I have a friend who helps manage wealth for clients net worth $500m+

They all have loans against their holdings at 0.1%, fixed five year terms

That’s the money they live on

They never sell, when they die basis is adjusted via step-up and they never pay cap gains

Tax free life
What about estate tax?!

No one pays estate tax, you set up a series of trusts and your heirs get all the money estate and cap gains tax free

$20 billion annually is collected via estate taxes, of $140 trillion in wealth

The only way you pay is if you have very poor planning
Normal people pay 10-40% of their annual income taxes and have little wealth

We tax poor people trying to build a small nest egg and the ultra wealthy pay next to nothing

“What about the income tax stats showing the top 1% pay 35% of income taxes?!”
The doctors and lawyers do pay high taxes on their income yes

But the ultra wealthy who live off assets (far wealthier than doctors) report no income, so it’s not included in the denominator of these statistics

Meaning all that tax free wealth gain is distorting the stats
If you’re reading this odds are the system wasn’t designed for you

You are a cash flowing asset of the people it was designed for
This also contributes to "stocks only going up"

As equity holdings become more and more concentrated into fewer and fewer hands, they are increasingly held by people who have no motivation to ever realize gains

Low interest rates contribute in more ways than one to the bubble
This would become unprofitable at some level of higher short term interest rates

Even though banks give these super preferred low rates to the ultra wealthy to keep them as clients, they would eventually pass on the cost

The wealthy have to then weigh cap gains tax vs interest
But even then, how much do the ultra wealthy really need to sell of their holdings to live off of?

If you have $1 billion, and you grow that by 5-10% a year, it's growing $50-$100m annually. You can easily realize $20 million each year and live lavishly after taxes
Thus even if we raise rates and they stop doing the borrow-to-live strategy, the vast majority of their wealth will still end up never becoming a realized capital gain and will escape tax free
what about the need to diversify assets and rebalance holdings? Aren't gains realized then?

Actually for clients of say $50m and up who are CEOs or founders of companies with concentrated positions, there are pooling arrangements available
Through a complicated legal arrangement, various people's concentrated assets are legally pooled with other people's concentrated holdings, with each participant getting both the benefit of no one selling (no taxes) as well as diversification

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More from @ThHappyHawaiian

28 Oct
Let's talk #Gold and #Silver price targets for the current bull run, follow along and see if you're picking up what I'm putting down

Start with long duration TIPS ETF, $LTPZ

Just broke out of a perfect cup and handle, and using the basic extension puts it on a path to $99 Image
Next look at #Gold relative to long duration TIPS,

the $PHYS / $LTPZ ratio

It's been on an steady uptrend since 2015, and if you ignore the covid period, has a solid upper resistance as well, which if it touched in the next 6 months, would be a ratio of roughly 0.1750 Image
Combining these first two elements you'd get roughly $2200 for #Gold

And if we look at the Gold / #Silver ratio, plotted with fib levels, you can see the red trendline would get us to the 1.618 extension in late Q1 2022, or a 51 GSR

Using $2200 gold gives us $43 silver Image
Read 6 tweets
27 Apr
The fact that @PeterSchiff defended unallocated #silver accounts again on his show, but without adding anything of substance, shows what a great job the true precious metals community is doing

Keep educating people as to what these accounts are, get a refund, buy real metal!
I’m clearly not alone in saying this, but the metal just isn’t there

And #perthmint & @Kitco_Metals dont hide that fact either

You are lending money and paying a shitload of fees to do so

You have little to no rights in these contracts. It’s simply a terrible product
@PeterSchiff and his bank EuroPac collect massive fees to push you into it

Just because he says you should diversify doesn’t mean he didn’t recommend putting part of your money into the single worst precious metals product that exists, for his own gain

He’s sold a bag of goods
Read 9 tweets
25 Apr
$BTC longs looking to park money during the bear market should consider #silver

Another dollar-bear, inflation hedge, scarcity asset play

21 million total bitcoin, only 2 million of the 1000 oz silver bars. Respective prices are ~$50k vs ~$26k

10x as scarce, 1/2 the cost
not to mention the fact that a majority of annual silver that gets mined is used in swiftly growing high-tech industries such as EVs, solar, chips, batteries, satellites, etc

It has a baseline demand that's functional and burns supply
As you will prefer a highly liquid, digital form, $PSLV is one of the easiest ways

Some sites do direct crypto to silver when ordering physical, or keep it tokenized and go with Kinesis or other crypto-focused platforms

I buy $PSLV because that's my personal favorite
Read 4 tweets
25 Apr
I listened to you discuss oil on the Silver Fortune podcast @SRSroccoReport

I have a couple of questions on that energy outlook

1. What about the countervailing trend of increased energy efficiency, better MPG, reduced electricity usage in lighting and AC, electric vehicles?
Over the last decade alone I saw in another report the ‘bite’ of higher oil prices has been reduced by 30% due to the last decade of progress, why will this not continue?

2. As oil prices rise, it incentivizes renewables to proliferate faster, and scale makes them cheaper
3. Impacts of increased remote and virtual work?

4. Impacts of high density indoor farming, and localized energy production via solar/wind reducing need to transport food and carbon based fuels?
Read 7 tweets

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