November Update to 5 Paths/1

Trump faces 5 paths to prison for life

1: Weisselberg (NY Taxes)
2: Giuliani (Ukraine extortion)
3: Matt Gaetz (selling Presidential pardons)
4: Roger Stone (Jan 6th sedition)
5: Tom Barrack (UAE, Qatar extortion)

Let's look at November for these 5
November Update to 5 Paths/2

Allen Weisselberg (Trump accountant) is in court on crime of tax fraud facing 12 years & $3 million to pay. His next court date is January. NY prosecutors 'found' more evidence in some basement (=someone has flipped). His lawyers expect MORE charges
November Update to 5 Paths/3

The next big development in Weisselberg 1 (NY tax fraud) is the next indictments. A Grand Jury has been sitting since May & is scheduled to end now in Nov. They will indict next Don Jr, Eric & Ivanka. Their tax fraud indictments are DUE this November
November Update to 5 Paths/4

Weisselberg 1 is NY Tax Fraud. He faces 6
Weisselberg 2 = NY Money Laundering
Weisselberg 3 = Federal Sanctions Busting
Weisselberg 4 = Federal Election & inauguration Fraud
Weisselberg 5 = Federal Emoluments
Weisselberg 6 = Scotland Money Laundering
November Update to 5 Paths/5

Second path is Giuliani (Ukraine extortion). Rudy Colludi offices were raided by FBI in April. A Special Master has been reviewing the evidence seized. Just released 2,223 items to Feds this week. Has finished 7 devices. 9 more Giuliani devices to go
November Update to 5 Paths/6

I had expected Special Master to finish by now. She is just being very diligent, and apparently there was far more to cover than I had expected. So my forecast of October arrest of Rudy was wrong. Special Master may finish around December (earliest)
November Update to 5 Paths/7

Third path to take Trump to prison for life is Matt Gaetz (Trump selling Presidential pardons). Gaetz's rapist pal Joel Greenberg has confessed & is singing to the Feds in Florida. They gave Joel more time to rat out crimes. That time ends in March
November Update to 5 Paths/8

When Joel Greenberg is sentenced, Matt Gaetz will be arrested. Judge has twice given Joel more time (because can identify MORE crimes) but Judge said, there will be no more extension past March. The Honorable Rapey McForehead will be arrested. March
November Update to 5 Paths/9

Fourth path to take Trump to prison for life is January 6th. I call this Roger Stone, as I believe Roger is the first of Jan 6th PLANNERS to get arrested. I do not KNOW this. I am just giving you my analysis. It seems Feds are closing in on Roger
November Update to 5 Paths/10

We do know that Roger Stone was planning Jan 6th with over a dozen others. But FIVE of the Oath Keepers who participated in Jan 6th have confessed and AT LEAST 3 of them are assisting FBI (flipped). It means they are ratting out Roger Stone
November Update to 5 Paths/11

I am expecting Roger Stone to be first or among first of Jan 6th planners to be arrested. His arrest window is now opening. I expect Roger arrested between November and March. I expect SOME planners arrested near anniversary of Jan 6
November Update to 5 Paths/12

Last of 5 paths to take Trump to prison for life is Tom Barrack. He was arrested in summer. Is now in court & negotiating, attempting to cut a plea bargain. I do not KNOW this. I believe Tom is smart enough to know, it is his only way. He will flip.
PS to Nov Update

Lev Parnas had ATTEMPTED to cut plea bargain. He had POWERFUL evidence against Giuliani. But Feds lost interest in bargain once FBI raided Rudy's office & got that same evidence. Lev went to trial. Lost of course. Jury fast decision in 5 hours guilty all charges
If you want more DETAIL on any of the 5 paths, I have an INDEX Thread to link to the Threads that discuss each of the 5 paths. It is here:

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More from @tomiahonen

4 Nov
INDEX THREAD

To my Threads on each of the 5 paths Trump faces to prison, for life. Including November update, and links to latest full review of each of the 5 paths

This Index includes link to bonus warning to all Trumpomobsters if they don't flip fast: the Ballad of Lev Parnas
The fastest of 5 paths to take Trump to prison for life is Weisselberg. It starts with Tax Fraud in NY state. Weisselberg is already in court and faces MORE criminal charges soon:

