth-shaking finding -- but good they agree. It was pretty obvious at the time of Paris itself.
Negative emissions brought on board by scientists, to try and squeeze blood out of stone!! Otherwise there was zilch to say about 1.5 deg C as a target, except -- INFEASIBLE. So 1.5 deg scenarios have liberal, walloping doses of -ve emissions.
Read 12 tweets

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