Restricted access to the NHS during the pandemic...

...the evidence and policies that led to excessively rationed healthcare provision in the UK.

Summary thread
1/18
RT pls
#YourNHSNeedsYou
#MedTwitter
thelancet.com/journals/lanep…
This paper was developed from a collaboration between primary, secondary, and public health care specialists. Its aim was to examine and highlight the policies that have led to restricted access to healthcare in the UK.
2/18
It shows:
1. No triage for suspected or confirmed COVID-19 cases

Despite WHO recommendation to triage all patients with this novel coronavirus, patients are told to NOT contact their GP and instead use an AUTOMATED, online patient-led triage system,... BUT only if concerned... NHS England Suspected Coronavirus, patient information leafl
And...

"Notably, thresholds for onward referral using these new and unproven triage systems were high [15]."

4/18
dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjhci…
This is the advice for a 72 year old with persistent cough and fever for SEVEN days +/- silent hypoxia (as of 02/11/21):

5/18
"Equally concerning, the subsequent automated safety-net advice given to the patient included ‘how to manage breathlessness at home’ [[13]] – a practice that would have been inconceivable in 2019."
Accessed 02/11/21: https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/self-isol
Beyond XS morbidity and mortality: "Any offsetting of the healthcare burden achieved by restricting access to clinical contact early on in the disease is lost when patients - albeit fewer in number - present more severely unwell further on in the course of the disease [7, 8, 9]"
2. Oxygen was also rationed.
Not just for COVID-19 patients but "for all adults treated in NHS hospitals" in England (Directive issued April 2020).

8/18
Thankfully some localities identified these shortcomings and implemented virtual wards, where patients could be remotely monitored...
although the patient still needs to get through to healthcare first.
doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m2…
And in November 2020, the oximetry@home service started in England - providing access to oxygen monitoring for vulnerable patients. For those able to access it (still no clinical triage of cases), it looks like a life-saving and resource-saving intervention...
10/18 Preprint study - awaiting peer-review. https://t.co/5jdEFMJU
3. Bed capacity was also reduced.
Basic healthcare 'bed' capacity was reduced by 8% at the start of the pandemic, and remains 4% lower. (Source: NHS providers).

doi.org/10.1136/bmjope…
The point:
"Waiting for patients to deteriorate and then providing care is neither effective nor efficient."
12/18
"The public can still order a diagnostic test without clinical supervision, are still triaged through an automated or non-clinical pathway, and astonishingly, are still offered advice on how to manage breathlessness at home without ever having seen or spoken to a doctor or nurse"
We must learn. To do so we must acknowledge that these practices are not consistent with basic medical principles, evidence, or clinical sense. There are currently 1400 additional deaths per week in the UK (the same as died in the entirety of 2019 from flu). Something is wrong.
The perception that we do not have the capacity to take on triage and follow-up of vulnerable patients with Covid is wrong...we do not have the capacity to NOT take it on...
15/18
"Without the essential access to healthcare we lose the opportunity to prevent disease progression and with it the opportunities to save lives, prevent disability, and to more effectively safeguard the NHS."
Politicians and non-clinical managers are not qualified to dictate clinical guidelines. Neither are they the right people to determine how limited resources are best used. We must insist on our standards, and where resources are not provided to do so, we must raise concerns
END

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More from @danielgoyal

4 Nov
#
When government policy is not evidence based and is not in the interest of the patient...we must speak out.

🧵
#YourNHSNeedsYou #FBNHS
@dgurdasani1 @trishgreenhalgh @doctor_oxford @theAliceRoberts @mikegalsworthy @YourNHS2021 @NHSMillion @docrussjackson @PeoplesNHS @NurseSayNO
As panic gripped a rudderless nation, worst-case scenarios were being projected and simulations cast doom over the healthcare service’s ability to cope, the relative unknown fatality of this new infection foraging the globe loomed over our heads.
It was March 2020, and within this culture of fear, speculation became an acceptable basis for decision-making. Fear of needing to ration became rationing itself; protecting the NHS became failing to protect the people, and government policy suddenly became 'clinical guidelines’
Read 13 tweets
4 Nov
My Pinned Tweet
I believe we should mitigate against Covid-19 - masks, vaccines, ventilation/filtration, etc.. - and increase BASIC healthcare capacity. This will help prevent death, disability, social restrictions, economy, and the secondary impact on non-Covid diseases.
Mortality is high in the UK.
1 in 400 of all UK citizens have died from Covid.
Most didn't need to.
Enough mitigation strategies to permit access to enough healthcare will allow life to function closer to normal with the least amount of suffering.

The government's strategy is based on faulty logic and/or questionable motives...

Firstly, the fact: good control of the rate of infection leads to much better economic security.

Secondly, the Herd Immunity Strategy is hugely damaging...

Read 11 tweets
31 Oct
The NHS response to the Pandemic.

The public have a right to feel ABANDONED...
...in many ways they were.

But give me a moment to convince you: it was NOT the NHS that abandoned the public...it was our Leadership who abandoned us all.

[RT pls - people need to know].
1/10
2/10
All but the most suggestible would agree: the UK have sh*t the bed with COVID-19. A series of colossal and deadly failures led to the highest mortality rate in Europe,...
3/10
..one of the worst economic declines in the world, and a devastating effect on non-COVID diseases.
Read 18 tweets
29 Oct
The NHS needs MORE CAPACITY!

NOW!

At the start of the pandemic The UK Government reduced NHS bed capacity. The further into Winter we get the more catastrophic this failure/decision becomes.

There is still time...

1/5

Make Some Noise!
RT pls

#YourNHSNeedsYou
#COVID19
2/5
The math is quite easy:

Going into the Winter we normally have 15% bed capacity available. We currently have 5%.

6% of beds taken up by COVID-19 patients
+
4% of beds cut at the start of the pandemic (was 8%)

That is the 10% loss. Or a 70% reduction in bed availability.
3/5
Almost every other country in the world increased basic care capacity..

It was one of the first things the World Health Organisation advised.

More people to treat = more capacity to treat them.
Read 6 tweets
28 Oct
Why didn't you follow the WHO guidelines and increase basic healthcare capacity?...Why leave us with less beds to deal with more patients?

And why, after 20 months, do we still have less beds than before the pandemic?

[Counts as one question!..my tweet, my rules 😉]
@IanMaher7 @trishgreenhalgh @dgurdasani1 @DrSimonHodes @DrAmirKhanGP @DrSelvarajah @chrischirp @Kit_Yates_Maths @martinmckee @alisonleary1 @Katynurse27 @TigressEllie So far, in this entirely uncontrolled biased sample, and assuming we permit democracy to rule..
Why didn't we follow sage advice sept; increase hospital capacity; listen to other nations/WHO, and why CMO is not independent..
Keep them coming...repetition allowed, as is venting...
Read 4 tweets
27 Oct
To those that use the NHS,

You will have no doubt heard about the pressures on the NHS just now. It is true, we are worried. We have begun this Winter under considerable strain - more than usual. And, I won't lie, we expect things to get worse.
1/15
#NHS
We have little capacity - both emotional or beds. We are short staffed, and on top of all this we have a pandemic to deal with.
I understand you too may be running out of capacity... to face even more calamity after a calamitous 20 months. You too must be worried.
2/15
Firstly, can I say, we are still here. We get up in the morning (or night) and come to work. We donn our PPE, roll up our sleeves and face the avalanche of patients, requests, relatives, battle-hardened colleagues, and a pathogen that we have lost many colleagues to.
3/15
Read 19 tweets

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