2/It can be hard to digest the data and make sense of the various studies. Thankfully, the @CDCgov is out with a new Science Brief that does just that.
I recommend this Brief for anyone looking for an overview of the current scientific evidence.
- Fully vaccinated individuals and those previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 each have a low risk of subsequent infection for at least 6 months.
4/ -- Data are presently insufficient to determine an antibody titer threshold that indicates when an individual is protected from infection.
- At this time, there is no FDA-authorized or approved test to reliably determine whether a person is protected from infection.
5/- Though there is a wide range in antibody titers in response to infection with SARS-CoV-2, completion of a primary vaccine series, especially with mRNA vaccines, typically leads to a more consistent and higher-titer initial antibody response.
6/- Substantial immunologic evidence and a growing body of epidemiologic evidence indicate that vaccination after infection significantly enhances protection and further reduces risk of reinfection, which lays the foundation for @CDCgov recommendations.
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1/It's good being back on Twitter. Since being back, I've been thinking about how/why misinformation proliferates so widely on social media like Twitter.
To adapt an old canard, Twitter is a medium because it is neither rare nor well done.
2/These qualities are simultaneously features and bugs. Twitter is ubiquitous and open to everyone, which makes it ideal for disseminating information. But Twitter is also ubiquitous and open to everyone, which makes it ideal for spreading misinformation.
3/The misinformation that concerns me is that which is driven by what I will call "gadflies."
These are individuals who do a bit of "research" on YouTube, or perhaps even via a pre-print, and then find a quote that accords with their pre-conceived notion (confirmation bias).
1/It's time to take stock of where we are w/#COVID19 in Maine from an epidemiological perspective.
Let's start with the big picture. The PCR positivity rate is now 5.3%. One incubation period ago, it was at 4.5%.
2/A portion of that increase is attributable to less PCR testing.
Right now, the current daily PCR testing volume stands at 471/100K people. That's 13% lower than one incubation period ago, leading to a higher positivity rate.
3/Hospitalizations are thankfully lower, but still high. Right now, 166 people are in the hospital in #Maine w/#COVID19. 60 of them are in the ICU and 31 are on ventilators.
Two weeks ago, there were 211 people hospitalized, with 67 in the ICU, though 27 on a ventilator.
1/It's important to consider the full picture when interpreting data on things like the % of people fully vaccinated who are hospitalized with #COVID19, or the fact that 74% of the cases in the P-town outbreak were fully vaccinated.
2/I have seen folks express concern upon learning, for example, that 45% of people hospitalized w/COVID19 are vaccinated.
"But I thought the vaccine keeps you out of the hospital? Is this evidence that vaccines aren't working?" No, it is not.
I'll walk through why here.
3/First, some basic assumptions. There are two Worlds, each with 1M people. And we'll consider the same infectious disease affecting each World, with the parameters below.
There is also a vaccine, with the effectiveness parameters noted below. These could all be changed.
2/"After the governor’s executive order, COVID-19 incidence decreased (mean decrease of 0.08 cases per 100,000 per day; net decrease of 6%) among counties with a mask mandate but continued to increase (mean increase of 0.11 cases per 100,000 per day; net increase of 100%)..."
3/"...among counties without a mask mandate (nonmandated counties)."