It is time now for Dems to shift their strategy from selling things which have not yet happened to the things which have - ARP, COVID, recovery.

If we can’t get credit for things we’ve done we won’t for things we haven’t.

2022 will be about whether we led US into recovery.
If Democrats cannot credit for our core promise to voters in 2020 - defeating COVID, securing the recovery - we will not get credit for passing bills whose impacts will not be felt for years.
Best way to sell BBB and infrastructure is by defeating COVID and securing the recovery, and explaining and getting credit for it. That is job #1.

Don’t think there’s any politics/comms rn outside COVID/recovery frame.

FFS COVID may be most disruptive thing to hit US ever.
It’s possible for BBB to really matter and to have simultaneously helped contribute to Biden’s decline.

Like Obama in 2009 we moved on to secondary issues before finishing job on issue #1.

More of a political comms thing than leg thing. I explain here:

ndn.org/time-for-dems-…
Not sure why we strayed from COVID/recovery frame. Perhaps those of us who work on Zoom experienced COVID differently fr those who don't.

But for whatever reason our politics now has to be abt bravery/resilience of Americans who fought thru COVID.

They are the heros. Not us.
Good news is all of our challenges can be overcome, and we are far more in control of our destiny than it feels right now.

I offer some thoughts on the path forward below, and would still much rather be us than them in the 2022 midterms. ndn.org/3-reasons-why-…
Want to put an exclamation point on something here.

What I am saying is that with so little of the infrastructure and BBB programs being in place by the elections next year, Dems have to focus on getting credit for what we've done, not things which have not happened yet.

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More from @SimonWDC

5 Nov
Here are some graphs with the new jobs numbers factored in, once again showing just how much better Biden and Democrats have been as stewards of the American economy over the past 30 years. 1/
In just 9 months Biden has seen three times as many jobs created on his watch as were created during the last 3 GOP Presidencies, COMBINED.

Obama Clinton 33.8m jobs
Biden 5.6m jobs
2 Bushes, Trump 1.9m jobs
Breaking it down by month, its

Biden 620,000
Clinton Obama 176,000
2 Bushes Trump 9700

Yes that's Biden at 60x times job growth rate than last 3 GOP Presidents, and yes that's 10,000 a month for Rs.
Read 6 tweets
4 Nov
So, a thread about digging out of our current hole and making the 2022 elections competitive again.

Our most important job now is to lead America through the end of COVID and into a sustained recovery. That is why Biden was elected, and it is work that is still not finished. 1/
COVID has an extraordinary trauma for everyone.

There may not be a singular event this disruptive to our basic lives again in many of our lifetimes.

Getting us through it, ending it, putting it behind us remains job #1 for Democrats. 2/

ndn.org/3-reasons-why-…
Using @NavigatorSurvey data I modeled out the top issues for what would be typical Dem swing district right now:

COVID 64%
Econ/Jobs 60%
Climate/Extreme Weather 40%
Health Care 39%

This is our map, our guide for where we have to spend our time these next six months. 3/
Read 15 tweets
2 Nov
As I write below in every election since 2016 - 2018, 2020, 2021 GA/CA - Dems have won, seen very high end turnout. Been quite a run.

Will see what happens tonight but we know turnout is very high. If Ds win would continue MAGA's remarkable losing streak.
I think Dems need an argument about MAGA not just Trump.

Realize @TerryMcAuliffe shorthanded it in the closing days, but goal should be to show how MAGA has replaced conservatism in the GOP, and brand the entire party as unfit/extreme.

@TheDemocrats DNC needs to lead on this.
Biden Job Approval

Oct 1 - Biden 45.9-48.7 (-2.8)
Nov 2 - Biden 43.3-51.1 (-7.8)

via @FiveThirtyEight
Read 6 tweets
15 Oct
So, the new strategy memo I just published about how Biden can get his poll numbers back up and once again seize control of the national debate has gotten a bit of attention this week.

Here's the memo: ndn.org/time-for-dems-… 1/
Talked about the memo and why I would rather be us than them next year with my friend and teacher @JoeTrippi for his pod this week. 2/

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sim…
@JoeTrippi Also talked to the great @ronbrownstein about how central defeating COVID is to unlocking the power of the rest of the President's agenda in his new @TheAtlantic column. 3/
theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
Read 10 tweets
13 Oct
This insight from the new @CBSNews poll on Biden's Build Back Better agenda needs more internal Dem discussion:

"only about a third of Americans think the plan would help them directly — or help the economy overall."

That's after 5 months of debating it.
cbsnews.com/news/democrats…
My point here is that we are in a deeper hole than I think people understand rn.

Biden's numbers are way down, our BBB agenda is not breaking through.

I try to lay out a path forward for us in this new memo, but we have a lot of work ahead of us.

ndn.org/time-for-dems-…
Very few polls I've seen from our side tested BBB against attacks. Let's see how it holds up against:

a “multitrillion-dollar spending spree” and “the largest tax increase in decades” that will lead to further inflation. “It’ll cost you."

Real world now.
washingtonpost.com/politics/gop-s…
Read 5 tweets
7 Oct
Held a terrific conversation yesterday about the future of Facebook and Instagram with the brilliant @zamaan_qureshi.

Hope you can check it out. (1/x)

ndn.org/video-facebook…
You can also catch @zamaan_qureshi with his colleague @DestineeAdams16 on Morning Joe yesterday. It's a really great segment. (2/x)

msnbc.com/morning-joe/wa…
Here is the compelling @Time essay @zamaan_qureshi and @DestineeAdams16 wrote that got them thrust into this vital national conversation. (3/x)

time.com/6100182/instag…
Read 6 tweets

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