Breakthrough infections “naturally boost” immune response.

First detailed description of immune response following breakthrough infections. This is a study on a subset of 35 people (infected vs uninfected) from the Provincetown Massachusetts outbreak, US.

See thread 👇

1/
The study compared 14 fully vaccinated individuals who got symptomatic COVID-19.

They were compared to 21 fully vaccinated individuals who were not infected during this outbreak.

469 individuals were infected in the outbreak that occurred in July.

2/
Details of the outbreak: Among the 469 people who were infected, 3/4 were fully vaccinated.

Five people were hospitalised, four of whom were fully vaccinated.

There were no deaths.

See earlier tweet for details, Will link below.

Main findings from this study👇

3/
Cellular immunity was boosted by breakthrough infections.

There was a two-fold rise in CD4 and 2.7-4.4 fold increase in CD8 (T cells) after infection.

CD8 cells were below limit among uninfected.

This also shows that apparent absence of CD8 did not lead to infection.

3/
Antibodies

There was a 3-4 fold increase in neutralising antibodies & 2-8 fold rise in binding antibodies following infection.

No neutralising antibodies were found among Pfizer vaccine recipients after 5 to 6 months, confirming that neutralising antibodies decline steeply.

4/
Mucosal immunity was also measured.

Mucosal IgA increased 5-8 fold while mucosal IgG increased 19-21 fold following infection.

This is consistent with anamnestic response, which will likely protect these individuals from natural infection over a time window of a few months.

5/
In summary, this study shows that neutralising antibodies declined after vaccination, increasing the risk of picking up mild or moderate infections - while mingling in crowds.

Breakthrough infections elicited an anamnestic response, thus boosting antibodies & T cells.

6/
It is noteworthy that this ‘booster’ response also covered delta variant - which meant that vaccines built on the “old platform” (of the original virus) are good enough to elicit a customised response in the future.

Although predicted, it is still good to see these results.

7/7
Report from the July outbreak, Provincetown Massachusetts

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More from @RajeevJayadevan

30 Oct
Vaccine effectiveness DOES NOT decline even after 6 months

Study from Sweden with wrong conclusions of “waning protection” against severe & symptomatic disease (see my annotations on the table)

Also illustrates the fallacy of observational studies

1/16

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf… ImageImage
The study looked at vaccinated and and vaccinated people in Sweden and looked at the event rates up to 9 months.

They calculated vaccine effectiveness at regular intervals until past six months. The authors conclude erroneously that vaccine effectiveness drops to (zero).

2/
The traditional method of calculating effectiveness is to compare the outcomes in the vaccinated & vaccinated groups and see the percentage difference between the two.

Eg. If 10 events happen in the unvax group and only 1 event occurs in the vax group, effectiveness is 90%.

3/
Read 20 tweets
10 Oct
Vaccinated people have higher infection rates than unvaccinated - among all age groups over 30.

This is data from Public Health England. Rate is per 100,000.

Original graphs from PHE attached, reference link on thread.

Thanks @tlowdon

1/5
At the same time, vaccinated individuals are less likely to be admitted to hospital, or die from COVID-19.

The reported death protection is likely to be an underestimation, because vaccination preferentially occurs among people who have more background illnesses.

2/
The question is why the rate of infection is higher among vaccinated people.

It is obvious by now that vaccines aren’t very good at stopping the virus from entering the nose or throat, particularly past the initial few weeks of high antibody titres.

3/
Read 7 tweets
10 Oct
Comparison of immune response of vaccination with natural infection

1. Memory cells remains stable in number over the first 5 to 6 months in both groups

2. Memory cells continue to evolve with increased somatic mutation & emergence of unique clones

1/

nature.com/articles/s4158…
3. After natural infection, neutralising breath of memory antibodies increases with time, not much increase noted in the vaccine group.

4. We do not know yet if a third dose (or breakthrough infection) after 2-dose vaccination will generate more memory B cells

2/
5. In both groups (natural infection & vaccine), affinity maturation increased 3-7.5 fold at 5-6 months.

6. In the vaccine group, affinity increased 4.5 fold, while in natural infection it increased 11.2 fold at 5-6 months

3/
Read 9 tweets
10 Oct
Opinion of an immunologist about COVID-19 in children.

He believes that children must be vaccinated before attending school in person.

While that is his opinion as an immunologist, there are several pitfalls here.

I had done a detailed thread earlier. Will link it below.👇
Whether Children should be vaccinated before attending school is a topic where not everyone agrees upon.

In other words this is not a binary topic; which means that a “yes or no” answer is not relevant.

That is why the opinion of doctors who take care of patients matter.

2/
Experience in my part of India on the ground has overwhelmingly stated the following facts.

1. Regardless of what immunology says, the chance that a child will fall sick from COVID-19 is so rare - it is much rarer than chance of death from many routine things in life.

3/
Read 13 tweets
8 Oct
Vaccination of healthy children not necessary before opening schools, writes @DrLahariya

1. Severe disease risk close to zero (exceptions don’t define policy)
2. Current vaccines not very effective in blocking virus infection in nose

1/

theindiaforum.in/article/reopen… @TheIndiaForum
When we view the outside world while standing in the ICU, it is easy to be tricked into believing that the whole world is falling severely ill.

It is true that a tiny % of children fall ill, but that % is less than 0.008 (Kerala) and is ~made up of children with comorbidity.
2/
Which is why if we only look at the severely ill children, we will not be able to see the massive denominator of healthy children who were not affected significantly by the virus.

3/
Read 14 tweets
7 Oct
T cell response in Astrazeneca vaccine recipients.

Study of 296 people aged 18 to 85 years.

Thread 👇

There has been plenty of discussion about antibodies following vaccination but studies of T cell response are uncommon. This paper gives details.

1/

science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
Optimal T cell response was detected - that is CD4 Th1 and CD8 with a high degree of polyfunctionality, covering a broad range of spike protein epitopes.

2/
This increased T cell breadth will help fight variants. In other words, a few viral mutations here or there will not make a difference to these T cells.

This means the virus will continue to be hunted down even if it modified its appearance to gain entry into the body.

3/
Read 7 tweets

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