In 2021, Peloton has seen its market cap fall from $50B to $17B. The “iPad on a bike” joke is trending but it’s a bit unfair.
Peloton’s design smartly uses many psychological hacks to get people hooked on exercise (and it's worth learning from).
Here are 9 of them🧵
1/ The psychological challenge with fitness is called “hyperbolic discounting”: we value immediate though smaller rewards more than long-term larger rewards.
The pain of diet or exercise NOW isn’t worth the long-term benefit of “being in shape”.
2/ Peloton's goal is to get you on -- and hooked by -- its bike. The key to this is "the habit loop": a neurological phenomenon that governs any habit (good or bad).
It has 3 parts:
1⃣CUE: Trigger craving
2⃣ROUTINE: Action to get reward
3⃣REWARD: Satisfaction of craving
Rather, Hermès creates desire for its products (including Birkin Bag) in 2 powerful ways: *managed scarcity* and *managed desire*.
2/ Long heritage
A powerful source of scarcity is history. Founded in 1837 by Thierry Hermès as a leather workshop, Hermès passed through 6 family generations and is now run by the Dumas clan.
(Lux competitor LVMH knows the power of heritage:it owns 10+ brands over 100yr old)
Trader Joe's has a playful brand but its business is very serious (annual revenue = $14B+).
With no ad spend or online sales, the chain perfected one psychological hack in its store/product design to achieve industry-leading sales of ~$1.7k per square foot.
Here's a breakdown🧵
1/ "The Paradox of Choice" is the main psychological phenomenon that explains Trader Joe's (TJs) success.
While "choice" sounds great, too many options can lead to analysis paralysis: the inability to make a decision and/or fear of making wrong choice.
2/ In 2000, Stanford researches highlighted "The Paradox of Choice" by setting up 2 display tables in a store with:
◻️24 jam option (60% of shoppers tried, 3% bought)
◻️6 jam options (40% of shoppers tried, 30% bought)
The table with fewer jam options converted 10x better!