The second also fast path to take Trump to prison for life is Giuliani (Ukraine). Rudy's offices were raided by FBI. Rudy's arrest will happen when Special Master has finished reviewing the evidence seized by FBI

Read 8 tweets
2 Nov
Giuliani case / Special Master

We know a bit more today. So Special Master is not done, has at least 9 more Giuliani devices to process, but out of the first 7 devices, she gave SDNY 2,233 files she found, & Giuliani did not object. This tells us, SDNY is getting files in groups
So this is as I had assumed and told you, my assumption was that the Feds will receive files in batches, not all at the end when she is finished

This means, that to prosecute Giuliani, the Feds can proceed now to review these files, as Special Master reads through more
Secondly, we learn that the files are on some digital system, that Giuliani and his attorneys can access to read the files FBI raided, if they want to object

In the first batch of 7 devices, Giuliani only objected to 3 files. Special Master will decide on those 3 later
Read 6 tweets
2 Nov
Some people have same question as Oma. What is 'Special Master'

When FBI raided attorney Rudy Giuliani's office, the court ordered a 'Special Master' (retired judge) to review all seized materials, to prevent disclosure to FBI of materials protected by client-attorney privilege
This Special Master (woman named Barbara Jones) is same who did this same work in case when FBI raided Trump attorney Michael Cohen's office in 2018

The purpose is to protect genuine client-attorney communications, even if that client is a criminal, FBI may not see such papers
The big exception to client-attorney privilege is, if the attorney (Rudy Giuliani) himself has PARTICIPATED in the crime. So if Rudy helped Trump commit a crime, then those files are NOT protected by his privilege. There are also some other exceptions to the protection.
Read 5 tweets
28 Oct
The Wire: Trump Special Thread 1/

Attorney General Garland yesterday mentioned 'new' forensic methods to catch Jan 6 terrorist insurrectionists that were not commonly used prior to 2003. One is cellphone tower data. I mentioned it already on Jan 10. Let me tell this via a story Image
he Wire: Trump Special Thread 2/

Yes this is my core competence, I've written 12 bestselling books to the telecoms, tech & media industries including the fastest-selling telecoms book of all time. I've lectured on these topics on all 6 inhabited continents, in over 60 countries Image
The Wire: Trump Special Thread 3/

I have no intention to give a 'how to commit a perfect crime' guide-book on finer details of my industry. I will keep this broad, but everything in this Thread is 100% true. FBI went into FAR more detail than this fictional 'episode of The Wire'
Read 38 tweets
27 Oct
Flippathon Thread 1/

Are we entering the #Flippathon Olympics with the Trumpomobsters? There are early signs of ratty movement among the populus of Rattus Repulsus (the common Repulsican) Let the Games Begin!
Flippathon Thread 2/

Three BIG catalysts for the start of Flippathon Season 2021. First, we have the Jan 6th Committee making criminal referral of Bannon to DOJ. (Of COURSE Bannon will be tried. Do not listen to idiot pundits). Minimum 1 month, max 1 year in prison

[am smiling]
Flippathon Thread 3/

The second catalyst is the Ballad of Lev Parnas. Every Trumpomobster has an 'insurance file' including recordings. Lev LOST his gamble. Now many understand, flip fast or become levparnassed

Read 14 tweets
26 Oct
Roger Stone Oct Thread 1/

Time to do the October update to our 4th path (of 5) that takes Trump to prison for life (each). I call this Roger Stone, because he is likely first of the January 6th seditionists to be tried in court. Let's do a Thread..
Roger Stone Oct Thread 2/

Donald Trump faces 5 paths that EACH take him to prison for life:

1. Weisselberg (NY taxes)
2. Giuliani (Ukraine)
3. Matt Gaetz (selling Presidential pardons)
4. Roger Stone (Jan 6th)
5. Tom Barrack (UAE & Qatar)

Trump ALSO faces many lesser lawsuits
Roger Stone Oct Thread 3/

Note, in my Trump path 3 to prison for life, Matt Gaetz (selling Presidential Pardons) a key criminal is Roger Stone

This 4th path to take Trump to prison for life I call 'Roger Stone' is SEPARATE. This is about January 6th and includes ALL Jan 6
Read 25 tweets

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