Long time readers know that I believe the core beginning action to combat climate change is to reduce our surface speed. Reduce transportation speed. Reduce the national speed limit 5 mph, per year, until it reaches 15 mph or the speed of a running horse.
This raises eyebrows.
2. You don't need to tell me people won't this is impossible, I got all that.
This is only if we actually wanted to combat climate change, which we don't.
If we wanted to combat climate change we would take action to reduce emissions now.
Lots of obvious ways, but speed > all.
3. From here I could proceed several different ways.
My focus on speed is a giant yawner. Everyone is like, yeah, right, let's do something *big*. Slowing down isn't worth the effort.
So let's talk about speed, energy, and transportation.
Using my favorite graphic.
4. The big green line across the bottom is petroleum on the left, going (mostly) into transportation on the right. The rest goes into industry, and that's largely still transportation, inside industrial facilities. Mine trucks and the like. Some direct heat, too, but...
5. The biggest green line, the transportation part.
How much of that do you think is used by speed? Do you think five percent? Ten percent?
One hundred percent of that line is used for speed.
One hundred percent of the petroleum used in transportation is burned for one purpose:
6. To accelerate mass to, and maintain it at, speed.
That's it.
We have always transported things, probably since we were hunter gatherers. We never needed to change the climate to be able to transport things until we decided we needed to transport them faster than food energy.
7. We sailed boatloads of trade goods around the world powered by the winds that blew. Our ambassador and Secretary of State, Thomas Jefferson, went to Paris to represent the newly created nation. On a sailing ship. People did it all the time.
8. One hundred percent of the transportation share of our petroleum appetite and resulting CO2 emissions is used to create and maintain speed.
It is commonly assumed that we can't live without our current high speed system, but I have never seen a reasoned defense of that thesis
9. I freely grant that if we stopped dead at a walking pace tomorrow it would be a disaster and cost untold lives. I specifically do not recommend that.
I recommend slowing, all the nations of the Earth, 5 mph / 8 kmph speed limit, per year, ad follows:
10. Using US numbers and mile measurements, coz I live there.
(All these numbers are enforced)
First year, 60 mph Max, nationwide.
2: 55
3: 50
4: 45
5: 40
6: 35
7: 30
8: 25
9: 20
10: 15 mph or the speed of a trotting horse.
Worldwide.
You'd see humongous reduction CO2.
11. Apply a similar energy throughput approach to commercial aviation until it is no longer possible, then halt it forever.
This change by itself might make the emissions numbers all the liars at COP will be using.
This change would show immediate reduction in emissions.
12. The reduction in speed would change long distance shipping drastically. Only high value, specialty goods would be worth room on a sailing trader. Using today's knowledge of aerodynamics we could build highly efficient sailing vessels.
13. Shit like this would be impossible. The world would be better for it.
14. If you feel the urge to yell at me and tell me I'm a fool after reading this thread, please be aware that I have heard all the talking points and reject them as demonstrably false.
Here is my evidence. theguardian.com/environment/20…
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I've taken the day, before now, off Twitter.
If I had a human community here I wouldn't "need" social media. Social media is only necessary in a dead society.
I wish I were Amish. They are the last surviving cohesive community in America, maybe in the developed world.
2. The Amish chose to not accept tractors and cars specifically because they had the wisdom to see that it would tear their community apart, the power to travel away, the power to not need your neighbors.
We shoot each other instead.
I massively do not belong in developed America
3. I'm tired, tireder than you could possibly imagine, of being the sole voice for reducing fuel use in the present and immediate future. Tired of hearing the pushback, tired of making my case, tired of speaking for physics and facts. It's not worth doing in techno America
At all
I was depressed this afternoon, tired, sore, stiff. The Biden Administration and its climate theater has monumentally depressed me. All these people I'd rather agree with think Meaningful Action is being taken, or blocked by Manchin, or whatever, and it's like, bandaid magic.
I'd pissed away a bunch of the day scrolling Twitter and getting more and more depressed, so I didn't have enough time to harness up the girls and do anything. It takes almost half an hour to harness them.
Been real windy all day. Wind makes me tired.
So I got my bucket, and my sickle, my bottle of water, and my file (to touch up the sickle edge) and went over to the east savannah to see how many chestnuts had survived the brutal summer.
I've got some down on the edge of the riparian woods, but the hillsides are harder.
Say we actually wanted to curb climate change. Not stop it, but slow the rate of increase. Say that was the objective of COPXXVI (we name them like Stupor Bowls, right?)
Addressing climate change is expressly not the objective of COP. The objective is maintaining economic growth.
2. But say, instead, we wanted to curb it.
What causes climate change? We do things which are powered by fossil fuels and at least one direct outcome of that is climate change. The fuels leave molecules in the atmosphere.
3. OK, so, if you want to refuse climate change, you look at your life and you say, what things can I not do that are powered by fuel? What can I leave out?
We live in a world which expends energy to manufacture leaf blowers.
They are powered by fuel. Yes, the electric ones too.
I have so many great friends on here. I'm having a conversation with one now.
This thing we're doing on and with Earth, it's not working. There is almost no thing being done by humankind today, humankind writ large, the effective majority, which is not profoundly destructive.
2. And, in my sincere belief, profoundly unethical.
I don't know any honorable people today who think that the white conquest of this continent, and most of the world, was ethical. We have admitted that our founding is based in genocide and slavery. Not everyone, but some of us.
3. Although it would be slightly an exaggeration, it would not be much of an exaggeration to say that every job in the developed world causes climate change.
And there is no possible way our societies as we run them can survive climate change. And we're engaged in a giant pretend
Although they're only peripherally related topics, I'm going to launch another thread with this retweet of myself.
Mostly I write about facts, which are subject to verification from generally accepted science and / or dictionaries.
But now an opinion about where we're headed.
2. I don't think that developed society as we know it today will continue for very long. I think it is currently showing signs of failure. Energy shortages, democracies failing, ransomware, shipping backlogs, fires, hurricanes - various localized events where high energy fails.
3. So far, developed regions have mostly been able to respond, to bring back the energy system, prevent mass death events, mostly.
In the event of a widespread interruption of energy distribution, one which can't be filled in from neighboring regions, there will be mass death.
I am going to address the present tense.
Those of you who are old enough remember when they asked Bill Clinton, "Is there a sexual relationship between you and <<her>> and he said, "It depends on what your definition of "is" is."
People just went wild. Everyone knows what Is is!
2. Of course, what they meant was, "Everybody knows there's no difference between "is" and "was"!"
Because there was a relationship, but...
You know. Is. Or was. Or will be.
We developed these tenses in our language over the millennia for a reason.
3. Today, every day, I hear (well, read, technically) "We have the renewables. We just need to transition to them."
OK, do that.
Turn them on, turn off the fossil stuff.
Because, according to that statement, one hundred percent of the needed physical objects already exist.