1) Moderate House Democrats are NOT happy about House Democratic leaders trying to forge ahead with the social spending bill without a full, complete Congressional Budget Office (CBO) “score” or price tag.
2) The House has just released a 2,135 page “manager’s amendment” to the legislation introduced last week. The 2,135 pages represent the new bill, as amended, by “the managers” of the legislation.
3) Democratic leaders have reminded Blue Dog Democrats that they don’t need a full score to go to the floor. However, the House has certain PAYGO rules (meaning, the House must pay for measures “as they go”).
4) The House Rules Committee, now preparing the legislation for the floor, will have to waive PAYGO as part of the parameters to put the legislation on the floor.
5) That said, part of the legislation has been “pre-scored.” Democratic leaders have tried to cobble together an assortment of “scores” dealing with various provisions in the bill, with information provided from the White House and the Joint Committee on Taxation.
6) But that is not a final score.
A group of five moderate Democrats are insisting that the bill get a full score before the bill goes to the floor, potentially as early as tomorrow.
7) As a result, Democratic leaders are trying to force the issue and pressure moderate Democrats to vote yes. Moderate Democrats are irate that they are having to fillet 2,135 pages of new legislation on the fly.
8) “We resent it,” said one moderate Democratic source. “This is only strengthening our resolve.”
9) Fox is anticipating a lengthy Rules Committee meeting on the legislation which could bleed DEEP into the night. The Rules Committee is the gateway for legislation to hit the House floor.
10) Fox is told that starting the Rules Committee meeting so late in the day is a tactic to wear everyone out and curb debate so the House can potentially consider the legislation tomorrow.
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1) We’ve heard for weeks about Sens. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ).
How about “The Others.”
It’s the “others” who are causing a problem for House Democrats today as they try to advance the social spending bill.
2) Democrats need most if not all of these “others” if they’re going to pass their bill and only have a three vote turning radius.
3) Some of those “others” are Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D-FL), leader of the Blue Dogs, Reps. Tom O’Halleran (D-AZ), Kurt Schrader (D-OR), Scott Peters (D-CA), Kathleen Rice (D-NY), Ed Case (D-HI), Ron Kind (D-WI), Carolyn Bordeaux (D-GA) and others.
1) McCarthy on Fox: We're going to see a very long day, and my fear is it's back to what Speaker Pelosi said in the past. You have to pass the bill to know what's in it.
2) McCarthy: What's really scary to me is history. In 2009, Republicans won the governorship of Virginia and New Jersey. And four days later, Nancy Pelosi walked the Democrats off the cliff and passed Obamacare. She's trying to do the exact same thing today
3) McCarthy on Pelosi: I think it's very close. I think she's within a couple votes away. We're here hearing last night she's pushing it forward today. They they've done this every week for the last two months, so we'll see.
1) The Hitchhiker’s Guide To Today’s Possible Votes in the House
The House of Representatives meets at 8 am et today as Democrats rush to finish their social spending package.
The aim is for the House to vote on both the social spending bill and infrastructure measures today.
2) Bill text is done, altered late last night. That technically violates the House’s “72 hour rule” for members to read legislation before a vote. There is also no final CBO “score” evaluating the costs of the legislation. This was a sticking point for moderate Democrats.
3) Timing on all of this is impossible to predict. But here are the mechanics:
The House must first consider the “rule.” That establishes the parameters of debate for the social spending package. Think of this as a “pre-debate.” But the House is not actually on the bill itself.
1) The House COULD vote on the social so ending and infrastructure bills today…but then again, we’ve heard that before
2) The Rules Committee met until nearly 12:30 this morning and did not approve a “rule” to put the social spending bill on the floor. If the House lacks a “rule,” to establish the parameters of debate, it can’t bring up the bill.
3) So, this could bleed into Friday or be a very late night tonight.
That said, all the House needs to do is vote on the infrastructure bill to line up with the Senate. The House debated that bill weeks ago. The Senate approved the infrastructure package in early August.
A) From colleague Kelly Murphy. Blue Dog Chair Murphy on potential quick vote on social spending bill: When it comes to the BBBA, we need to have some time to be able to review it, the CBO/JCT tables, to understand how much spent and how much revenue is in the package,
B) Murphy: There needs to be some level of understanding as to whether or not this bill as written can survive the Senate procedural process, because after all, we're using the reconciliation process so that we can get these this proposal signed into law.
C) Murphy: The infrastructure bill is ready to go. It has been written. It has a CBO score. It was passed in a bipartisan way out of the Senate and it is ready for passage.