In 2021, Peloton has seen its market cap fall from $50B to $17B. The “iPad on a bike” joke is trending but it’s a bit unfair.
Peloton’s design smartly uses many psychological hacks to get people hooked on exercise (and it's worth learning from).
Here are 9 of them🧵
1/ The psychological challenge with fitness is called “hyperbolic discounting”: we value immediate though smaller rewards more than long-term larger rewards.
The pain of diet or exercise NOW isn’t worth the long-term benefit of “being in shape”.
2/ Peloton's goal is to get you on -- and hooked by -- its bike. The key to this is "the habit loop": a neurological phenomenon that governs any habit (good or bad).
It has 3 parts:
1⃣CUE: Trigger craving
2⃣ROUTINE: Action to get reward
3⃣REWARD: Satisfaction of craving
3/ Starting Peloton's habit loop
Apple is an inspiration for Peloton' bike, which has an attractive and portable design.
As the memes will tell you, owners are happy to showcase it in high-profile areas of the home. This is a convenient cue to kick off the exercise habit loop.
4/ More exposure = more liking
There's another benefit to having Pelotons in highly visible places:
The "mere exposure effect", a psychological phenomenon whereby people develop a preference for things just based on how often they see it (this happens a lot to celebrities).
5/ Shoes + Clips
At-home fitness is easier to get into, but also easier to get *out* of.
Peloton bike shoes are both a cue and a commitment to get a workout done. Once you clip in, you are primed for a ride. (Comparatively, ending your at-home pushup "workout" is much easier)
6/ High price = more commitment
The Peloton is pricey: starts at $1.5k ($40/month digital sub). Psychologically, the high cost is very effective.
Per the "sunk cost-fallacy", people spend more time and money on something if they've already made an investment (eg. ride more).
7/ Power of scheduling
Peloton offers 1000s of recorded/live classes, some as short as 10-15 min (a small minimum time commitment removes friction).
Scheduling also takes away the decision-making friction when its workout time, helping to kick off the habit loop.
In addition to the exercise dopamine, these near-term rewards are crucial for habit formation and help bypass "hyperbolic discounting".
9/ Social fitness
Peloton has a 6m-person member base, meaning you prob have a friend to ride with or compete against.
The social tie makes the product stickier.
There are countless Peloton online communities that swap tips and make absurd posts like this from an FB group:
10/ Instructor motivation
Peloton has 45 instructors, for any mood you feel like riding. While it's digital guidance, the up-close screen makes it more intimate than you might get at the back of a Soul Cycle.
(With 10k+ riders in some classes, no wonder instructors are famous)
11/ The Shoutout
The most explicit psychological hack is the instructor calling out names during the rides.
People *love* hearing their own name.
The genius move: instructors name-dropping people on milestone rides (50, 100, 250, 500), which motivates you to keep coming back.
12/ Obviously, none of these hacks saved Peloton from getting clapped last week. Still worth studying, though.
If you enjoyed that, I write threads on business and tech 1-2x a week.
Rather, Hermès creates desire for its products (including Birkin Bag) in 2 powerful ways: *managed scarcity* and *managed desire*.
2/ Long heritage
A powerful source of scarcity is history. Founded in 1837 by Thierry Hermès as a leather workshop, Hermès passed through 6 family generations and is now run by the Dumas clan.
(Lux competitor LVMH knows the power of heritage:it owns 10+ brands over 100yr old)
Trader Joe's has a playful brand but its business is very serious (annual revenue = $14B+).
With no ad spend or online sales, the chain perfected one psychological hack in its store/product design to achieve industry-leading sales of ~$1.7k per square foot.
Here's a breakdown🧵
1/ "The Paradox of Choice" is the main psychological phenomenon that explains Trader Joe's (TJs) success.
While "choice" sounds great, too many options can lead to analysis paralysis: the inability to make a decision and/or fear of making wrong choice.
2/ In 2000, Stanford researches highlighted "The Paradox of Choice" by setting up 2 display tables in a store with:
◻️24 jam option (60% of shoppers tried, 3% bought)
◻️6 jam options (40% of shoppers tried, 30% bought)
The table with fewer jam options converted 10x better!