10/26 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Declines continue but floor approaching
* Combined Pos% is 5.85% as of 10/16
* Cases 7DMA of 3062
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 6.43%, census at 4077, down 71% from 8/25

1/n
.
10/26 Indicators

* Total positivity % as of 10/16 at 5.85%
* Testing peak 9/13 @ 1.12M tests a week. Testing as of 10/16 is @ 652K per week
* Positive Tests 7DMA below 5400/day. Meaning cases were in decline as of 10/16
* Covidestim Rt down to historic low of 0.56

2/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/26 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/26 7DMA is 3,062 down 80% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline still steep at 24% Week over week

3/n
. ImageImageImage
10/26 Hospitalizations

* Single Day Peak was 8/25 - 13932
* Current census is 4077, lowest since 7/22
* 7DMA WoW rate of decline slowing slightly to 18.8%
* % of beds tagged as Covid 6.43%. Peak was 21.88% on 8/30
* ICU beds in use lowest since 7/26

4/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/26 - Hosp Covid Admits

* 7DMA of 476
* Statewide Admits down 73% from their peak on 8/23
* Statewide Admits 7DMA Rate of Decline slowing to 11.0%
* Hospitalizations will continue to decline but rate of decline is slowing for this leading indicator

5/n
. Image
10/26 Fatalities

Fatalities continue to follow along the general hospitalization line.

6/n
. Image
10/26 Conclusion

7/end
.

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More from @therealarod1984

22 Oct
10/22 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Bye Bye Bye
* Combined Pos% is 6.39% as of 10/12
* Cases 7DMA below 3300
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 6.92%, census below 4600, down 67% from 8/25
* This wave least fatal of the 3 C19 waves

1/n
.
10/22 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 10/12 at 6.39%
* Testing peak 9/13 @ 1.12 million tests a week. Testing as of 10/12 is @ 679K per week
* Positive Tests 7DMA nearing 6200 per day. Meaning cases will continue to decline
* Covidestim Rt declines to 0.87

2/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/22 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/19 7DMA is 4,153 down 74% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 27% Week over week

3/n
. ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
20 Oct
10/19 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Continued declines
* Combined Pos% is 6.87% as of 10/9
* Cases 7DMA nearing 4000
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 7.81%, census below 5000, down 64% from 8/25
* This wave least fatal of the 3 C19 waves

1/n
.
10/19 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 10/9 at 6.87%
* Testing peak 9/13 @ 1.12 million tests a week. Testing as of 10/9 is @ 713K per week
* Positive Tests 7DMA nearing 7K per day
* Covidestim Rt jumps to 0.91 but mostly based on odd testing/fatality graph

2/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/19 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/19 7DMA is 4,055, down 73% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 24% Week over week

3/n
. ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
13 Oct
10/13 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Continued declines
* Combined Pos% below 8% as of 10/3
* Cases 7DMA below 4900
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 9.53%, census below 6100, down 56% from 8/25
* Fatalities analysis between the 3 Covid waves

1/n
.
10/13 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 10/3 at 7.92%
* Testing peak 9/13 @ 1.12 million tests a week. Testing as of 10/3 is @ 757K per week
* Positive Tests descending through 7DMA of 8.6K per day
* Covidestim Rt at 0.57. New low

2/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/13 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/13 7DMA is 4,887, down 68% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 23% Week over week

3/n
. ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
10 Oct
10/9 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Falling like a rock
* Combined Pos% below 8.5% as of 9/30
* Cases 7DMA below 5400
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 9.98%, census below 6500, down 53% from 8/25
* Fatalities peaked 9/1 at 334. Declines since

1/n
.
10/9 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 9/30 at 8.42%
* At the peak of this on 9/13, we were running 1.12 million tests a week. As of 9/30 we're running 777K per week
* Positive Tests descending through 7DMA of 9.4K
* Covidestim Rt at 0.66

2/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/9 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/9 7DMA is 5,373, down 65% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 25% Week over week

3/n
. ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
7 Oct
10/7 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Everything falling fast
* Combined Pos% below 9% as of 9/28
* Cases 7DMA nearing 6000
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 10.83%, census below 7200, down 49% from 8/25
* Fatalities peaked 9/1 at 326. Declines since

1/n
.
10/7 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 9/28 at 8.95%
* At the peak of this on 9/13, we were running 1.12 million tests a week. As of 9/28 we're running 781K per week
* Positive Tests descending through 7DMA of 10K
* Covidestim Rt at 0.69

2/n
. ImageImageImageImage
10/7 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/5 7DMA is 6,029, down 61% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline at 27% Week over week

3/n
. ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
6 Oct
10/5 Texas C19 Pos%, Case, Hosp & Fatality Update:

THREAD:

* Combined Pos% below 10% as of 9/26
* Cases down 60% from 9/14 peak
* Total Beds tagged C19 down to 12.23%, census below 7800, down 42% from 8/25 peak
* Fatalities peaked 9/1 at 326. Declines since.

1/n
.
10/5 Indicators

* Total positivity rate as of 9/26 at 9.69%
* At the peak of this on 9/13, we were running 1.12 million tests a week. As of 9/26 we're running 821K per week
* Positive Tests are declining much more rapidly than total Tests
* Covidestim Rt at 0.68.

2/n
.
10/5 Cases

* 7DMA Case Peak was 9/14 at 15,419
* 10/5 7DMA is 6,228, down 60% from 9/14
* 7DMA rate of decline near 30% Week over week
* Into a steeper decline than we saw Summer 2020

3/n
.
Read 7 tweets

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